Thursday , 2 July 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
27 Sep Dundee United FC A 2–0 W
14 Sep Celtic FC H 1–2 L
30 Aug Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
23 Aug Dundee FC H 0–0 D
10 Aug Hibernian FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep Dundee FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep Falkirk FC A 2–1 W
31 Aug Hibernian FC A 1–1 D
24 Aug Rangers FC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Motherwell FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#11 Position #10
28 Points 30
33 Played 33
6 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 7 / 9 / 17
37 Scored 27
65 Conceded 48
-28 GD -21
0.85 PPG 0.91
18% Win % 21%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts). St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.43 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC47% Draw27% St. Mirren FC26%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
74%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
53%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC31% Draw48% St. Mirren FC21%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
34%
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.