Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Cardiff City FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Luton Town FC
Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 19:45 UTC Cardiff City Stadium 16,641 HT 45' · FT 45'
Calum Chambers 50' 1–0
1–1 57' Jordan Clark
1–2 80' Thelo Aasgaard
Callum O'Dowda 67' Y
Y 78' Isaiah Jones

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Luton Town FC — Championship at Cardiff City Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Nigel Lugg
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

7
5
Cardiff City FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Luton Town FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-08-30 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2022-04-18 Cardiff City FC 0–1 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Cardiff City FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Luton Town FC H 1–2 L
08 Mar Sunderland AFC A 1–2 L
04 Mar Burnley FC H 1–2 L
28 Feb Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
25 Feb Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
22 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC A 1–1 D
Luton Town FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Cardiff City FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Burnley FC A 0–4 L
01 Mar Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
23 Feb Watford FC A 0–2 L
19 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Sheffield United FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Cardiff City FC gets underway.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Cardiff City Stadium. Cardiff City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Reece Burke has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 25' It’s high time Omer Riza made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' With 0 assists to his name this season, Zack Nelson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cardiff City FC.
  • 45' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 50' Magnificent from Calum Chambers! That is 7 goals in 341 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 50' Sivert Mannsverk gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Aaron Ramsey and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 55' It looks like no one’s ball. Luton Town FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Against the run of play, Jordan Clark has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 59' Luton Town FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Millenic Alli is hanging Alfie Doughty on the field on 59 minute.
  • 60' Jacob Brown gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Elijah Adebayo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-5-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 67' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Callum O'Dowda on 67 minutes.
  • 69' Rubin Colwill makes way for Chris Willock at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Cardiff City FC.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Cardiff City FC — Callum Robinson on, Will Alves off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Luton Town FC! Josh Bowler comes on to replace Carlton Morris.
  • 78' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 80' Thelo Aasgaard puts Luton Town FC on the lead.
  • 85' The crowd applauds Dimitrios Goutas as he leaves the pitch. Yakou Meite steps in for Cardiff City FC.
  • 87' Reece Burke has so much to prove this time. He replaces Thelo Aasgaard on 87 minute.
  • Another three points for Luton Town FC.

Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Omer Riza

Luton Town FC Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Matt Bloomfield

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Sean Morrison 2
Jordan Clark 2
Luke Freeman 2
Mark Harris 1
Gabriel Osho 1
Kieffer Moore 1
Elijah Adebayo 1
Jacob Brown 1

Head to Head

2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-08-30 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2022-04-18 Cardiff City FC 0–1 Luton Town FC

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC L 2025-03-08 Sunderland AFC 2–1 Cardiff City FC L 2025-03-04 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Burnley FC L 2025-02-28 Aston Villa FC 2–0 Cardiff City FC L 2025-02-25 Cardiff City FC 1–0 Hull City AFC W 2025-02-22 Plymouth Argyle FC 1–1 Cardiff City FC D

Luton Town FC Form

2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-03-08 Burnley FC 4–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-03-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 Portsmouth FC W 2025-02-23 Watford FC 2–0 Luton Town FC L 2025-02-19 Luton Town FC 1–1 Plymouth Argyle FC D 2025-02-15 Luton Town FC 0–1 Sheffield United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC34% Draw29% Luton Town FC37%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Luton Town FC
66%
Cardiff City FC or Luton Town FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Cardiff City FC26% Draw50% Luton Town FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 19% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.