Thursday , 2 July 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Sat 14 Mar 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–1 D
11 Mar Charlton Athletic FC H 0–1 L
08 Mar Queens Park Rangers FC A 4–0 W
02 Mar Birmingham City FC A 3–1 W
24 Feb Leicester City FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Oxford United FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Mar Middlesbrough FC A 1–1 D
10 Mar Leicester City FC A 0–2 L
07 Mar Coventry City FC H 0–2 L
03 Mar Port Vale FC A 0–1 L
27 Feb Watford FC H 1–2 L
24 Feb Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Bristol City FC
#5 Position #12
80 Points 62
46 Played 46
22 / 14 / 10 W / D / L 17 / 11 / 18
72 Scored 59
47 Conceded 59
+25 GD +0
1.74 PPG 1.35
48% Win % 37%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.3 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC or Bristol City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Middlesbrough FC40% Draw30% Bristol City FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Bristol City FC
60%
Middlesbrough FC or Bristol City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC28% Draw50% Bristol City FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.