FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | Yokohama FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | Vissel Kobe | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Vegalta Sendai | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | Gamba Osaka | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | FC Tokyo | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Sep | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Sep | Tokushima Vortis | H | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| +13 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! FC Tōkyō vs Nagoya Grampus — let the football do the talking.
- 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 10' Yuki Soma has been relatively quiet despite scoring 28 goals in his last 439 appearances.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Tōkyō and Nagoya Grampus are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Tōkyō in their trying to find a way past Nagoya Grampus's compact .
- 25' FC Tōkyō are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nagoya Grampus backline.
- 26' Brilliant from the ! Adailton makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 26.
- 31' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 33' Takumi Nakamura is replacing Ryoya Ogawa for the FC Tokyo side.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 42' Takuya Aoki picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Leandro makes it 0-2.
- 43' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Takuya Aoki.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yasuki Kimoto is hanging Yuki Soma on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' Mu Kanazaki gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Jakub Swierczok and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' FC Tōkyō are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 66' FC Tōkyō currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 67' A tactical swap from FC Tokyo — Kensuke Nagai on, Diego Oliveira off on 67 minutes.
- 72' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 72 minutes.
- 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 81' FC Tokyo receives a Red card for a hard tackle on 81.
- 83' Kyosuke Tagawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Adailton at the 83 minute mark.
- 88' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 89' Sho Inagaki makes way for Ryoya Morishita at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
Starting XI
- 50
- 3
- 6
- 10
- 9
- 32
- 21
- 15
- 20
- 13
- 31
Bench
- 11
- 27
- 7
- 1
- 22
- 23
- 5
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 2
- 1
- 23
-
15
Sho Inagaki ↓ Ryoya Morishita 89'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↓ Yoichiro Kakitani 56'
- 6
- 4
-
11
Yuki Soma ↓ Yasuki Kimoto 46'
-
40
Jakub Swierczok ↓ Mu Kanazaki 56'
- 16
- 20
Bench
-
44
Mu Kanazaki ↑ 56'
-
5
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 46'
- 9
-
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 56'
-
14
Yasuki Kimoto ↑ 46'
- 21
-
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 89'
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Keigo Higashi | 1 |
| Kotaro Omori | 1 |
| Mateus | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.51
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
73%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
49%
FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 16% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 19% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

