Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Macarthur FC

Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Macarthur FC 26 games · 34 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 12 games · Avg 2.8 goals Macarthur FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC 2025-12-05 Macarthur FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-04-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Macarthur FC	H	4–1	W
07 Mar	Sydney FC	A	2–2	D
27 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W

Macarthur FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–4	L
04 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
28 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–4	L
22 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–1	L
06 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	2–2	D
30 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Macarthur FC
#4	Position	#7
40	Points	34
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 7 / 10
44	Scored	37
33	Conceded	44
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.31
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Macarthur FC.
The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 4-1 Macarthur FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Macarthur FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nicholas D'Agostino	2
Ben Folami	2
Elvis Kamsoba	2
James Meredith	2
Matt Derbyshire	2
Tomislav Uskok	1
Apostolos Giannou	1
Matthew Millar	1

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC W 2026-03-07 Sydney FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W

Macarthur FC Form

2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC L 2026-03-04 Macarthur FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-02-28 Macarthur FC 0–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2026-02-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–0 Macarthur FC L 2026-02-06 Macarthur FC 2–2 Perth Glory FC D 2026-01-30 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.23 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Macarthur FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC64% Draw21% Macarthur FC15%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Macarthur FC

36%

Melbourne Victory FC or Macarthur FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC46% Draw40% Macarthur FC14%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.4%

1 – 0

3 – 1

3 – 0

6.8%

0 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 2

4.4%

4 – 1

Actual

4 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Macarthur FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	19%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	22%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.