Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Fri 3 Apr 2026 · 11:30 UTC Riverside Stadium 32,100 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dael Fry 26' 1–0
1–1 58' Josh Coburn
1–2 86' Josh Coburn

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Millwall FCChampionship at Riverside Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Anthony Backhouse
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2 Emily Carney (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Millwall FC H 1–2 L
21 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–0 D
14 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
11 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 0–1 L
08 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 4–0 W
02 Mar Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Apr Middlesbrough FC A 2–1 W
21 Mar Ipswich Town FC A 1–1 D
14 Mar Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
10 Mar Derby County FC H 1–0 W
07 Mar Hull City AFC A 3–1 W
28 Feb Preston North End FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Millwall FC
#5 Position #3
80 Points 83
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 24 / 11 / 11
72 Scored 64
47 Conceded 49
+25 GD +15
1.74 PPG 1.80
48% Win % 52%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
31% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Riverside Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Middlesbrough FC and Millwall FC.
  • 5' Anthony Patterson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 41 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Middlesbrough FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 13' It’s gonna be a card for Jake Cooper.
  • 18' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Solomon Brynn, as he is very good at scoring at Riverside Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 26' Dael Fry puts Middlesbrough FC on the lead.
  • 31' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 36' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 41' Millwall FC is showing some good football. However, Millwall FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Billy Mitchell needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alan Browne suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' GOAL! Josh Coburn scores on 58. Assisted by Mihailo Ivanovic
  • 63' Millwall FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Josh Coburn scoring 2 goals.
  • 64' The supporters are chanting for Barry Bannan. He replaces Casper De Norre on 64 minute.
  • 69' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 74' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adilson Malanda made 340 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 78' Another change for Middlesbrough FC made on 78 minute. Matt Targett leaves to be changed by Alex Bangura.
  • 83' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 85' Another substitution for Millwall FC to replace Mihailo Ivanovic by Macaulay Langstaff on 85 minute.
  • 86' Josh Coburn puts Millwall FC on the lead.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Middlesbrough FC. Callum Brittain is replaced by Jeremy Sarmiento.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Millwall FC team. Billy Mitchell is replaced by Luke Cundle on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21 Millwall FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC37% Draw30% Millwall FC33%
Actual: Millwall FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Millwall FC
63%
Middlesbrough FC or Millwall FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC27% Draw49% Millwall FC24%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.4%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Millwall FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.