Friday , 2 October 2026

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Kilmarnock FC vs St. Mirren FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
27 Sep Dundee United FC A 2–0 W
14 Sep Celtic FC H 1–2 L
30 Aug Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
23 Aug Dundee FC H 0–0 D
10 Aug Hibernian FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep Dundee FC H 1–0 W
13 Sep Falkirk FC A 2–1 W
31 Aug Hibernian FC A 1–1 D
24 Aug Rangers FC H 1–1 D
09 Aug Motherwell FC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Kilmarnock FC St. Mirren FC
#12 Position #5
5 Points 10
7 Played 7
1 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 3
6 Scored 8
15 Conceded 9
-9 GD -1
0.71 PPG 1.43
14% Win % 43%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season

Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts). St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Kilmarnock FC Lineups

St. Mirren FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 Kilmarnock FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 St. Mirren FC xG
I would bet for: Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Kilmarnock FC39% Draw27% St. Mirren FC34%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Kilmarnock FC or Draw
65%
Draw or St. Mirren FC
61%
Kilmarnock FC or St. Mirren FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Kilmarnock FC23% Draw47% St. Mirren FC30%
Actual: Kilmarnock FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
0 – 2
7%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — Kilmarnock FC

Handicap Kilmarnock FC covers Push St. Mirren FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 17% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✗
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.