Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Sydney FC

2 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Sydney FC 26 games · 39 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee Lachlan Keevers

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Sydney FC 22 games · Avg 3.2 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 Sydney FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC 2025-11-22 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Sydney FC 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Sydney FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	2–2	D
01 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–0	W
21 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
17 Feb	Auckland FC	H	1–1	D
14 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–2	L
07 Feb	Auckland FC	A	0–1	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	Sydney FC	A	2–2	D
27 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Sydney FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#5	Position	#4
39	Points	40
26	Played	26
11 / 6 / 9	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
33	Scored	44
25	Conceded	33
+8	GD	+11
1.50	PPG	1.54
42%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Melbourne Victory FC kicks off things out of here…
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Sydney FC 2-2 Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Adam Le Fondre	8
Kosta Barbarouses	5
Milos Ninkovic	4
Ola Toivonen	4
Bobo	3
Zinedine Machach	3
Bruno Fornaroli	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2

Head to Head

Sydney FC Form

2026-03-07 Sydney FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2026-03-01 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Sydney FC W 2026-02-21 Sydney FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2026-02-17 Sydney FC 1–1 Auckland FC D 2026-02-14 Sydney FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC L 2026-02-07 Auckland FC 1–0 Sydney FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-03-07 Sydney FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.43 Sydney FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.41 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sydney FC38% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC34%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.84

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw

66%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

62%

Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Sydney FC27% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC27%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.7%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 0

7.7%

1 – 0

7.4%

0 – 1

7.3%

2 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

5.7%

3 – 1

3.9%

1 – 3

3.8%

3 – 2

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap	Sydney FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	19%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	19%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.