Thursday , 1 October 2026

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Wed 6 Nov 2024 · 20:00 UTC Kenilworth Road 10,646 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jacob Brown 57' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC — Championship at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Matt Donohue
  • Assistant 1 Paul Hodskinson
  • Assistant 2
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
01 Nov West Bromwich Albion FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Coventry City FC A 2–3 L
23 Oct Sunderland AFC H 1–2 L
19 Oct Watford FC H 3–0 W
05 Oct Sheffield United FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Luton Town FC A 0–1 L
02 Nov Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
26 Oct West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–0 D
22 Oct Portsmouth FC H 2–0 W
19 Oct Plymouth Argyle FC H 5–0 W
06 Oct Bristol City FC A 1–1 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cardiff City FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
3/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cardiff City FC
Jack Moylan 3 G 1 A
Yousef Salech 2 G 1 A
Cian Ashford 2 G 1 A
Rubin Colwill 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Luton Town FC welcome Cardiff City FC for this crunch clash at Kenilworth Road.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Omer Riza will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' Cardiff City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 25' Luton Town FC is showing some good football. However, Luton Town FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Luton Town FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' Cardiff City FC come into this ranked 19 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 40' Luton Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 43' Carlton Morris catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
  • 46' Yakou Meite has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ollie Tanner on 46 minute.
  • 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cardiff City FC that had 376 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 57' Jacob Brown has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
  • 61' Another change for Luton Town FC made on 61 minute. Jacob Brown leaves to be changed by Elijah Adebayo.
  • 65' Shandon Baptiste is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tahith Chong at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' Cardiff City FC ring the changes. Anwar El Ghazi has done his job and it is now time for Chris Willock to step up.
  • 75' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Luton Town FC and Cardiff City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' It is a cagey affair so far. Luton Town FC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 83' A change in the Cardiff City FC ranks — Manolis Siopis exits the field as Wilfride Kanga enters on 83.
  • 84' That looks like a foul for a card for Teden Mengi.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Dimitrios Goutas argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 89' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Tom Krauss is replaced by Marvelous Nakamba.
  • It finishes all square. Luton Town FC and Cardiff City FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC47% Draw30% Cardiff City FC23%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
53%
Luton Town FC or Cardiff City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC29% Draw54% Cardiff City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.8%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 24% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.