Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne City FC

1 – 3

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 08:35 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Elder
Referee Daniel Ilievski (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne City FC 24 games · Avg 2.8 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-12-20 Melbourne City FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-11-08 Melbourne Victory FC 0–2 Melbourne City FC 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC

Recent Form

Melbourne City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–3	L
07 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–1	D
30 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–2	D
24 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	2–6	L
16 Jan	Auckland FC	H	2–1	W
11 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	0–1	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#6	Position	#4
38	Points	40
26	Played	26
10 / 8 / 8	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
33	Scored	44
33	Conceded	33
+0	GD	+11
1.46	PPG	1.54
38%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Melbourne City FC have kicked off against Melbourne Victory FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
The final score is 1-3.

Lineups

Melbourne City FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamie MacLaren	10
Ola Toivonen	4
Nishan Velupillay	3
Aiden O'Neill	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Mathew Leckie	3
Marco Rojas	3
Jake Brimmer	3

Head to Head

Melbourne City FC Form

2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-02-07 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2026-01-30 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2026-01-24 Macarthur FC 6–2 Melbourne City FC L 2026-01-16 Melbourne City FC 2–1 Auckland FC W 2026-01-11 Melbourne City FC 0–1 Newcastle United Jets FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.28 Melbourne City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.64 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC30% Draw28% Melbourne Victory FC42%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.92

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw

58%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

70%

Melbourne City FC or Melbourne Victory FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne City FC23% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC32%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 1

0 – 0

7.2%

0 – 2

7.1%

2 – 1

1 – 0

2 – 2

5.7%

1 – 3

Actual

2 – 0

4.4%

0 – 3

3.8%

2 – 3

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap	Melbourne City FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	16%	71%
-0.5	29%	—	71%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	21%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	14%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.