Saturday , 14 November 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 16,641 HT 45' · FT 45'
Calum Chambers 50' 1–0
1–1 57' Jordan Clark
1–2 80' Thelo Aasgaard

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Luton Town FC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Burnley FC H 1–2 L
28 Feb Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
25 Feb Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
22 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cardiff City FC
0-15
4/6
16-30
3/5
31-45
9/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
5/2
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cardiff City FC
Jack Moylan 10 G 3 A
Yousef Salech 5 G 1 A
Cian Ashford 2 G 2 A
Rubin Colwill 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Cardiff City FC welcome Luton Town FC for this crunch clash at Cardiff City Stadium.
  • 5' Amari'i Bell has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Reece Burke, as he is very good at scoring at Cardiff City Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Cardiff City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 50' Calum Chambers makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Cardiff City FC are in front.
  • 50' A change in the Cardiff City FC ranks — Aaron Ramsey exits the field as Sivert Mannsverk enters on 50.
  • 55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cardiff City FC and Luton Town FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 57' Against the run of play, Jordan Clark has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' Millenic Alli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alfie Doughty on 59 minute.
  • 60' The whistle greets Elijah Adebayo as he departs to be replaced by Jacob Brown.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alex Robertson made 212 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 67' Callum O'Dowda has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 67.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Cardiff City FC! Chris Willock comes on to replace Rubin Colwill.
  • 70' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Will Alves is withdrawn and Callum Robinson gets his opportunity.
  • 75' Carlton Morris makes way for Josh Bowler at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Luton Town FC.
  • 78' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Isaiah Jones gets a card.
  • 80' What a moment for Thelo Aasgaard! That strike on 80 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 85' The whistle greets Dimitrios Goutas as he departs to be replaced by Yakou Meite.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Luton Town FC. Thelo Aasgaard is replaced by Reece Burke.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Luton Town FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC34% Draw29% Luton Town FC37%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Luton Town FC
66%
Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC26% Draw50% Luton Town FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.