Sunday , 16 August 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Sydney FC H 2–0 W
18 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L
10 Jan Western United FC H 3–4 L
04 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Auckland FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Sydney FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Melbourne Victory FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 3–4 L
15 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
08 Jan Perth Glory FC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Sydney FC
#4 Position #5
40 Points 39
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 9
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 25
+11 GD +8
1.54 PPG 1.50
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sydney FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Sydney FC
Tiago Quintal 5 G 3 A
Al Hassan Toure 5 G 1 A
Campuzano 4 G 3 A
Joe Lolley 4 G 2 A
Patrick Wood 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory FC are looking to make home advantage count against Sydney FC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Sydney FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
  • 20' The travelling Sydney FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 23' The referee has no hesitation. Patryk Klimala is booked for Sydney FC — card on 23.
  • 24' The Greece Nikolaos Vergos breaks the deadlock on 24 minutes. 1-0!
  • 27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Roderick Miranda on 27.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' Jaiden Kucharski is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Melbourne Victory FC tonight.
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ufuk Talay will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 47' Zachary de Jesus makes way for Jordan Courtney-Perkins at the 47 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sydney FC.
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Sydney FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 62' Sydney FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
  • 63' Anas Ouahim is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 65' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 65 minute. Nishan Velupillay leaves to be changed by Daniel Arzani.
  • 67' Sydney FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jaushua Sotirio is hanging Patryk Klimala on the field on 67 minute.
  • 72' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 75' Bruno Fornaroli gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Nikolaos Vergos and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Sydney FC's compact .
  • 85' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 86' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 86 minute. Jordi Valadon leaves to be changed by Fabian Monge.
  • 90' GOAL! Roderick Miranda scores on 90. Assisted by Kasey Bos
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruno Fornaroli on 90 minutes.
  • The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 2-0 Sydney FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Sydney FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC49% Draw27% Sydney FC24%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sydney FC
51%
Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC34% Draw47% Sydney FC19%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Sydney FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.