Thursday , 2 July 2026

Mantova 1911 SSD vs Carrarese Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Mantova 1911 SSD
2 – 1
Full Time
Carrarese Calcio
Fri 9 May 2025 · 18:30 UTC Danilo Martelli 11,219 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leonardo Mancuso 44' 1–0
1–1 47' Mattia Finotto
Alessandro De Benedetti 84' 2–1
Y 33' Julian Illanes
Y 55' Manuel Cicconi
Stefano Cella 63' Y
Y 76' Leonardo Capezzi
Mattia Aramu 84' Y
Davide Bragantini 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Mantova 1911 SSD vs Carrarese Calcio — Serie B at Danilo Martelli.

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Monaldi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Mattia Politi (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Simone Biffi (Italy)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

1
3
Mantova 1911 SSD 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Carrarese Calcio
Last 5 meetings
2025-05-09 Mantova 1911 SSD 2–1 Carrarese Calcio 2024-10-20 Carrarese Calcio 1–1 Mantova 1911 SSD

Recent Form

Mantova 1911 SSD
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Carrarese Calcio H 2–1 W
04 May US Salernitana 1919 A 0–2 L
01 May AC Cesena H 3–0 W
25 Apr US Cremonese A 2–4 L
13 Apr Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
05 Apr Brescia Calcio A 2–1 W
Carrarese Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Mantova 1911 SSD A 1–2 L
04 May Modena FC 2018 H 2–1 W
01 May US Sassuolo Calcio A 0–2 L
25 Apr UC Sampdoria H 1–0 W
12 Apr US Catanzaro H 2–2 D
05 Apr AS Cittadella A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Mantova 1911 SSD Carrarese Calcio
#9 Position #12
46 Points 44
38 Played 38
13 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 10 / 14 / 14
45 Scored 47
57 Conceded 52
-12 GD -5
1.21 PPG 1.16
34% Win % 26%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Mantova 1911 SSD this season
32% Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season

Mantova 1911 SSD are 9th (46 pts). Carrarese Calcio are 12th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Mantova 1911 SSD
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Carrarese Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Danilo Martelli. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Mantova 1911 SSD and Carrarese Calcio.
  • 5' Mantova 1911 SSD is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carrarese Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Mantova 1911 SSD must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 33' Julian Illanes has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 33.
  • 38' Mantova 1911 SSD are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 44' Leonardo Mancuso doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Luigi Cherubini. He replaces Tommaso P. Milanese on 46 minute.
  • 47' Mattia Finotto makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Carrarese Calcio are in front.
  • 52' Carrarese Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 55' Manuel Cicconi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 55.
  • 55' Mattia Aramu is replacing Antonio Fiori for the Mantova 1911 SSD side.
  • 60' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Mantova 1911 SSD side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 63' A meaty challenge results in booking for Stefano Cella on 63.
  • 65' The Carrarese Calcio manager makes a substitution. Samuel Giovane departs to be replaced by Leonardo Capezzi.
  • 67' The Mantova 1911 SSD manager makes a substitution. Francesco Galuppini departs to be replaced by Davide Bragantini.
  • 68' The whistle greets Leonardo Mancuso as he departs to be replaced by Alessandro De Benedetti.
  • 73' Salvatore Burrai, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 76' Carrarese Calcio player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' Time for substitution for Mantova 1911 SSD. Cristiano Bani is replaced by Simone Giordano.
  • 83' Fresh legs for Carrarese Calcio! Filippo Melegoni comes on to replace Stiven Shpendi.
  • 84' What composure from Alessandro De Benedetti! The Italy international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 84' The referee has no hesitation. Mattia Aramu is booked for Mantova 1911 SSD — card on 84.
  • 88' Ernesto Torregrossa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gabriele Guarino on 88 minute.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Davide Bragantini. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Mantova 1911 SSD to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Mantova 1911 SSD Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Davide Possanzini

Carrarese Calcio Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nicola Antonio Calabro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Leonardo Mancuso 2
Nicolas Schiavi 1
Alessandro De Benedetti 1
Mattia Finotto 1

Head to Head

2025-05-09 Mantova 1911 SSD 2–1 Carrarese Calcio 2024-10-20 Carrarese Calcio 1–1 Mantova 1911 SSD

Mantova 1911 SSD Form

2025-05-09 Mantova 1911 SSD 2–1 Carrarese Calcio W 2025-05-04 US Salernitana 1919 2–0 Mantova 1911 SSD L 2025-05-01 Mantova 1911 SSD 3–0 AC Cesena W 2025-04-25 US Cremonese 4–2 Mantova 1911 SSD L 2025-04-13 Mantova 1911 SSD 2–2 Spezia Calcio D 2025-04-05 Brescia Calcio 1–2 Mantova 1911 SSD W

Carrarese Calcio Form

2025-05-09 Mantova 1911 SSD 2–1 Carrarese Calcio L 2025-05-04 Carrarese Calcio 2–1 Modena FC 2018 W 2025-05-01 US Sassuolo Calcio 2–0 Carrarese Calcio L 2025-04-25 Carrarese Calcio 1–0 UC Sampdoria W 2025-04-12 Carrarese Calcio 2–2 US Catanzaro D 2025-04-05 AS Cittadella 0–0 Carrarese Calcio D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Mantova 1911 SSD xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Carrarese Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Mantova 1911 SSD51% Draw26% Carrarese Calcio23%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Mantova 1911 SSD or Draw
76%
Draw or Carrarese Calcio
49%
Mantova 1911 SSD or Carrarese Calcio
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Mantova 1911 SSD35% Draw46% Carrarese Calcio19%
Actual: Mantova 1911 SSD win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Mantova 1911 SSD

Handicap Mantova 1911 SSD covers Push Carrarese Calcio covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Mantova 1911 SSD keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.