Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | FC Tokyo | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–4 | L |
| 08 Dec | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Feb | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | FC Tokyo | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Dec | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 42 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
100%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against FC Machida Zelvia in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' FC Machida Zelvia come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 13' A goal from the Japan international Takuma Nishimura! He fires home on 13 to make it 0-1!
- 18' Yuta Nakayama has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Yota Sato doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 25' Hokuto Shimoda is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Machida Zelvia tonight.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past FC Machida Zelvia's compact .
- 35' Japan international Shuhei Tokumoto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
- 45' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Ryuji Izumi is replaced by Yuya Yamagishi on 56 minute.
- 61' Another change for FC Machida Zelvia made on 61 minute. Takuma Nishimura leaves to be changed by Sang-ho Na.
- 66' Over 66 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 69' Akinari Kawazura is replacing Daiki Miya for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 71' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Se-hun Oh is withdrawn and Kanji Kuwayama gets his opportunity.
- 74' Sang-ho Na puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
- 77' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Tsukasa Morishima is replaced by Yuya Asano.
- 80' FC Machida Zelvia ring the changes. Yuki Soma has done his job and it is now time for Shota Fujio to step up.
- 81' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Hokuto Shimoda by Ryohei Shirasaki on 81 minute.
- 82' That is a card for FC Machida Zelvia. Kanji Kuwayama will be fuming at that decision.
- 87' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 88' The referee has no hesitation. Ryohei Shirasaki is booked for FC Machida Zelvia — card on 88.
- FC Machida Zelvia celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Mateus 77'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Teruki Hara 69'
-
14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Yuya Asano 77'
- 15
-
4
Daiki Miya ↓ Akinari Kawazura 69'
- 16
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 56'
- 3
- 55
- 20
Bench
-
10
Mateus ↑ 77'
-
70
Teruki Hara ↑ 69'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 77'
- 27
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 56'
- 33
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 69'
- 35
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Sang-ho Na 61'
- 1
- 3
- 19
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Shota Fujio 80'
- 5
- 16
- 50
- 26
-
90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 71'
Bench
-
23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↑ 81'
- 13
- 8
-
9
Shota Fujio ↑ 80'
- 15
-
10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 61'
- 6
-
49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 71'
- 39
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
| Gen Shoji | 1 |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 1 |
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
| Takuma Nishimura | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.11
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
54%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
70%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
76%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.5%
1 – 3
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 3
4.8%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
0 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 19% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 14% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.