Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC, League One 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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League One · 2025-26

Luton Town FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Cardiff City FC

Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 11:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Cardiff City FC — League One .

Luton Town FC 46 games · 74 pts (2026/27)
Cardiff City FC 46 games · 91 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Martin Coy

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lincoln City FC	46	103
2	Cardiff City FC	46	91
3	Stockport County FC	46	77
4	Bradford City AFC	46	77
5	Bolton Wanderers FC	46	75
6	Stevenage FC	46	75
7	Luton Town FC	46	74
8	Plymouth Argyle FC	46	73
9	Huddersfield Town AFC	46	67
10	Mansfield Town FC	46	65
11	Wycombe Wanderers FC	46	63
12	Reading FC	46	63
13	Blackpool FC	46	60
14	Doncaster Rovers FC	46	60
15	Barnsley FC	46	59
16	Wigan Athletic FC	46	56
17	Burton Albion FC	46	54
18	Peterborough United FC	46	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	53
20	Leyton Orient FC	46	52
21	Exeter City FC	46	49
22	Port Vale FC	46	42
23	Rotherham United FC	46	41
24	Northampton Town FC	46	35

Head-to-Head

Luton Town FC 12 games · Avg 2.3 goals Cardiff City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC 2025-03-11 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC 2024-11-06 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2023-01-31 Luton Town FC 1–0 Cardiff City FC 2022-08-30 Cardiff City FC 1–2 Luton Town FC

Recent Form

Luton Town FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Cardiff City FC	H	0–1	L
19 Aug	Wigan Athletic FC	H	1–0	W
16 Aug	Bradford City AFC	A	1–2	L
09 Aug	Peterborough United FC	A	2–0	W
01 Aug	AFC Wimbledon	H	1–0	W
03 May	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	3–5	L

Cardiff City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
23 Aug	Luton Town FC	A	1–0	W
19 Aug	AFC Wimbledon	A	1–0	W
16 Aug	Rotherham United FC	H	3–0	W
07 Aug	Port Vale FC	A	0–0	D
02 Aug	Peterborough United FC	H	2–1	W
03 May	Norwich City FC	A	2–4	L

Season Stats

Luton Town FC		Cardiff City FC
#7	Position	#2
74	Points	91
46	Played	46
21 / 11 / 14	W / D / L	27 / 10 / 9
68	Scored	90
56	Conceded	50
+12	GD	+40
1.61	PPG	1.98
46%	Win %	59%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Luton Town FC are 7th (74 pts). Cardiff City FC are 2nd (91 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Luton Town FC is hosting Cardiff City FC for another epic battle.
Another three points for Cardiff City FC.

Lineups

Luton Town FC Lineups

Cardiff City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Clark	2
Luke Freeman	2
Sean Morrison	2
Isaac Vassell	1
Aden Flint	1
Harry Cornick	1
Matthew Pearson	1
Romaine Sawyers	1

Head to Head

Luton Town FC Form

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC L 2025-08-19 Luton Town FC 1–0 Wigan Athletic FC W 2025-08-16 Bradford City AFC 2–1 Luton Town FC L 2025-08-09 Peterborough United FC 0–2 Luton Town FC W 2025-08-01 Luton Town FC 1–0 AFC Wimbledon W 2025-05-03 West Bromwich Albion FC 5–3 Luton Town FC L

Cardiff City FC Form

2025-08-23 Luton Town FC 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-08-19 AFC Wimbledon 0–1 Cardiff City FC W 2025-08-16 Cardiff City FC 3–0 Rotherham United FC W 2025-08-07 Port Vale FC 0–0 Cardiff City FC D 2025-08-02 Cardiff City FC 2–1 Peterborough United FC W 2025-05-03 Norwich City FC 4–2 Cardiff City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.14 Luton Town FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.21 Cardiff City FC xG

I would bet for: Luton Town FC or Cardiff City FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Luton Town FC35% Draw30% Cardiff City FC35%

Actual: Cardiff City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.35

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw

65%

Draw or Cardiff City FC

65%

Luton Town FC or Cardiff City FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Luton Town FC24% Draw51% Cardiff City FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.1%

0 – 0

11.8%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.7%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 1

7.2%

0 – 2

6.7%

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.5%

1 – 3

3.1%

3 – 1

2.8%

0 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap	Luton Town FC covers	Push	Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	86%
-1.5	14%	—	86%
-1	14%	19%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	11%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.