Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)
- Assistant 1 Owen Goldrick
- Assistant 2 James Sherry
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar FC | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory FC | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory FC | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United FC | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Macarthur FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Sydney FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Feb | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Sydney FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Auckland FC | H | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 0 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 1 |
| -1 | GD | +6 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 0% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
75%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Keegan Jelacic | 2 G | |
| Jordi Valadon | 2 G | |
| Charles Nduka | 1 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Corban Piper | 3 G | |
| Riley Bidois | 2 G | |
| Nathan Walker | 1 G | 1 A |
| Rafael Duran | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at AAMI Park as Melbourne Victory FC face off against Wellington Phoenix FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' Wellington Phoenix FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 22' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Sebastian Esposito departs to be replaced by Jason Davidson.
- 27' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 32' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 34' Denis Genreau picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 39' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Nikolaos Vergos trudges off to be replaced by Charles Nduka on 46 minutes.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 54' The referee calls foul for Nishan Velupillay. He receives a card.
- 59' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
- 61' The crowd applauds Daniel Edwards as he leaves the pitch. Lukas Kelly-Heald steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 66' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 68' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Keegan Jelacic by Reno Piscopo on 68 minute.
- 73' Sander Kartum is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ramy Najjarine at the 73 minute mark.
- 76' Wellington Phoenix FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
- 81' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Wellington Phoenix FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 83' The whistle greets Paulo Retre as he departs to be replaced by Fin Conchie.
- 84' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Corban Piper is replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith.
- 88' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Mata by Clarismario on 88 minute.
- 89' GOAL! Sander Kartum scores on 89. Assisted by Ifeanyi Eze
- 90' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 90 minute. Ifeanyi Eze leaves to be changed by Manjrekar James.
- Melbourne Victory FC will have plenty to reflect on. Wellington Phoenix FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
64
Mata ↓ Clarismario 88'
-
10
Denis Genreau ↓ Louis D'Arrigo 68'
- 21
- 22
-
23
Keegan Jelacic ↓ Reno Piscopo 68'
- 17
- 40
- 18
- 8
- 15
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Charles Nduka 46'
Bench
-
2
Jason Davidson ↑ 22'
-
27
Louis D'Arrigo ↑ 68'
-
7
Reno Piscopo ↑ 68'
- 25
-
14
Matthew Grimaldi ↑ 68'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 88'
-
44
Charles Nduka ↑ 46'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
8
Paulo Retre ↓ Fin Conchie 83'
- 14
- 28
- 25
-
20
Ramy Najjarine ↓ Sander Kartum 73'
- 1
- 15
- 27
- 12
- 3
-
7
Ifeanyi Eze ↓ Manjrekar James 90'
Bench
-
11
Carlo Armiento ↑ 84'
-
4
Manjrekar James ↑ 90'
-
16
Sander Kartum ↑ 73'
- 30
-
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 61'
-
5
Fin Conchie ↑ 83'
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 84'
Coach
Chris Greenacre
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Jake Brimmer | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2026-03-21
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2026-03-15
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Macarthur FC
W
2026-03-07
Sydney FC
2–2
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2026-02-27
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2026-02-21
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-21
Brisbane Roar FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-14
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2026-03-06
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2026-03-01
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Sydney FC
L
2026-02-21
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–5
Auckland FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Wellington Phoenix FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
68%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 22% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

