Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Sydney FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Sydney FC 26 games · 39 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee Lachlan Keevers
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jan | Auckland FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 15 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Jan | Perth Glory FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Jan | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Sydney FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #5 |
| 40 | Points | 39 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 6 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 33 |
| 33 | Conceded | 25 |
| +11 | GD | +8 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Sydney FC are 5th (39 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zachary de Jesus suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' Brazil international Clarismario has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 23' Controversy at the stadium! Patryk Klimala argues furiously but the card stands.
- 24' Brilliant from the ! Nikolaos Vergos makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 24.
- 27' Roderick Miranda is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
- 32' Sydney FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 42' Joel King has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 215 appearances.
- 47' The Sydney FC bench stirs into life. Zachary de Jesus is withdrawn and Jordan Courtney-Perkins gets his opportunity.
- 52' The 35-year-old Rhyan Grant has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sydney FC that had 215 games and scored 341 goals.
- 62' Sydney FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Anas Ouahim.
- 65' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Daniel Arzani on, Nishan Velupillay off on 65 minutes.
- 67' Jaushua Sotirio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Patryk Klimala at the 67 minute mark.
- 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 75' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Nikolaos Vergos is replaced by Bruno Fornaroli on 75 minute.
- 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 85' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 86' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Jordi Valadon is replaced by Fabian Monge.
- 90' The deadlock is broken! Roderick Miranda gets on the scoresheet on 90 minutes.
- 90' Bruno Fornaroli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
- The points are shared — Melbourne Victory FC 2-0 Sydney FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
- 1
- 6
- 22
- 17
-
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 86'
- 28
- 9
-
11
Clarismario ↓ Reno Piscopo 75'
Bench
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 65'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 75'
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 75'
- 3
- 25
- 16
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 86'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Sydney FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 9
- 16
- 15
- 8
-
7
Adrian Segecic ↓ Tiago Quintal 67'
- 41
- 21
- 6
- 12
Bench
- 1
-
31
Jaushua Sotirio ↑ 67'
-
4
Jordan Courtney-Perkins ↑ 47'
- 3
-
25
Jaiden Kucharski ↑ 86'
- 29
-
20
Tiago Quintal ↑ 67'
Coach
Ufuk Talay
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Adam Le Fondre | 8 |
| Kosta Barbarouses | 5 |
| Ola Toivonen | 4 |
| Milos Ninkovic | 4 |
| Bobo | 3 |
| Zinedine Machach | 3 |
| Joe Lolley | 2 |
| Robert Mak | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-01-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Sydney FC
W
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
2025-01-04
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
D
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Sydney FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Sydney FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Sydney FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.61
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Sydney FC
51%
Melbourne Victory FC or Sydney FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Sydney FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Sydney FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

