Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)
- Assistant 1 Owen Goldrick
- Assistant 2 James Sherry
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Macarthur FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 07 Mar | Sydney FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Feb | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Feb | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Mar | Perth Glory FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Adelaide United FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Sydney FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Auckland FC | H | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at AAMI Park as Melbourne Victory FC face off against Wellington Phoenix FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Matt Sheridan, a New Zealand , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Corban Piper is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 22' Jason Davidson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sebastian Esposito at the 22 minute mark.
- 27' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' Mata is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
- 34' The referee has no hesitation. Denis Genreau is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 34.
- 39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
- 44' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Charles Nduka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nikolaos Vergos on 46 minute.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Paulo Retre suffering a number of foals already.
- 54' A moment of madness from Nishan Velupillay on 54 minutes earns him a card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
- 59' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 61' The whistle greets Daniel Edwards as he departs to be replaced by Lukas Kelly-Heald.
- 66' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
- 68' The whistle greets Keegan Jelacic as he departs to be replaced by Reno Piscopo.
- 73' Sander Kartum is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ramy Najjarine at the 73 minute mark.
- 76' That looks like a foul for a card for Alex Rufer.
- 81' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wellington Phoenix FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 83' The Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes a substitution. Paulo Retre departs to be replaced by Fin Conchie.
- 84' Luke Brooke-Smith gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Corban Piper and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 88 minute. Mata leaves to be changed by Clarismario.
- 89' GOAL! Sander Kartum scores on 89. Assisted by Ifeanyi Eze
- 90' The crowd applauds Ifeanyi Eze as he leaves the pitch. Manjrekar James steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- Wellington Phoenix FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
64
Mata ↓ Clarismario 88'
-
10
Denis Genreau ↓ Louis D'Arrigo 68'
- 21
- 22
-
23
Keegan Jelacic ↓ Reno Piscopo 68'
- 17
- 40
- 18
- 8
- 15
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Charles Nduka 46'
Bench
-
2
Jason Davidson ↑ 22'
-
27
Louis D'Arrigo ↑ 68'
-
7
Reno Piscopo ↑ 68'
- 25
-
14
Matthew Grimaldi ↑ 68'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 88'
-
44
Charles Nduka ↑ 46'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
8
Paulo Retre ↓ Fin Conchie 83'
- 14
- 28
- 25
-
20
Ramy Najjarine ↓ Sander Kartum 73'
- 1
- 15
- 27
- 12
- 3
-
7
Ifeanyi Eze ↓ Manjrekar James 90'
Bench
-
11
Carlo Armiento ↑ 84'
-
4
Manjrekar James ↑ 90'
-
16
Sander Kartum ↑ 73'
- 30
-
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 61'
-
5
Fin Conchie ↑ 83'
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 84'
Coach
Chris Greenacre
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Jake Brimmer | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2026-03-21
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2026-03-15
Melbourne Victory FC
4–1
Macarthur FC
W
2026-03-07
Sydney FC
2–2
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2026-02-27
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Adelaide United FC
D
2026-02-21
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2026-04-05
Melbourne Victory FC
0–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-21
Brisbane Roar FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2026-03-14
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–0
Perth Glory FC
W
2026-03-06
Adelaide United FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2026-03-01
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Sydney FC
L
2026-02-21
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–5
Auckland FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.19
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Wellington Phoenix FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
45%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
Actual
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

