Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 4

Full Time

Western United FC

Fri 10 Jan 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 24' Angus Thurgate

Adama Traore 56' Y

Daniel Arzani 56' Y

Y 57' Ben Garuccio

Kasey Bos 88' Y

Y 90' Noah Botic

Y 90' Matthew Grimaldi

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Western United FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Adam Kersey
Referee

18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 13 games · Avg 3.9 goals Western United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC 2024-12-01 Western United FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-03-14 Western United FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-20 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Western United FC 2023-03-13 Melbourne Victory FC 1–2 Western United FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Western United FC	H	3–4	L
04 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
01 Jan	Auckland FC	A	0–0	D
28 Dec	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L
21 Dec	Melbourne City FC	H	1–1	D
08 Dec	Perth Glory FC	H	2–0	W

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Jan	Melbourne Victory FC	A	4–3	W
07 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–2	L
03 Jan	Perth Glory FC	A	3–2	W
29 Dec	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–0	W
21 Dec	Auckland FC	A	4–0	W
14 Dec	Sydney FC	A	4–3	W

Key Stats

85% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Melbourne Victory FC and Western United FC is underway.
5' Tate Russell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
9' Brendan Hamill puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
14' Nikolaos Vergos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
17' What a strike from Hiroshi Ibusuki! The score is 1-1.
22' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
24' It’s gonna be a card for Angus Thurgate.
29' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
34' The travelling Western United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
39' GOAL! Bruno Fornaroli scores on 39. Assisted by Daniel Arzani
44' It’s high time John Aloisi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
56' The referee calls foul for Adama Traore. He receives a card.
57' Western United FC player sees a card in front of him.
62' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 62.
66' Nishan Velupillay has so much to prove this time. He replaces Reno Piscopo on 66 minute.
69' What a strike from Abel Walatee! The score is 2-2.
74' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dylan Leonard suffering a number of foals already.
75' The supporters are chanting for Kasey Bos. He replaces Adama Traore on 75 minute.
76' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Bruno Fornaroli by Nikolaos Vergos on 76 minute.
78' Matthew Grimaldi is replacing Abel Walatee for the Western United FC side.
79' Melbourne Victory FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Clarismario on 79.
84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
87' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Zinedine Machach by Joshua Rawlins on 87 minute.
88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kasey Bos on 88.
90' It’s a booking for Western United FC player. Noah Botic gets a card.
Another three points for Western United FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Joshua Rawlins 87'
5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Clarismario 75'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 76'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Nishan Velupillay 66'
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 75'
6
Ryan Teague
25
Jack Duncan
2
Jason Geria
14
Jordi Valadon

Bench

22
Joshua Rawlins ↑ 87'
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 66'
18
Fabian Monge
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 76'
11
Clarismario ↑ 75'

Coach Arthur Diles

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach John Aloisi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Besart Berisha	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Noah Botic	3
Brendan Hamill	2
Hiroshi Ibusuki	2
Jacob Butterfield	2
Rudy Gestede	2
Alessandro Diamanti	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC L 2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-01 Auckland FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-12-28 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-12-21 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Melbourne City FC D 2024-12-08 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Perth Glory FC W

Western United FC Form

2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC W 2025-01-07 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Western United FC L 2025-01-03 Perth Glory FC 2–3 Western United FC W 2024-12-29 Western United FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2024-12-21 Auckland FC 0–4 Western United FC W 2024-12-14 Sydney FC 3–4 Western United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.77 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 Western United FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC37% Draw25% Western United FC38%

Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.5

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Western United FC

63%

Melbourne Victory FC or Western United FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC30% Draw41% Western United FC29%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted

3 – 4

Actual

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 1

7.9%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 2

6.8%

2 – 0

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 1

4.6%

0 – 1

4.6%

0 – 2

4.6%

1 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

4.4%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Western United FC covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	12%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	18%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	63%	—	37%
+1	63%	18%	20%
+1.5	80%	—	20%
+2	80%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.