Thursday , 2 July 2026

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 6 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 10,646 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Brown 57' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FCChampionship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
23 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
19 Oct Watford FC H 3–0 W
05 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Portsmouth FC H 2–0 W
19 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 5–0 W
06 Oct Bristol City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Luton Town FC is hosting Cardiff City FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Kenilworth Road. Cardiff City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anwar El Ghazi, as he is very good at scoring at Kenilworth Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Cardiff City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 30' Jordan Clark has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 42 cards already picked up this season.
  • 35' David Turnbull has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 40' Chris Willock needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 43' Controversy at the stadium! Carlton Morris argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Yakou Meite gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Ollie Tanner and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 57' Jacob Brown is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 61' Luton Town FC ring the changes. Jacob Brown has done his job and it is now time for Elijah Adebayo to step up.
  • 65' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 65 minute. Tahith Chong leaves to be changed by Shandon Baptiste.
  • 70' Chris Willock gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Anwar El Ghazi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Cardiff City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 83' Manolis Siopis makes way for Wilfride Kanga at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cardiff City FC.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Teden Mengi.
  • 86' That is a card for Cardiff City FC. Dimitrios Goutas will be fuming at that decision.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Marvelous Nakamba comes on to replace Tom Krauss.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Luton Town FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC47% Draw30% Cardiff City FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
53%
Luton Town FC or Cardiff City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC29% Draw54% Cardiff City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 24% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.