Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 8 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Backhouse
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 15 | Points | 11 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 4 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 3 |
| 16 | Scored | 15 |
| 12 | Conceded | 15 |
| +4 | GD | +0 |
| 1.88 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 50% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
41%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 6 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Millwall FC get us underway at Riverside Stadium.
- 5' It’s high time Kim Hellberg made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 13' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jake Cooper.
- 18' Millwall FC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 390 games and scored 417 goals.
- 26' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Dael Fry makes it 1-0.
- 31' Millwall FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 36' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Zak Sturge made 390 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 41' Middlesbrough FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 41.
- 46' Both keepers have barely been tested. Middlesbrough FC and Millwall FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 51' Femi Azeez has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' Matt Targett needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 58' Josh Coburn does the damage! The net is bulging and Millwall FC surge ahead!
- 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 64' The Millwall FC bench stirs into life. Casper De Norre is withdrawn and Barry Bannan gets his opportunity.
- 69' Jake Cooper is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Millwall FC tonight.
- 74' Millwall FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 78' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Matt Targett trudges off to be replaced by Alex Bangura on 78 minutes.
- 83' Camiel Neghli has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 85' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Mihailo Ivanovic is replaced by Macaulay Langstaff on 85 minute.
- 86' Josh Coburn is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
- 89' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Callum Brittain is replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento on 89 minute.
- 90' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Luke Cundle comes on to replace Billy Mitchell.
- The points are shared — Middlesbrough FC 1-2 Millwall FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2
-
3
Matt Targett ↓ Alex Bangura 78'
- 16
- 6
- 12
- 8
- 13
- 31
- 18
- 29
- 9
Bench
- 25
-
24
Alex Bangura ↑ 78'
- 20
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 89'
- 14
- 32
- 28
- 15
- 44
Coach
Kim Hellberg
Millwall FC Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 5
-
24
Casper De Norre ↓ Barry Bannan 64'
- 13
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↓ Luke Cundle 90'
- 4
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Dan McNamara 90'
- 10
- 19
- 6
- 9
- 3
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 85'
- 23
-
67
Barry Bannan ↑ 64'
- 15
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 90'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 90'
- 7
- 22
- 49
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Martin Braithwaite | 1 |
| Benik Afobe | 1 |
| Dael Fry | 1 |
| George Friend | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2026-04-03
Middlesbrough FC
1–2
Millwall FC
L
2026-03-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-03-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2026-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2026-03-08
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
2026-03-02
Birmingham City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.05
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.62
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC 75% + Over 2.5 goals 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Millwall FC
56%
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
0 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 15% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

