Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Sydney FCA League .

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Referee Eric Saba (Australia)
19 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Sydney FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Auckland FC H 0–5 L
13 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 2–3 L
30 Jan Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D
23 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
21 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
17 Feb Auckland FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Auckland FC A 0–1 L
31 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Sydney FC
#8 Position #5
33 Points 39
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 9
36 Scored 33
48 Conceded 25
-12 GD +8
1.27 PPG 1.50
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sydney FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Sydney FC
Tiago Quintal 5 G 3 A
Al Hassan Toure 5 G 1 A
Campuzano 4 G 3 A
Joe Lolley 4 G 2 A
Patrick Wood 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Sydney FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC26% Draw30% Sydney FC44%
Actual: Sydney FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Sydney FC
74%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Sydney FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC17% Draw50% Sydney FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Sydney FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 52% 48%
+1 52% 24% 24%
+1.5 76% 24%
+2 76% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.