Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Melbourne Victory FC H 2–2 D
01 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
21 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
17 Feb Auckland FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Auckland FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W
14 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–1 D
06 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–2 W
01 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Sydney FC Melbourne Victory FC
#5 Position #4
39 Points 40
26 Played 26
11 / 6 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
33 Scored 44
25 Conceded 33
+8 GD +11
1.50 PPG 1.54
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sydney FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sydney FC
Tiago Quintal 5 G 3 A
Al Hassan Toure 5 G 1 A
Campuzano 4 G 3 A
Joe Lolley 4 G 2 A
Patrick Wood 4 G 1 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Sydney FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sydney FC38% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Sydney FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
62%
Sydney FC or Melbourne Victory FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sydney FC27% Draw46% Melbourne Victory FC27%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
3.9%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Sydney FC

Handicap Sydney FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.