Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Adelaide United FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 6 Mar 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Jonathon Barreiro
Referee

11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game ⚽ 2.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-06 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2026-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Adelaide United FC 2025-11-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC 2025-04-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Wellington Phoenix FC 2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–1	D
27 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	4–0	W
14 Feb	Sydney FC	A	2–1	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–3	L
30 Jan	Macarthur FC	H	1–1	D

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Mar	Adelaide United FC	A	1–1	D
01 Mar	Sydney FC	H	0–1	L
21 Feb	Auckland FC	H	0–5	L
13 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–2	D
06 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	H	2–3	L
30 Jan	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#2	Position	#8
43	Points	33
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
46	Scored	36
36	Conceded	48
+10	GD	-12
1.65	PPG	1.27
46%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Adelaide United FC is hosting Wellington Phoenix FC for another epic battle.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Craig Goodwin	5
Hiroshi Ibusuki	4
Luka Jovanovic	3
Kosta Barbarouses	3
Ben Waine	2
Ken Ilso	2
Ben Old	2
Johan Absalonsen	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2026-03-06 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-20 Adelaide United FC 4–0 Perth Glory FC W 2026-02-14 Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2026-02-08 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2026-01-30 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2026-03-06 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2026-03-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Sydney FC L 2026-02-21 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–5 Auckland FC L 2026-02-13 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–2 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-30 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

2.22 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.37 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC55% Draw22% Wellington Phoenix FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.59

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

45%

Adelaide United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Adelaide United FC41% Draw39% Wellington Phoenix FC20%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

2 – 0

6.9%

3 – 1

6.6%

2 – 2

6.1%

1 – 0

5.7%

1 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.9%

3 – 2

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

4 – 1

3.7%

0 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	65%
-1.5	35%	—	65%
-1	35%	21%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.