Saturday , 12 September 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Fri 6 Mar 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Jonathon Barreiro
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–1 D
27 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 1–1 D
20 Feb Perth Glory FC H 4–0 W
14 Feb Sydney FC A 2–1 W
08 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 2–3 L
30 Jan Macarthur FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Mar Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Sydney FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Auckland FC H 0–5 L
13 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 2–3 L
30 Jan Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#2 Position #8
43 Points 33
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
46 Scored 36
36 Conceded 48
+10 GD -12
1.65 PPG 1.27
46% Win % 35%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.22 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC55% Draw22% Wellington Phoenix FC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
45%
Adelaide United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Adelaide United FC41% Draw39% Wellington Phoenix FC20%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
1 – 0
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 21% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.