Sunday , 15 November 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC AAMI Park 8,762 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 89' Sander Kartum

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)
  • Assistant 1 Owen Goldrick
  • Assistant 2 James Sherry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 1–0 W
21 Mar Brisbane Roar FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–0 W
06 Mar Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Sydney FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Auckland FC H 0–5 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#9 Position #1
3 Points 10
4 Played 4
0 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
5 Scored 7
6 Conceded 1
-1 GD +6
0.75 PPG 2.50
0% Win % 75%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Keegan Jelacic 2 G
Jordi Valadon 2 G
Charles Nduka 1 G 2 A
Wellington Phoenix FC
Corban Piper 3 G
Riley Bidois 2 G
Nathan Walker 1 G 1 A
Rafael Duran 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC32% Draw28% Wellington Phoenix FC40%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
68%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC20% Draw48% Wellington Phoenix FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 15% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 22% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.