Saturday , 22 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Ōita FC Trinita, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sun 26 Sep 2021 · 07:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep Ōita FC Trinita H 1–0 W
22 Sep FC Tōkyō A 1–1 D
18 Sep Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–1 W
10 Sep Tokushima Vortis H 3–0 W
29 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–1 D
25 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
18 Sep Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
11 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 2–0 W
28 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–4 L
25 Aug Vissel Kobe H 1–3 L
21 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–1 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Toyota Stadium as Nagoya Grampus face off against Oita FC Trinita in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Oita FC Trinita are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 7' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 8' Sho Inagaki makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 13' Ryoya Morishita has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 279 appearances.
  • 18' With 3 assists to his name this season, Yutaka Yoshida is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 23' It looks surprising Oita FC Trinita does not make any changes. Naoki Maeda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 439 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 38' Shun Nagasawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 43' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oita FC Trinita needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' The Oita FC Trinita bench stirs into life. Ryosuke Tone is withdrawn and Asahi Masuyama gets his opportunity.
  • 51' It’s high time Tomohiro Katanosaka made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 61' Oita FC Trinita come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 63' A tactical swap from Nagoya Grampus — Jakub Swierczok on, Yoichiro Kakitani off on 63 minutes.
  • 64' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Yoichiro Kakitani is withdrawn and Jakub Swierczok gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Oita FC Trinita. Kento Haneda is replaced by Yuki Kobayashi.
  • 72' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Massimo Ficcadenti will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 73' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 73 minute. Shumpei Naruse leaves to be changed by Kazuki Nagasawa.
  • 78' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oita FC Trinita backline.
  • 79' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Min-Tae Kim exits the field as Haruya Fujii enters on 79.
  • 83' Another change for Oita FC Trinita made on 83 minute. Yuki Kagawa leaves to be changed by Naoki Nomura.
  • 88' Yuki Kobayashi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • Oita FC Trinita will have plenty to reflect on. Nagoya Grampus were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Ōita FC Trinita xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus58% Draw27% Ōita FC Trinita15%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.15
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
84%
Draw or Ōita FC Trinita
42%
Nagoya Grampus or Ōita FC Trinita
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus36% Draw51% Ōita FC Trinita13%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.9%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
12.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Ōita FC Trinita covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 17% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 26% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
51%
Ōita FC Trinita keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.