Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)
- Assistant 1 Owen Goldrick
- Assistant 2 James Sherry
9 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 6.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Macarthur FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Sydney FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Feb | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Sydney FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Auckland FC | H | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC has kicked off!
- 5' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Jack Warshawsky is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
- 22' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Jason Davidson on, Sebastian Esposito off on 22 minutes.
- 27' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Wellington Phoenix FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 32' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 34' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 34.
- 39' New Zealand international Lukas Kelly-Heald has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 44' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Charles Nduka on, Nikolaos Vergos off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 54' Nishan Velupillay was booked on 54.
- 59' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' Lukas Kelly-Heald gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Daniel Edwards and will look to change the dynamic.
- 66' The 22-year-old Matt Sheridan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 68' The crowd applauds Keegan Jelacic as he leaves the pitch. Reno Piscopo steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 73' Ramy Najjarine makes way for Sander Kartum at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 76' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
- 81' Corban Piper needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 83' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Paulo Retre by Fin Conchie on 83 minute.
- 84' The Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes a substitution. Corban Piper departs to be replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith.
- 88' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Mata by Clarismario on 88 minute.
- 89' GOAL! Sander Kartum fires home to make it 0-1!
- 90' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 90 minute. Ifeanyi Eze leaves to be changed by Manjrekar James.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
64
Mata ↓ Clarismario 88'
-
10
Denis Genreau ↓ Louis D'Arrigo 68'
- 21
- 22
-
23
Keegan Jelacic ↓ Reno Piscopo 68'
- 17
- 40
- 18
- 8
- 15
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Charles Nduka 46'
Bench
-
2
Jason Davidson ↑ 22'
-
27
Louis D'Arrigo ↑ 68'
-
7
Reno Piscopo ↑ 68'
- 25
-
14
Matthew Grimaldi ↑ 68'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 88'
-
44
Charles Nduka ↑ 46'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
8
Paulo Retre ↓ Fin Conchie 83'
- 14
- 28
- 25
-
20
Ramy Najjarine ↓ Sander Kartum 73'
- 1
- 15
- 27
- 12
- 3
-
7
Ifeanyi Eze ↓ Manjrekar James 90'
Bench
-
11
Carlo Armiento ↑ 84'
-
4
Manjrekar James ↑ 90'
-
16
Sander Kartum ↑ 73'
- 30
-
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 61'
-
5
Fin Conchie ↑ 83'
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 84'
Coach
Chris Greenacre
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Kosta Barbarouses | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2026-03-21
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2026-03-15
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Macarthur FC
W
2026-03-07
Sydney FC
2–2
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2026-02-27
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2026-02-21
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-21
Brisbane Roar FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-14
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2026-03-06
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2026-03-01
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Sydney FC
L
2026-02-21
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–5
Auckland FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.19
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Wellington Phoenix FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
45%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

