Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs FC Machida Zelvia — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- FC Machida Zelvia 18 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
# Team P Pts 1 Vissel Kobe 18 35 2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31 3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31 4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30 5 Gamba Osaka 18 28 6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26 7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24 8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23 9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21 10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21 11 Kashima Antlers 18 45 12 FC Tokyo 18 37 13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37 14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28 15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28 16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25 17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20 18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20 19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18 20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 02 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 1–2 L 26 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–3 L 22 Feb Vissel Kobe H 2–2 D 15 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–4 L 08 Dec Yokohama F.Marinos A 2–0 W 30 Nov Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L Date Opponent H/A Score Result 02 Mar Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W 26 Feb Tokyo Verdy H 0–1 L 22 Feb FC Tokyo A 1–0 W 16 Feb Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L 08 Dec Kashima Antlers A 1–3 L 30 Nov Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–0 W Season Stats
Nagoya Grampus FC Machida Zelvia #3 Position #13 31 Points 37 18 Played 18 10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 13 / 0 / 5 46 Scored 42 44 Conceded 33 +2 GD +9 1.72 PPG 2.06 56% Win % 72% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season44% Clean Sheets
FC Machida Zelvia this seasonNagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). FC Machida Zelvia are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus0-152/116-302/431-455/446-604/361-753/176+4/5■ Scored ■ ConcededFC Machida Zelvia0-152/–16-301/–31-452/146-603/161-752/176+–/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Toyota Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Sang-ho Na has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Machida Zelvia that had 88 games and scored 108 goals.
- 13' Takuma Nishimura puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
- 18' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' What an equalizer from Yota Sato!
- 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 30' FC Machida Zelvia is showing some good football. However, FC Machida Zelvia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 40' FC Machida Zelvia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
- 45' It looks surprising FC Machida Zelvia does not make any changes. Kennedy Egbus Mikuni has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 50' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 55' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 56' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 56 minute. Ryuji Izumi leaves to be changed by Yuya Yamagishi.
- 61' The supporters are chanting for Sang-ho Na. He replaces Takuma Nishimura on 61 minute.
- 66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 69' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Daiki Miya is replaced by Akinari Kawazura.
- 71' Kanji Kuwayama has so much to prove this time. He replaces Se-hun Oh on 71 minute.
- 74' Sang-ho Na puts FC Machida Zelvia on the lead.
- 77' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 77 minute. Tsukasa Morishima leaves to be changed by Yuya Asano.
- 80' Time for substitution for FC Machida Zelvia. Yuki Soma is replaced by Shota Fujio.
- 81' The whistle greets Hokuto Shimoda as he departs to be replaced by Ryohei Shirasaki.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Kanji Kuwayama. He receives a card.
- 87' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 88' That looks like a foul for a card for Ryohei Shirasaki.
- The final score is 1-2.
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Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
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18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Mateus 77'
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2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Teruki Hara 69'
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14
Tsukasa Morishima ↓ Yuya Asano 77'
- 15
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4
Daiki Miya ↓ Akinari Kawazura 69'
- 16
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7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Yuya Yamagishi 56'
- 3
- 55
- 20
Bench
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10
Mateus ↑ 77'
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70
Teruki Hara ↑ 69'
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9
Yuya Asano ↑ 77'
- 27
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11
Yuya Yamagishi ↑ 56'
- 33
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6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 69'
- 35
- 26
Coach Kenta HasegawaFC Machida Zelvia Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
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20
Takuma Nishimura ↓ Sang-ho Na 61'
- 1
- 3
- 19
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7
Yuki Soma ↓ Shota Fujio 80'
- 5
- 16
- 50
- 26
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90
Se-hun Oh ↓ Kanji Kuwayama 71'
Bench
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23
Ryohei Shirasaki ↑ 81'
- 13
- 8
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9
Shota Fujio ↑ 80'
- 15
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10
Sang-ho Na ↑ 61'
- 6
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49
Kanji Kuwayama ↑ 71'
- 39
Coach Go Kuroda -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Shota Fujio 1 Hokuto Shimoda 1 Yota Sato 1 Takuma Nishimura 1 Sang-ho Na 1 Sho Inagaki 1 Gen Shoji 1 Hotaka Nakamura 1 Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
FC Machida Zelvia Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.67 Nagoya Grampus xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo2.11 FC Machida Zelvia xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Machida Zelvia winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.78Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 89% 11% ± 2.5 72% 28% ± 3.5 51% 49% ± 4.5 33% 67% Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw 54%Draw or FC Machida Zelvia 70%Nagoya Grampus or FC Machida Zelvia 76%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 8.9%1 – 2 Actual2 – 2 6.8%2 – 1 6.5%1 – 3 5.7%0 – 2 5.2%2 – 3 4.8%0 – 1 4.3%3 – 2 3.8%3 – 1 3.6%0 – 3 3.5%0 – 0 3.5%Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push FC Machida Zelvia covers -2.5 6% — 94% -2 6% 9% 85% -1.5 15% — 85% -1 15% 15% 70% -0.5 30% — 70% +0.5 53% — 47% +1 53% 19% 28% +1.5 72% — 28% +2 72% 14% 14% +2.5 86% — 14% Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet 13% ✓FC Machida Zelvia keeps clean sheet 20% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.