Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Birmingham City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Mon 2 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Birmingham City FC 13 games · 23 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 13 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Kirk (England)

6 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Middlesbrough FC	13	28
2	Swansea City AFC	13	26
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	13	24
4	West Bromwich Albion FC	13	24
5	Southampton FC	13	23
6	Birmingham City FC	13	23
7	Stoke City FC	13	23
8	West Ham United FC	13	22
9	Queens Park Rangers FC	13	20
10	Sheffield United FC	13	19
11	Portsmouth FC	13	19
12	Millwall FC	13	18
13	Blackburn Rovers FC	13	18
14	Bristol City FC	13	18
15	Norwich City FC	13	15
16	Lincoln City FC	13	15
17	Cardiff City FC	13	14
18	Wrexham AFC	13	14
19	Bolton Wanderers FC	13	14
20	Charlton Athletic FC	13	14
21	Watford FC	13	11
22	Burnley FC	13	9
23	Derby County FC	13	7
24	Preston North End FC	13	5

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 15 games · Avg 2.5 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2025-11-08 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC 2024-03-12 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Middlesbrough FC 2023-10-21 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-01-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
25 Feb	Millwall FC	A	0–3	L
21 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	2–1	W
15 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	3–5	L
10 Feb	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	0–0	D
07 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–1	W

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Birmingham City FC	A	3–1	W
24 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Oxford United FC	H	0–0	D
16 Feb	Coventry City FC	A	1–3	L
09 Feb	Sheffield United FC	A	2–1	W
31 Jan	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#6	Position	#1
23	Points	28
13	Played	13
6 / 5 / 2	W / D / L	8 / 4 / 1
23	Scored	30
13	Conceded	17
+10	GD	+13
1.77	PPG	2.15
46%	Win %	62%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

31% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season

Birmingham City FC are 6th (23 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 1st (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

4/7

46-60

4/1

61-75

4/1

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Middlesbrough FC

0-15

5/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

5/4

61-75

6/3

76+

7/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Birmingham City FC

August Priske	6 G	1 A
Liam Millar	4 G	3 A
Demarai Gray	3 G
Phil Neumann	2 G

Middlesbrough FC

William Lankshear	13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry	3 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Middlesbrough FC get us underway at .
The points are shared — Birmingham City FC 1-3 Middlesbrough FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Britt Assombalonga	3
Scott Hogan	2
Lewis Wing	2
Chuba Akpom	2
Matty Crooks	2
Maxime Colin	1
Liam Millar	1
George Saville	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-02-21 Norwich City FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC W 2026-02-15 Birmingham City FC 3–5 Leeds United FC L 2026-02-10 Birmingham City FC 0–0 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2026-02-07 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Leicester City FC W

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-02-24 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Leicester City FC D 2026-02-21 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2026-02-16 Coventry City FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-09 Sheffield United FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-31 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.52 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.9 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC29% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC46%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.42

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

54%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

71%

Birmingham City FC or Middlesbrough FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC24% Draw41% Middlesbrough FC35%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.3%

1 – 2

8.7%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

5.6%

1 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

4.7%

1 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4.2%

2 – 0

3.8%

0 – 3

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	20%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.