St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Mirren FC vs Kilmarnock FC — Premier League at The SMISA Stadium.
- St. Mirren FC 7 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Kilmarnock FC 7 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Nick Walsh
- Assistant 1 Daniel McFarlane
- Assistant 2 Calum Spence
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic FC | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Rangers FC | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Heart of Midlothian FC | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Dundee FC | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | St. Mirren FC | 7 | 10 |
| 6 | St. Johnstone FC | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Aberdeen FC | 7 | 8 |
| 8 | Motherwell FC | 7 | 8 |
| 9 | Dundee United FC | 7 | 8 |
| 10 | Hibernian FC | 7 | 7 |
| 11 | Falkirk FC | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock FC | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Kilmarnock FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | Motherwell FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Mar | Celtic FC | H | 2–5 | L |
| 26 Feb | Heart of Midlothian FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Rangers FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Feb | Hibernian FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | St. Mirren FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Mar | Hibernian FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Ross County FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Feb | Rangers FC | H | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Feb | Aberdeen FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | St. Johnstone FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| St. Mirren FC | Kilmarnock FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 10 | Points | 5 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 3 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| 8 | Scored | 6 |
| 9 | Conceded | 15 |
| -1 | GD | -9 |
| 1.43 | PPG | 0.71 |
| 43% | Win % | 14% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
43%
Clean Sheets
St. Mirren FC this season
St. Mirren FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Kilmarnock FC this season
Kilmarnock FC this season
St. Mirren FC are 5th (10 pts). Kilmarnock FC are 12th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Mirren FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kilmarnock FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
–/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Mirren FC
| Killian Phillips | 3 G | |
| Samu Ramos | 1 G | 2 A |
| Declan John | 1 G | |
| Fraser Taylor | 1 G | |
| Paul Nsio | 1 G |
Kilmarnock FC
| Michael Schjonning-Larsen | 2 G |
| Jason Holt | 1 G |
| Greg Kiltie | 1 G |
| Joe Hugill | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to The SMISA Stadium that hosts another battle between St. Mirren FC and Kilmarnock FC.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Kilmarnock FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 7' What composure from Caolan Boyd Munce! The Northern Ireland international strokes it home. 1-0.
- 10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Roland Idowu makes it 2-0.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' St. Mirren FC are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Kilmarnock FC's 4-4-2 shape.
- 30' The 32-year-old Marcus Fraser has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 35' It looks surprising Kilmarnock FC does not make any changes. Lewis Mayo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 40' St. Mirren FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Kilmarnock FC backline.
- 45' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 46' The Kilmarnock FC bench stirs into life. Brad Lyons is withdrawn and David Watson gets his opportunity.
- 51' Liam Polworth is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Kilmarnock FC so far.
- 56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His St. Mirren FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' Against the run of play, Caolan Boyd Munce has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 63' Kilmarnock FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robbie Deas is hanging Corrie Ndaba on the field on 63 minute.
- 64' Joe Wright picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 65' Brilliant from the ! Mark O'Hara makes it 4-0 with a superb finish on 65.
- 69' Against the run of play, Declan John has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 70' It’s a booking for Kilmarnock FC player. Bruce Anderson gets a card.
- 73' The crowd applauds Killian Phillips as he leaves the pitch. Oisin Smyth steps in for St. Mirren FC.
- 78' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 78 minutes.
- 83' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 88' Magnificent from Bruce Anderson! That is 38 goals in 354 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- It finishes all square. St. Mirren FC and Kilmarnock FC share the spoils 5-1.
Lineups
St. Mirren FC Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 24
- 6
- 7
- 13
- 22
- 15
- 5
- 2
-
88
Killian Phillips ↓ Oisin Smyth 73'
- 1
- 12
Bench
- 9
- 3
- 11
- 14
- 27
- 23
-
8
Oisin Smyth ↑ 73'
- 26
- 19
Coach
Steve Robinson
Kilmarnock FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
23
Marley Watkins ↓ Rory McKenzie 73'
- 4
-
8
Brad Lyons ↓ David Watson 46'
- 19
- 22
- 15
- 20
-
3
Corrie Ndaba ↓ Robbie Deas 63'
-
31
Liam Polworth ↓ Bobby Wales 63'
- 5
-
10
Matty Kennedy ↓ Stuart Findlay 73'
Bench
-
7
Rory McKenzie ↑ 73'
-
17
Stuart Findlay ↑ 73'
- 1
- 18
- 21
-
6
Robbie Deas ↑ 63'
- 11
-
24
Bobby Wales ↑ 63'
-
12
David Watson ↑ 46'
Coach
Derek McInnes
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruce Anderson | 3 |
| Marley Watkins | 3 |
| Kyle Vassell | 3 |
| Kyle Lafferty | 2 |
| Mark O'Hara | 2 |
| Christian Doidge | 2 |
| Findlay Curtis | 2 |
| Caolan Boyd Munce | 2 |
Head to Head
St. Mirren FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.38
St. Mirren FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27
Kilmarnock FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Mirren FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
St. Mirren FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Kilmarnock FC
42%
St. Mirren FC or Kilmarnock FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: St. Mirren FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
5.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
4.9%
3 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
0 – 0
3.9%
4 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — St. Mirren FC
| Handicap | St. Mirren FC covers | Push | Kilmarnock FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 21% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
St. Mirren FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Kilmarnock FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

