Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Jonathon Barreiro
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Perth Glory FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | Sydney FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Jan | Macarthur FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Sydney FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Auckland FC | H | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Feb | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 30 Jan | Melbourne City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Adelaide United FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #8 |
| 43 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 12 / 7 / 7 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 36 |
| 36 | Conceded | 48 |
| +10 | GD | -12 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 46% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
82%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between Adelaide United FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Craig Goodwin | 5 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 4 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 3 |
| Kosta Barbarouses | 3 |
| Stefan Mauk | 2 |
| David Ball | 2 |
| Ben Waine | 2 |
| Ken Ilso | 2 |
Head to Head
Adelaide United FC Form
2026-03-06
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2026-02-27
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2026-02-20
Adelaide United FC
4–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2026-02-14
Sydney FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2026-02-08
Adelaide United FC
2–3
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2026-01-30
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Macarthur FC
D
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2026-03-06
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2026-03-01
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Sydney FC
L
2026-02-21
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–5
Auckland FC
L
2026-02-13
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
2–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2026-02-06
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–3
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2026-01-30
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–2
Melbourne City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.22
Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Adelaide United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
45%
Adelaide United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC
| Handicap | Adelaide United FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 17% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 21% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

