St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at The SMISA Stadium.
- St. Mirren FC 33 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 33 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Nick Walsh
- Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
- Assistant 2 Calum Spence
7 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 33 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 33 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic FC | 33 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell FC | 33 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian FC | 33 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk FC | 33 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee United FC | 33 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen FC | 33 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren FC | 33 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock FC | 33 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston FC | 33 | 16 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Kilmarnock FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Motherwell FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Mar | Celtic FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Ross County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Feb | Rangers FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Feb | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Mirren FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #11 |
| 30 | Points | 28 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 7 / 9 / 17 | W / D / L | 6 / 10 / 17 |
| 27 | Scored | 37 |
| 48 | Conceded | 65 |
| -21 | GD | -28 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 0.85 |
| 21% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
39%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)
H2H (23 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
St. Mirren FC are 10th (30 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 11th (28 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at The SMISA Stadium!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 7' Caolan Boyd Munce has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
- 10' A stunning finish from Roland Idowu — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' It’s high time Steve Robinson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Robbie Deas is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Kilmarnock FC tonight.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Kilmarnock FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 46' Kilmarnock FC make a change. Brad Lyons trudges off to be replaced by David Watson on 46 minutes.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. Kilmarnock FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His St. Mirren FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' A stunning finish from Caolan Boyd Munce — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 63' Robbie Deas is replacing Corrie Ndaba for the Kilmarnock FC side.
- 64' Kilmarnock FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
- 65' Magnificent from Mark O'Hara! That is 37 goals in 383 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 69' Goal! Declan John scores his 7 goal in 383 matches.
- 70' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Bruce Anderson on 70 minutes.
- 73' Oisin Smyth gets the nod from St. Mirren FC. He replaces Killian Phillips and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both St. Mirren FC and Kilmarnock FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 88' What a moment for Bruce Anderson! That strike on 88 puts his side firmly in control.
- Kilmarnock FC will have plenty to reflect on. St. Mirren FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 24
- 6
- 7
- 13
- 22
- 15
- 5
- 2
-
88
Killian Phillips ↓ Oisin Smyth 73'
- 1
- 12
Bench
- 9
- 3
- 11
- 14
- 27
- 23
-
8
Oisin Smyth ↑ 73'
- 26
- 19
Coach
Steve Robinson
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Rory McKenzie 73'
- 4
-
8
Brad Lyons ↓ David Watson 46'
- 19
- 22
- 15
- 20
-
3
Corrie Ndaba ↓ Robbie Deas 63'
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ Bobby Wales 63'
- 5
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Stuart Findlay 73'
Bench
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 73'
-
17
Stuart Findlay ↑ 73'
- 1
- 18
- 21
-
6
Robbie Deas ↑ 63'
- 11
-
24
Bobby Wales ↑ 63'
-
12
David Watson ↑ 46'
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruce Anderson | 3 |
| Marley Watkins | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Findlay Curtis | 2 |
| Caolan Boyd Munce | 2 |
| Greg Kiltie | 2 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
| Mark O'Hara | 2 |
Head to Head
St. Mirren FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.95
St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Mirren FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
St. Mirren FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
50%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: St. Mirren FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC
| Handicap | St. Mirren FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 20% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

