Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Cardiff City FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Luton Town FC

Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 16,641 HT 45' · FT 45'

Calum Chambers 50' 1–0

1–1 57' Jordan Clark

1–2 80' Thelo Aasgaard

Callum O'Dowda 67' Y

Y 78' Isaiah Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Cardiff City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Luton Town FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andy Davies (England)
Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Blackburn Rovers FC	1	1
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	1	1
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
9	Millwall FC	0	0
10	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
11	Swansea City AFC	0	0
12	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
13	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
15	Birmingham City FC	0	0
16	Sheffield United FC	0	0
17	Southampton FC	0	0
18	Wrexham AFC	0	0
19	Watford FC	0	0
20	Burnley FC	0	0
21	Cardiff City FC	0	0
22	West Ham United FC	0	0
23	Derby County FC	0	0
24	Norwich City FC	0	0
25	Preston North End FC	0	0
26	Stoke City FC	0	0
27	Lincoln City FC	0	0
28	Portsmouth FC	0	0
29	Bristol City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Cardiff City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Luton Town FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-08-30 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2022-04-18 Cardiff City FC 0–1 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	Luton Town FC	H	1–2	L
08 Mar	Sunderland AFC	A	1–2	L
04 Mar	Burnley FC	H	1–2	L
28 Feb	Aston Villa FC	A	0–2	L
25 Feb	Hull City AFC	H	1–0	W
22 Feb	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	1–1	D

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Mar	Cardiff City FC	A	2–1	W
08 Mar	Burnley FC	A	0–4	L
01 Mar	Portsmouth FC	H	1–0	W
23 Feb	Watford FC	A	0–2	L
19 Feb	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	1–1	D
15 Feb	Sheffield United FC	H	0–1	L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Cardiff City Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Cardiff City FC and Luton Town FC.
5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ethan Horvath suffering a number of foals already.
10' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
20' Cardiff City FC currently sit 21 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cardiff City FC and Luton Town FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
35' Luton Town FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
40' The 28-year-old Liam Walsh has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
50' A goal from the England international Calum Chambers! He fires home on 50 to make it 1-0!
50' A change in the Cardiff City FC ranks — Aaron Ramsey exits the field as Sivert Mannsverk enters on 50.
55' Cardiff City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Luton Town FC backline.
57' What composure from Jordan Clark! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
59' A tactical swap from Luton Town FC — Millenic Alli on, Alfie Doughty off on 59 minutes.
60' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Elijah Adebayo exits the field as Jacob Brown enters on 60.
65' Luton Town FC come into this ranked 23 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
67' Controversy at the stadium! Callum O'Dowda argues furiously but the card stands.
69' Chris Willock has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rubin Colwill on 69 minute.
70' The Cardiff City FC manager makes a substitution. Will Alves departs to be replaced by Callum Robinson.
75' Luton Town FC make a change. Carlton Morris trudges off to be replaced by Josh Bowler on 75 minutes.
78' It’s a booking for Luton Town FC player. Isaiah Jones gets a card.
80' Thelo Aasgaard makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Luton Town FC are in front.
85' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Dimitrios Goutas is withdrawn and Yakou Meite gets his opportunity.
87' Another substitution for Luton Town FC to replace Thelo Aasgaard by Reece Burke on 87 minute.
1-2 the final result. Cardiff City FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

19
Yakou Meite ↑ 85'
47
Callum Robinson ↑ 70'
16
Chris Willock ↑ 69'
23
Joel Bagan
39
Isaak Davies ↑ 70'
5
Jesper Daland
15
Sivert Mannsverk ↑ 50'
45
Cian Ashford
41
Matthew Turner

Coach Omer Riza

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

19
Jacob Brown ↑ 60'
23
Tim Krul
16
Reece Burke ↑ 87'
5
Mads Juel Andersen
47
Josh Bowler ↑ 75'
44
Lasse Nordas
22
Lamine Dabo
21
Millenic Alli ↑ 59'
37
Zack Nelson ↑ 60'

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Sean Morrison	2
Rubin Colwill	1
Isaac Vassell	1
Aden Flint	1
Harry Cornick	1
Matthew Pearson	1

Head to Head

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC L 2025-03-08 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Cardiff City FC L 2025-03-04 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Burnley FC L 2025-02-28 Aston Villa FC 2–0 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-25 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Hull City AFC W 2025-02-22 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Luton Town FC Form

2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-03-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-02-23 Watford FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-02-19 Luton Town FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-02-15 Luton Town FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.25 Cardiff City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Luton Town FC xG

I would bet for: Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC34% Draw29% Luton Town FC37%

Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Luton Town FC

66%

Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cardiff City FC26% Draw50% Luton Town FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

10.9%

1 – 0

9.9%

0 – 1

9.2%

2 – 1

7.8%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 0

6.7%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 1

3.3%

1 – 3

2.9%

3 – 0

2.8%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap	Cardiff City FC covers	Push	Luton Town FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	11%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	20%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	19%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.