Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Kersey
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 04 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jan | Auckland FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | Melbourne City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Dec | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 07 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | Perth Glory FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Auckland FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Sydney FC | A | 4–3 | W |
Key Stats
85%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at AAMI Park. Melbourne Victory FC are looking to make home advantage count against Western United FC.
- 5' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Western United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 9' Assisted by Jordi Valadon with the perfectly-timed delivery and Brendan Hamill makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 14' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Western United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 17' A goal from the Japan international Hiroshi Ibusuki! He fires home on 17 to make it 1-1!
- 22' The travelling Western United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 24' Angus Thurgate catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 24.
- 29' Supporters expect more eagerness from Riku Danzaki, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 34' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 39' GOAL! Bruno Fornaroli scores on 39. Assisted by Daniel Arzani
- 44' Western United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Western United FC that had 150 games and scored 248 goals.
- 54' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 56.
- 57' It’s a booking for Western United FC player. Ben Garuccio gets a card.
- 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 66' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Reno Piscopo has done his job and it is now time for Nishan Velupillay to step up.
- 69' GOAL! Abel Walatee fires home to make it 2-2!
- 74' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 75' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Adama Traore is replaced by Kasey Bos on 75 minute.
- 76' Nikolaos Vergos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Fornaroli at the 76 minute mark.
- 78' Western United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Matthew Grimaldi is hanging Abel Walatee on the field on 78 minute.
- 79' Magnificent from Clarismario! That is 5 goals in 210 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 87' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Zinedine Machach is replaced by Joshua Rawlins on 87 minute.
- 88' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Kasey Bos on 88 minutes.
- 90' It’s a booking for Western United FC player. Noah Botic gets a card.
- Melbourne Victory FC will have plenty to reflect on. Western United FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Clarismario 75'
- 10
- 27
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 75'
- 6
- 25
- 2
- 14
Bench
-
22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 87'
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 66'
- 18
-
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
- 30
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 76'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 75'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Western United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 33
- 32
- 13
- 17
- 6
- 9
-
23
Rhys Bozinovski ↓ Jordan Lauton 75'
- 19
-
37
Luke Vickery ↓ Riku Danzaki 78'
-
20
Abel Walatee ↓ Matthew Grimaldi 78'
- 30
Bench
- 7
-
77
Riku Danzaki ↑ 78'
- 24
- 1
- 22
-
44
Jordan Lauton ↑ 75'
-
10
Matthew Grimaldi ↑ 78'
Coach
John Aloisi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Besart Berisha | 4 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Noah Botic | 3 |
| Ben Folami | 2 |
| Daniel Penha | 2 |
| Elvis Kamsoba | 2 |
| Brendan Hamill | 2 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
2025-01-04
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
D
2025-01-01
Auckland FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-12-28
Sydney FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-12-21
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
2024-12-08
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
Western United FC Form
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
W
2025-01-07
Melbourne City FC
2–0
Western United FC
L
2025-01-03
Perth Glory FC
2–3
Western United FC
W
2024-12-29
Western United FC
1–0
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2024-12-21
Auckland FC
0–4
Western United FC
W
2024-12-14
Sydney FC
3–4
Western United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Western United FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Western United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Western United FC
63%
Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
0 – 1
4.6%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Western United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 18% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 11% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Western United FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.