Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 6 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 6 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Backhouse
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)
3 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United FC | 7 | 14 |
| 2 | Swansea City AFC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough FC | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 7 | 12 |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic FC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Birmingham City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Stoke City FC | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Bristol City FC | 6 | 10 |
| 11 | Norwich City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 6 | 9 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 6 | 9 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 5 | 8 |
| 15 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 6 | 8 |
| 17 | Watford FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 6 | 7 |
| 19 | Wrexham AFC | 7 | 7 |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 7 | 4 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 7 | 3 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 7 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #12 |
| 13 | Points | 9 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 4 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 3 |
| 12 | Scored | 11 |
| 8 | Conceded | 11 |
| +4 | GD | +0 |
| 2.17 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 67% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
Middlesbrough FC this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
Middlesbrough FC are 4th (13 pts). Millwall FC are 12th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Millwall FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
–/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Middlesbrough FC
| William Lankshear | 5 G |
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 2 G |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G |
| Tairyk Arconte | 2 G |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Riverside Stadium as Middlesbrough FC face off against Millwall FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Middlesbrough FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Luke Cundle has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 13' Jake Cooper picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 18' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 384 games and scored 406 goals.
- 26' Dael Fry has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 26 minutes.
- 31' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 36' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 41' It looks surprising Millwall FC does not make any changes. Anthony Patterson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 46' The 30-year-old Matt Targett has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 58' Assisted by Mihailo Ivanovic with the perfectly-timed delivery and Josh Coburn makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 63' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 64' Millwall FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Barry Bannan is hanging Casper De Norre on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' Mihailo Ivanovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 74' The travelling Millwall FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 78' The Middlesbrough FC manager makes a substitution. Matt Targett departs to be replaced by Alex Bangura.
- 83' A quiet spell here at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 85' Macaulay Langstaff is replacing Mihailo Ivanovic for the Millwall FC side.
- 86' Josh Coburn has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
- 89' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Callum Brittain is replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento.
- 90' Another change for Millwall FC made on 90 minute. Billy Mitchell leaves to be changed by Luke Cundle.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Millwall FC players.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2
-
3
Matt Targett ↓ Alex Bangura 78'
- 16
- 6
- 12
- 8
- 13
- 31
- 18
- 29
- 9
Bench
- 25
-
24
Alex Bangura ↑ 78'
- 20
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 89'
- 14
- 32
- 28
- 15
- 44
Coach
Kim Hellberg
Millwall FC Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 5
-
24
Casper De Norre ↓ Barry Bannan 64'
- 13
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↓ Luke Cundle 90'
- 4
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Dan McNamara 90'
- 10
- 19
- 6
- 9
- 3
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 85'
- 23
-
67
Barry Bannan ↑ 64'
- 15
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 90'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 90'
- 7
- 22
- 49
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Paddy McNair | 1 |
| Romain Esse | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2026-04-03
Middlesbrough FC
1–2
Millwall FC
L
2026-03-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-03-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2026-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2026-03-08
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
2026-03-02
Birmingham City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.03
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.53
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Millwall FC
55%
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
0 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

