Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Sydney FC H 2–0 W
18 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L
10 Jan Western United FC H 3–4 L
04 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Auckland FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Sydney FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Melbourne Victory FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 3–4 L
15 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
08 Jan Perth Glory FC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Sydney FC
#4 Position #5
40 Points 39
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 9
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 25
+11 GD +8
1.54 PPG 1.50
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zachary de Jesus suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Brazil international Clarismario has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 23' Controversy at the stadium! Patryk Klimala argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 24' Brilliant from the ! Nikolaos Vergos makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 24.
  • 27' Roderick Miranda is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' Sydney FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 42' Joel King has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 215 appearances.
  • 47' The Sydney FC bench stirs into life. Zachary de Jesus is withdrawn and Jordan Courtney-Perkins gets his opportunity.
  • 52' The 35-year-old Rhyan Grant has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sydney FC that had 215 games and scored 341 goals.
  • 62' Sydney FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Anas Ouahim.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Daniel Arzani on, Nishan Velupillay off on 65 minutes.
  • 67' Jaushua Sotirio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patryk Klimala at the 67 minute mark.
  • 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 75' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Nikolaos Vergos is replaced by Bruno Fornaroli on 75 minute.
  • 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 86' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Jordi Valadon is replaced by Fabian Monge.
  • 90' The deadlock is broken! Roderick Miranda gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Bruno Fornaroli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 2-0 Sydney FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Sydney FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC49% Draw27% Sydney FC24%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sydney FC
51%
Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC34% Draw47% Sydney FC19%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Sydney FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.