Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Macarthur FC

Sun 15 Mar 2026 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Macarthur FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Macarthur FC 26 games · 34 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 12 games · Avg 2.8 goals Macarthur FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC 2025-12-05 Macarthur FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-04-25 Macarthur FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC 2024-02-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Macarthur FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Macarthur FC	H	4–1	W
07 Mar	Sydney FC	A	2–2	D
27 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
14 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W

Macarthur FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–4	L
04 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	1–3	L
28 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–4	L
22 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–1	L
06 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	2–2	D
30 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Macarthur FC
#4	Position	#7
40	Points	34
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 7 / 10
44	Scored	37
33	Conceded	44
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.31
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Macarthur FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Macarthur FC are 7th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Macarthur FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/2

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Macarthur FC

Harry Sawyer	6 G	1 A
Mitchell Duke	5 G	3 A
Luke Vickery	5 G	1 A
Rafael Duran	4 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Melbourne Victory FC and Macarthur FC.
The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Macarthur FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ben Folami	2
Elvis Kamsoba	2
James Meredith	2
Matt Derbyshire	2
Nicholas D'Agostino	2
Yianni Nicolaou	1
Jake Brimmer	1
Jake Hollmann	1

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC W 2026-03-07 Sydney FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W

Macarthur FC Form

2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC L 2026-03-04 Macarthur FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-02-28 Macarthur FC 0–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2026-02-22 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–0 Macarthur FC L 2026-02-06 Macarthur FC 2–2 Perth Glory FC D 2026-01-30 Adelaide United FC 1–1 Macarthur FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.23 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.04 Macarthur FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC64% Draw21% Macarthur FC15%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Macarthur FC

36%

Melbourne Victory FC or Macarthur FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC46% Draw40% Macarthur FC14%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.6%

2 – 1

9.5%

2 – 0

9.4%

1 – 0

3 – 1

3 – 0

6.8%

0 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 2

4.4%

4 – 1

Actual

4 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Macarthur FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	19%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	22%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Macarthur FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.