Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Perth Glory FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 1 Feb 2025 · 10:45 UTC HBF Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Perth Glory FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at HBF Park.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Referee Kris Griffiths-Jones (Australia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Melbourne Victory FC H 0–2 L
25 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–2 D
14 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 1–2 L
11 Jan Auckland FC H 1–0 W
08 Jan Sydney FC A 0–3 L
03 Jan Western United FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Feb Perth Glory FC A 2–0 W
24 Jan Sydney FC H 2–0 W
18 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L
10 Jan Western United FC H 3–4 L
04 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Auckland FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Perth Glory FC Melbourne Victory FC
#10 Position #4
31 Points 40
26 Played 26
8 / 7 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
32 Scored 44
39 Conceded 33
-7 GD +11
1.19 PPG 1.54
31% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Perth Glory FC are 10th (31 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at HBF Park!
  • 5' William Freney has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' Perth Glory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. David Zdrilic will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' It looks surprising Perth Glory FC does not make any changes. Patrick Wood has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 35' Perth Glory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' Adam Taggart is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Ryan Teague on 45 minutes earns him a card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daniel Arzani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 55' A quiet spell here at HBF Park. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 60' Nishan Velupillay has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 61' Nishan Velupillay adds to his 1 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 66' What composure from Clarismario! The Brazil international strokes it home. 0-2.
  • 68' Perth Glory FC ring the changes. Jaylan Pearman has done his job and it is now time for Lachlan Wales to step up.
  • 73' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a card for William Freney.
  • 79' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Zinedine Machach has done his job and it is now time for Reno Piscopo to step up.
  • 83' Another change for Perth Glory FC made on 83 minute. William Freney leaves to be changed by Nikola Mileusnic.
  • 87' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Jordi Valadon is withdrawn and Fabian Monge gets his opportunity.
  • Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.04 Perth Glory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.74 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Perth Glory FC24% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC50%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Perth Glory FC or Draw
50%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
76%
Perth Glory FC or Melbourne Victory FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Perth Glory FC18% Draw45% Melbourne Victory FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Perth Glory FC

Handicap Perth Glory FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 13% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 23% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Perth Glory FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.