Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 24 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Sydney FC H 2–0 W
18 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L
10 Jan Western United FC H 3–4 L
04 Jan Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Auckland FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Sydney FC A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Melbourne Victory FC A 0–2 L
18 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 3–4 L
15 Jan Wellington Phoenix FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
08 Jan Perth Glory FC H 3–0 W
04 Jan Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Sydney FC
#4 Position #5
40 Points 39
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 11 / 6 / 9
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 25
+11 GD +8
1.54 PPG 1.50
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sydney FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Sydney FC
Tiago Quintal 5 G 3 A
Al Hassan Toure 5 G 1 A
Campuzano 4 G 3 A
Joe Lolley 4 G 2 A
Patrick Wood 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Melbourne Victory FC host Sydney FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Teague is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sydney FC.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Sydney FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 23' Poor challenge from Patryk Klimala. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 24' Nikolaos Vergos does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
  • 27' It’s gonna be a card for Roderick Miranda.
  • 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Sydney FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
  • 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 47' Another change for Sydney FC made on 47 minute. Zachary de Jesus leaves to be changed by Jordan Courtney-Perkins.
  • 52' Sydney FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 57' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 62' The 33-year-old Brendan Hamill has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' Sydney FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 65' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Arzani is hanging Nishan Velupillay on the field on 65 minute.
  • 67' Another substitution for Sydney FC to replace Patryk Klimala by Jaushua Sotirio on 67 minute.
  • 72' Sydney FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
  • 75' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 75 minute. Nikolaos Vergos leaves to be changed by Bruno Fornaroli.
  • 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 85' Sydney FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 86' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Jordi Valadon is withdrawn and Fabian Monge gets his opportunity.
  • 90' A stunning finish from Roderick Miranda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 90' Bruno Fornaroli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • With this win, Melbourne Victory FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Sydney FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC49% Draw27% Sydney FC24%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sydney FC
51%
Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC34% Draw47% Sydney FC19%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Sydney FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 23% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.