Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 1 Mar 2026 · 02:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Sydney FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Referee Eric Saba (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Sydney FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Auckland FC H 0–5 L
13 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–2 D
06 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 2–3 L
30 Jan Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D
23 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
21 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W
17 Feb Auckland FC H 1–1 D
14 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–2 L
07 Feb Auckland FC A 0–1 L
31 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 4–1 W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Sydney FC
#8 Position #5
33 Points 39
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 9
36 Scored 33
48 Conceded 25
-12 GD +8
1.27 PPG 1.50
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Sydney FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.92 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Sydney FC xG
I would bet for: Sydney FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC26% Draw30% Sydney FC44%
Actual: Sydney FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Sydney FC
74%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Sydney FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC17% Draw50% Sydney FC33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Sydney FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 14% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 24% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.