Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Sydney FC 26 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
7 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jan | Auckland FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 15 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Jan | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 40 | Points | 39 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 33 |
| 33 | Conceded | 25 |
| +11 | GD | +8 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Sydney FC this season
Sydney FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sydney FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Sydney FC
| Tiago Quintal | 5 G | 3 A |
| Al Hassan Toure | 5 G | 1 A |
| Campuzano | 4 G | 3 A |
| Joe Lolley | 4 G | 2 A |
| Patrick Wood | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Melbourne Victory FC host Sydney FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ryan Teague is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Sydney FC.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Sydney FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 23' Poor challenge from Patryk Klimala. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 24' Nikolaos Vergos does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
- 27' It’s gonna be a card for Roderick Miranda.
- 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 37' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Sydney FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
- 42' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 47' Another change for Sydney FC made on 47 minute. Zachary de Jesus leaves to be changed by Jordan Courtney-Perkins.
- 52' Sydney FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 57' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 62' The 33-year-old Brendan Hamill has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 63' Sydney FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 65' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Daniel Arzani is hanging Nishan Velupillay on the field on 65 minute.
- 67' Another substitution for Sydney FC to replace Patryk Klimala by Jaushua Sotirio on 67 minute.
- 72' Sydney FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 75' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 75 minute. Nikolaos Vergos leaves to be changed by Bruno Fornaroli.
- 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 85' Sydney FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 86' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Jordi Valadon is withdrawn and Fabian Monge gets his opportunity.
- 90' A stunning finish from Roderick Miranda — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' Bruno Fornaroli picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- With this win, Melbourne Victory FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
- 1
- 6
- 22
- 17
-
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 86'
- 28
- 9
-
11
Clarismario ↓ Reno Piscopo 75'
Bench
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 65'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 75'
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 75'
- 3
- 25
- 16
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 86'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Sydney FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 9
- 16
- 15
- 8
-
7
Adrian Segecic ↓ Tiago Quintal 67'
- 41
- 21
- 6
- 12
Bench
- 1
-
31
Jaushua Sotirio ↑ 67'
-
4
Jordan Courtney-Perkins ↑ 47'
- 3
-
25
Jaiden Kucharski ↑ 86'
- 29
-
20
Tiago Quintal ↑ 67'
Coach
Ufuk Talay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adam Le Fondre | 8 |
| Kosta Barbarouses | 5 |
| Ola Toivonen | 4 |
| Milos Ninkovic | 4 |
| Bobo | 3 |
| Zinedine Machach | 3 |
| Jake Brimmer | 2 |
| Joe Lolley | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-01-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Sydney FC
W
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
2025-01-04
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
D
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Sydney FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Sydney FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Sydney FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sydney FC
51%
Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Sydney FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

