Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC — Championship at Riverside Stadium.
- Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Anthony Backhouse
- Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
- Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Millwall FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 14 Mar | Bristol City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Mar | Charlton Athletic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Mar | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Mar | Birmingham City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr | Middlesbrough FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Mar | Ipswich Town FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Mar | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Hull City AFC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Feb | Preston North End FC | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Middlesbrough FC | Millwall FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #3 |
| 80 | Points | 83 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 22 / 14 / 10 | W / D / L | 24 / 11 / 11 |
| 72 | Scored | 64 |
| 47 | Conceded | 49 |
| +25 | GD | +15 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.80 |
| 48% | Win % | 52% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
31%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Riverside Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Middlesbrough FC and Millwall FC.
- 5' Anthony Patterson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 41 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 13' It’s gonna be a card for Jake Cooper.
- 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Solomon Brynn, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 26' Dael Fry puts Middlesbrough FC on the lead.
- 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
- 41' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Billy Mitchell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alan Browne suffering a number of foals already.
- 58' GOAL! Josh Coburn scores on 58. Assisted by Mihailo Ivanovic
- 63' Millwall FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Josh Coburn scoring 2 goals.
- 64' The supporters are chanting for Barry Bannan. He replaces Casper De Norre on 64 minute.
- 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adilson Malanda made 340 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 78 minute. Matt Targett leaves to be changed by Alex Bangura.
- 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 85' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Mihailo Ivanovic by Macaulay Langstaff on 85 minute.
- 86' Josh Coburn puts Millwall FC on the lead.
- 89' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Callum Brittain is replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento.
- 90' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Billy Mitchell is replaced by Luke Cundle on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
Middlesbrough FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2
-
3
Matt Targett ↓ Alex Bangura 78'
- 16
- 6
- 12
- 8
- 13
- 31
- 18
- 29
- 9
Bench
- 25
-
24
Alex Bangura ↑ 78'
- 20
-
45
Jeremy Sarmiento ↑ 89'
- 14
- 32
- 28
- 15
- 44
Coach
Kim Hellberg
Millwall FC Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 5
-
24
Casper De Norre ↓ Barry Bannan 64'
- 13
-
8
Billy Mitchell ↓ Luke Cundle 90'
- 4
-
11
Femi Azeez ↓ Dan McNamara 90'
- 10
- 19
- 6
- 9
- 3
Bench
-
17
Macaulay Langstaff ↑ 85'
- 23
-
67
Barry Bannan ↑ 64'
- 15
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 90'
-
25
Luke Cundle ↑ 90'
- 7
- 22
- 49
Coach
Alex Neil
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Zian Flemming | 2 |
| Marcus Forss | 2 |
| Duncan Watmore | 2 |
| Josh Coburn | 2 |
| Matty Crooks | 1 |
| Jordan Hugill | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
Head to Head
Middlesbrough FC Form
2026-04-03
Middlesbrough FC
1–2
Millwall FC
L
2026-03-21
Blackburn Rovers FC
0–0
Middlesbrough FC
D
2026-03-14
Middlesbrough FC
1–1
Bristol City FC
D
2026-03-11
Middlesbrough FC
0–1
Charlton Athletic FC
L
2026-03-08
Queens Park Rangers FC
0–4
Middlesbrough FC
W
2026-03-02
Birmingham City FC
1–3
Middlesbrough FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31
Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
Millwall FC xG
I would bet for:
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC 70%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Middlesbrough FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Millwall FC
63%
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC
| Handicap | Middlesbrough FC covers | Push | Millwall FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

