Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–3 | L |
| 23 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 2–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Sep | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | FC Mito Holly Hock | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | A | 4–0 | W |
| 22 May | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | FC Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #13 |
| 31 | Points | 37 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 13 / 0 / 5 |
| 46 | Scored | 42 |
| 44 | Conceded | 33 |
| +2 | GD | +9 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.06 |
| 56% | Win % | 72% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
25%
Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this season
FC Machida Zelvia this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
3/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Machida Zelvia
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/4
61-75
4/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
FC Machida Zelvia
| Yuki Soma | 3 G | 3 A |
| Koki Ogawa | 3 G | |
| Hotaka Nakamura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tete Yengi | 2 G | 1 A |
| Takuma Nishimura | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with FC Machida Zelvia.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 101 games and scored 132 goals.
- 10' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Machida Zelvia's shape.
- 15' FC Machida Zelvia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 23' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 23 minute. Yuya Asano leaves to be changed by Yuya Yamagishi.
- 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Haruya Fujii made 446 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 36' The FC Machida Zelvia manager makes a substitution. Daihachi Okamura departs to be replaced by Hiroki Mochizuki.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 43' Nagoya Grampus receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
- 46' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Teruki Hara on, Yuki Nogami off on 46 minutes.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 52' Ryohei Shirasaki doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 55' Brilliant from the ! Hiroki Mochizuki makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 55.
- 60' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Machida Zelvia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 65' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Kensuke Nagai trudges off to be replaced by Tomoya Koyamatsu on 65 minutes.
- 66' The FC Machida Zelvia bench stirs into life. Takuma Nishimura is withdrawn and Tete Yengi gets his opportunity.
- 70' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Yota Sato comes on to replace Ryuji Izumi.
- 75' What composure from Alexandre Pisano! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 76' The Japan Alexandre Pisano breaks the deadlock on 76 minutes. 1-3!
- 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and FC Machida Zelvia are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Tomoki Takamine on 85.
- 85' A tactical swap from FC Machida Zelvia — Yusuke Matsuo on, Yuki Soma off on 85 minutes.
- 86' Another substitution for FC Machida Zelvia to replace Koki Ogawa by Mitch Duke on 86 minute.
- The final score is 1-3.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Teruki Hara 46'
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yota Sato 70'
- 31
-
9
Yuya Asano ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 23'
- 27
- 22
- 55
- 35
Bench
- 1
- 14
-
70
Teruki Hara ↑ 46'
-
58
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 65'
- 19
-
11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 23'
-
3
Yota Sato ↑ 70'
- 33
- 41
Coach
Mihailo Petrović
FC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
-
20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Tete Yengi 66'
- 1
- 3
- 23
-
9
Koki Ogawa ↓ Mitch Duke 86'
-
7
Yuki Soma ↓ Yusuke Matsuo 85'
- 4
- 88
- 33
- 16
- 50
Bench
-
18
Hokuto Shimoda ↑ 66'
-
15
Mitch Duke ↑ 86'
- 5
- 13
- 8
-
14
Yusuke Matsuo ↑ 85'
- 24
-
99
Tete Yengi ↑ 66'
-
6
Hiroki Mochizuki ↑ 36'
Coach
Go Kuroda
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mitchell Duke | 1 |
| Hiroki Mochizuki | 1 |
| Ryohei Shirasaki | 1 |
| Shota Fujio | 1 |
| Yusuke Matsuo | 1 |
| Hokuto Shimoda | 1 |
| Alexandre Pisano | 1 |
| Yota Sato | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
2026-09-06
Nagoya Grampus
1–3
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2026-09-02
FC Machida Zelvia
2–1
Kawasaki Frontale
W
2026-08-29
FC Mito Holly Hock
1–1
FC Machida Zelvia
D
2026-08-23
FC Machida Zelvia
3–1
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
2026-08-15
JEF United Ichihara Chiba
0–4
FC Machida Zelvia
W
2026-05-22
FC Machida Zelvia
1–0
Urawa Red Diamonds
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.78
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.37
FC Machida Zelvia xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.15
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
49%
Draw or FC Machida Zelvia
72%
Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.7%
1 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 3
5.3%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4%
1 – 4
3.6%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | FC Machida Zelvia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 14% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +1 | 50% | 19% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +2.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

