Wednesday , 30 September 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 7,542 HT 45' · FT 45'
Roland Idowu pen 10' 2–0
Caolan Boyd Munce 58' 3–0
Mark O'Hara 65' 4–0
Declan John 69' 5–0
5–1 88' Bruce Anderson pen

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 5–1 W
15 Mar Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
01 Mar Celtic FC H 2–5 L
26 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Rangers FC A 2–0 W
16 Feb Hibernian FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar St. Mirren FC A 1–5 L
15 Mar Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
01 Mar Ross County FC A 0–1 L
26 Feb Rangers FC H 2–4 L
22 Feb Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Kilmarnock FC
#5 Position #12
10 Points 5
7 Played 7
3 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 4
8 Scored 6
9 Conceded 15
-1 GD -9
1.43 PPG 0.71
43% Win % 14%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season

St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

St. Mirren FC
Killian Phillips 3 G
Samu Ramos 1 G 2 A
Declan John 1 G
Fraser Taylor 1 G
Paul Nsio 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to The SMISA Stadium that hosts another battle between St. Mirren FC and Kilmarnock FC.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 7' What composure from Caolan Boyd Munce! The Northern Ireland international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Roland Idowu makes it 2-0.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' St. Mirren FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 30' The 32-year-old Marcus Fraser has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 35' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Lewis Mayo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' St. Mirren FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kilmarnock FC backline.
  • 45' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 46' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Brad Lyons is withdrawn and David Watson gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Liam Polworth is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His St. Mirren FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 58' Against the run of play, Caolan Boyd Munce has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robbie Deas is hanging Corrie Ndaba on the field on 63 minute.
  • 64' Joe Wright picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 65' Brilliant from the ! Mark O'Hara makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 65.
  • 69' Against the run of play, Declan John has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 70' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Bruce Anderson gets a card.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Killian Phillips as he leaves the pitch. Oisin Smyth steps in for St. Mirren FC.
  • 78' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 78 minutes.
  • 83' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' Magnificent from Bruce Anderson! That is 38 goals in 354 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • It finishes all square. St. Mirren FC and Kilmarnock FC share the spoils 5-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.38 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC58% Draw22% Kilmarnock FC20%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
42%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC45% Draw38% Kilmarnock FC17%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
0 – 0
3.9%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 18% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 21% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.