Thursday , 2 July 2026

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 15:00 UTC The SMISA Stadium 7,542 HT 45' · FT 45'
Roland Idowu pen 10' 2–0
Caolan Boyd Munce 58' 3–0
Mark O'Hara 65' 4–0
Declan John 69' 5–0
5–1 88' Bruce Anderson pen

Overview

Match Preview

St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FCPremier League at The SMISA Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
  • Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
  • Assistant 2 Calum Spence
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Kilmarnock FC H 5–1 W
15 Mar Motherwell FC A 2–2 D
01 Mar Celtic FC H 2–5 L
26 Feb Heart of Midlothian FC A 1–3 L
22 Feb Rangers FC A 2–0 W
16 Feb Hibernian FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar St. Mirren FC A 1–5 L
15 Mar Hibernian FC H 1–1 D
01 Mar Ross County FC A 0–1 L
26 Feb Rangers FC H 2–4 L
22 Feb Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
15 Feb St. Johnstone FC H 3–1 W

Season Stats

St. Mirren FC Kilmarnock FC
#10 Position #11
30 Points 28
33 Played 33
7 / 9 / 17 W / D / L 6 / 10 / 17
27 Scored 37
48 Conceded 65
-21 GD -28
0.91 PPG 0.85
21% Win % 18%

Key Stats

39% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
35% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at The SMISA Stadium!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 7' Caolan Boyd Munce has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 10' A stunning finish from Roland Idowu — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' It’s high time Steve Robinson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Robbie Deas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Brad Lyons trudges off to be replaced by David Watson on 46 minutes.
  • 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His St. Mirren FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 58' A stunning finish from Caolan Boyd Munce — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 63' Robbie Deas is replacing Corrie Ndaba for the Kilmarnock FC side.
  • 64' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
  • 65' Magnificent from Mark O'Hara! That is 37 goals in 383 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 69' Goal! Declan John scores his 7 goal in 383 matches.
  • 70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruce Anderson on 70 minutes.
  • 73' Oisin Smyth gets the nod from St. Mirren FC. He replaces Killian Phillips and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both St. Mirren FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 88' What a moment for Bruce Anderson! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
  • Kilmarnock FC will have plenty to reflect on. St. Mirren FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95 St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
St. Mirren FC50% Draw24% Kilmarnock FC26%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

St. Mirren FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
50%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
St. Mirren FC36% Draw41% Kilmarnock FC23%
Actual: St. Mirren FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC

Handicap St. Mirren FC covers Push Kilmarnock FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.