Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Luton Town FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Cardiff City FC

Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC — League One .

Luton Town FC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Coy

4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 5.5 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Bradford City AFC	7	15
2	Sheffield Wednesday FC	7	14
3	Plymouth Argyle FC	7	13
4	Huddersfield Town AFC	7	12
5	Cambridge United FC	7	12
6	Oxford United FC	6	11
7	AFC Wimbledon	7	11
8	Reading FC	6	10
9	Stockport County FC	7	10
10	Leyton Orient FC	7	10
11	Stevenage FC	7	9
12	Burton Albion FC	7	9
13	Leicester City FC	7	9
14	Wycombe Wanderers FC	7	9
15	Blackpool FC	7	8
16	Luton Town FC	7	8
17	Mansfield Town FC	7	8
18	Barnsley FC	7	8
19	Bromley FC	7	8
20	Notts County FC	7	7
21	Doncaster Rovers FC	7	6
22	Milton Keynes Dons FC	7	6
23	Peterborough United FC	7	5
24	Wigan Athletic FC	7	4

Head-to-Head

Luton Town FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Cardiff City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-08-30 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Cardiff City FC	H	0–1	L
19 Aug	Wigan Athletic FC	H	1–0	W
16 Aug	Bradford City AFC	A	1–2	L
09 Aug	Peterborough United FC	A	2–0	W
01 Aug	AFC Wimbledon	H	1–0	W
03 May	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–5	L

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Luton Town FC	A	1–0	W
19 Aug	AFC Wimbledon	A	1–0	W
16 Aug	Rotherham United FC	H	3–0	W
07 Aug	Port Vale FC	A	0–0	D
02 Aug	Peterborough United FC	H	2–1	W
03 May	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/5

46-60

3/2

61-75

2/2

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC

Nahki Wells	4 G	1 A
Kasey Palmer	2 G	2 A
Callum Marshall	2 G
Jake Richards	1 G	1 A
Gideon Kodua	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Luton Town FC 0-1 Cardiff City FC.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sean Morrison	2
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Jacob Brown	1
Sheyi Ojo	1
Calum Chambers	1
Harry Wilson	1
Thelo Aasgaard	1

Head to Head

Luton Town FC Form

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC L 2025-08-19 Luton Town FC 1–0 Wigan Athletic FC W 2025-08-16 Bradford City AFC 2–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-08-09 Peterborough United FC 0–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-08-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 AFC Wimbledon W 2025-05-03 West Bromwich Albion FC 5–3 Luton Town FC L

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-08-19 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-08-16 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Rotherham United FC W 2025-08-07 Port Vale FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC D 2025-08-02 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Peterborough United FC W 2025-05-03 Norwich City FC 4–2 Cardiff City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.08 Luton Town FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.87 Cardiff City FC xG

I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC39% Draw33% Cardiff City FC28%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 1.95

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	58%	42%
± 2.5	31%	69%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Cardiff City FC

61%

Luton Town FC or Cardiff City FC

67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Luton Town FC26% Draw55% Cardiff City FC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.7%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

14.1%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

2 – 1

7.1%

1 – 2

5.6%

0 – 2

2 – 2

3.2%

3 – 0

2.8%

3 – 1

2.6%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap	Luton Town FC covers	Push	Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	23%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	18%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

43% ✓

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.