Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Newcastle United Jets FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at McDonald Jones Stadium.
- Newcastle United Jets FC 26 games · 48 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee Daniel Elder
7 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
2024-02-03
Newcastle United Jets FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
2023-10-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–3
Newcastle United Jets FC
2023-02-12
Newcastle United Jets FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
2022-11-04
Melbourne Victory FC
4–0
Newcastle United Jets FC
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Feb | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 17 Jan | Western United FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jan | Macarthur FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 07 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Newcastle United Jets FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #4 |
| 48 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 15 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 44 |
| 39 | Conceded | 33 |
| +16 | GD | +11 |
| 1.85 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 58% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Newcastle United Jets FC this season
Newcastle United Jets FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Newcastle United Jets FC are 1st (48 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Newcastle United Jets FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Newcastle United Jets FC
| Eli Adams | 10 G | 4 A |
| Clayton Taylor | 9 G | 3 A |
| Lachlan Rose | 8 G | 1 A |
| Xavier Bertoncello | 7 G | 1 A |
| Lachlan Bayliss | 5 G | 3 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Newcastle United Jets FC host Melbourne Victory FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Nikolaos Vergos has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 10' Nishan Velupillay needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 21' Poor challenge from Mark Natta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 26' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 31' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Diles will be considering his options from the bench.
- 36' Newcastle United Jets FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
- 41' Newcastle United Jets FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 42' The Newcastle United Jets FC manager makes a substitution. Phillip Cancar departs to be replaced by Kota Mizunuma.
- 44' The referee has no hesitation. Ryan Teague is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 44.
- 45' Lachlan Bayliss has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' Newcastle United Jets FC ring the changes. Ben Gibson has done his job and it is now time for Lachlan Rose to step up.
- 51' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 57' The referee has no hesitation. Adama Traore is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 57.
- 62' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 67' Newcastle United Jets FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 69' Daniel Arzani is replacing Zinedine Machach for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
- 74' Nikolaos Vergos makes way for Bruno Fornaroli at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- 75' It is a substitution in Newcastle United Jets FC team. Lachlan Bayliss is replaced by Charles M'Mombwa on 75 minute.
- 80' It looks like no one’s ball. Newcastle United Jets FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 82' Mitch Langerak picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Newcastle United Jets FC that had 206 games and scored 277 goals.
- 90' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Jing Reec comes on to replace Ryan Teague.
- With this win, Newcastle United Jets FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Newcastle United Jets FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 23
- 19
- 33
-
4
Phillip Cancar ↓ Kota Mizunuma 42'
- 39
- 7
- 17
- 13
- 37
-
22
Ben Gibson ↓ Lachlan Rose 46'
Bench
-
18
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 42'
-
20
Charles M'Mombwa ↑ 75'
- 1
- 10
-
9
Lachlan Rose ↑ 46'
- 6
- 28
Coach
Robert Stanton
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
- 1
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Fabian Monge 90'
-
6
Ryan Teague ↓ Jing Reec 90'
- 22
- 17
- 14
- 9
- 11
Bench
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 69'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 74'
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 75'
- 25
- 34
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 90'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 90'
Coach
Arthur Diles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Fornaroli | 5 |
| Clayton Taylor | 4 |
| Nishan Velupillay | 3 |
| Beka Mikeltadze | 3 |
| Terry Antonis | 2 |
| Chris Ikonomidis | 2 |
| Valentino Yuel | 2 |
| Jake Brimmer | 2 |
Head to Head
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
2024-02-03
Newcastle United Jets FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
2023-10-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–3
Newcastle United Jets FC
2023-02-12
Newcastle United Jets FC
2–1
Melbourne Victory FC
2022-11-04
Melbourne Victory FC
4–0
Newcastle United Jets FC
Newcastle United Jets FC Form
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-02-01
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–2
Newcastle United Jets FC
D
2025-01-25
Newcastle United Jets FC
2–2
Perth Glory FC
D
2025-01-17
Western United FC
3–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2025-01-12
Newcastle United Jets FC
1–3
Macarthur FC
L
2025-01-07
Brisbane Roar FC
0–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-02-01
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-01-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Sydney FC
W
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
2025-01-04
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.11
Newcastle United Jets FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.7
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 72% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Newcastle United Jets FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.81
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 3.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 4.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
Double Chance
Newcastle United Jets FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
52%
Newcastle United Jets FC or Melbourne Victory FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 3
3.7%
0 – 0
3.4%
3 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Newcastle United Jets FC
| Handicap | Newcastle United Jets FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Newcastle United Jets FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

