Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Birmingham City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Middlesbrough FC

Mon 2 Mar 2026 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Birmingham City FC vs Middlesbrough FC — Championship .

Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)
Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Kirk (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Birmingham City FC 14 games · Avg 2.4 goals Middlesbrough FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2025-11-08 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC 2024-03-12 Birmingham City FC 0–1 Middlesbrough FC 2023-10-21 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-01-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC

Recent Form

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
25 Feb	Millwall FC	A	0–3	L
21 Feb	Norwich City FC	A	2–1	W
15 Feb	Leeds United FC	H	3–5	L
10 Feb	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	0–0	D
07 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	2–1	W

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
02 Mar	Birmingham City FC	A	3–1	W
24 Feb	Leicester City FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Oxford United FC	H	0–0	D
16 Feb	Coventry City FC	A	1–3	L
09 Feb	Sheffield United FC	A	2–1	W
31 Jan	Norwich City FC	H	1–0	W

Season Stats

Birmingham City FC		Middlesbrough FC
#10	Position	#5
64	Points	80
46	Played	46
17 / 13 / 16	W / D / L	22 / 14 / 10
57	Scored	72
56	Conceded	47
+1	GD	+25
1.39	PPG	1.74
37%	Win %	48%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts). Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Birmingham City FC is hosting Middlesbrough FC for another epic battle.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Middlesbrough FC players.

Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Britt Assombalonga	3
Lewis Wing	2
Chuba Akpom	2
Matty Crooks	2
Scott Hogan	2
Aaron Connolly	1
Odin Bailey	1
Folarin Balogun	1

Head to Head

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-02-21 Norwich City FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC W 2026-02-15 Birmingham City FC 3–5 Leeds United FC L 2026-02-10 Birmingham City FC 0–0 West Bromwich Albion FC D 2026-02-07 Birmingham City FC 2–1 Leicester City FC W

Middlesbrough FC Form

2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-02-24 Middlesbrough FC 1–1 Leicester City FC D 2026-02-21 Middlesbrough FC 0–0 Oxford United FC D 2026-02-16 Coventry City FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-09 Sheffield United FC 1–2 Middlesbrough FC W 2026-01-31 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Norwich City FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.17 Birmingham City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.85 Middlesbrough FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Birmingham City FC24% Draw25% Middlesbrough FC51%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.02

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Birmingham City FC or Draw

50%

Draw or Middlesbrough FC

76%

Birmingham City FC or Middlesbrough FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Birmingham City FC19% Draw43% Middlesbrough FC38%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.4%

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 1

8.3%

0 – 2

8.3%

0 – 0

6.6%

2 – 1

5.9%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 3

1 – 0

4.9%

2 – 3

3.4%

2 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Birmingham City FC

Handicap	Birmingham City FC covers	Push	Middlesbrough FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	14%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	22%	30%
+1.5	70%	—	30%
+2	70%	16%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.