Livingston FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Livingston FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Heart of Midlothian FC

Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Livingston FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC — Premier League .

Livingston FC 33 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Duncan Nicolson (Scotland)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Livingston FC 16 games · Avg 2.1 goals Heart of Midlothian FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-08-30 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-04-13 Heart of Midlothian FC 4–2 Livingston FC 2024-01-02 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC 2023-11-01 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Livingston FC 2023-01-29 Livingston FC 0–0 Heart of Midlothian FC

Recent Form

Livingston FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Heart of Midlothian FC	H	1–2	L
23 Aug	Celtic FC	A	0–3	L
09 Aug	Falkirk FC	H	3–1	W
02 Aug	Kilmarnock FC	A	2–2	D
19 May	Hibernian FC	H	1–1	D
15 May	Aberdeen FC	A	1–5	L

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Aug	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
23 Aug	Motherwell FC	H	3–3	D
10 Aug	Dundee United FC	A	3–2	W
04 Aug	Aberdeen FC	H	2–0	W
18 May	Kilmarnock FC	A	1–0	W
14 May	St. Johnstone FC	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Livingston FC		Heart of Midlothian FC
#12	Position	#1
16	Points	70
33	Played	33
1 / 13 / 19	W / D / L	21 / 7 / 5
35	Scored	58
66	Conceded	28
-31	GD	+30
0.48	PPG	2.12
3%	Win %	64%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Livingston FC are 12th (16 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Livingston FC and Heart of Midlothian FC has kicked off!
The referee brings this contest to a close. Heart of Midlothian FC take all three points.

Lineups

Livingston FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	3
Stephen Kelly	3
Michael Smith	2
Kenneth Vargas	2
Beni Baningime	2
Ryan Hardie	2
Marvin Bartley	1
Lewis Smith	1

Head to Head

Livingston FC Form

2025-08-30 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC L 2025-08-23 Celtic FC 3–0 Livingston FC L 2025-08-09 Livingston FC 3–1 Falkirk FC W 2025-08-02 Kilmarnock FC 2–2 Livingston FC D 2024-05-19 Livingston FC 1–1 Hibernian FC D 2024-05-15 Aberdeen FC 5–1 Livingston FC L

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2025-08-30 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–3 Motherwell FC D 2025-08-10 Dundee United FC 2–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–0 Aberdeen FC W 2025-05-18 Kilmarnock FC 0–1 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-05-14 Heart of Midlothian FC 2–1 St. Johnstone FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.98 Livingston FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.16 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 59% + Heart of Midlothian FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Livingston FC18% Draw23% Heart of Midlothian FC59%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 3.14

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	38%	62%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Livingston FC or Draw

41%

Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC

82%

Livingston FC or Heart of Midlothian FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Livingston FC14% Draw41% Heart of Midlothian FC45%

Actual: Livingston FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 2

10.1%

1 – 1

10%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

8.9%

0 – 3

1 – 3

6.8%

0 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

4.6%

2 – 1

4.3%

0 – 4

3.8%

1 – 4

3.7%

1 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Livingston FC

Handicap	Livingston FC covers	Push	Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5	1%	—	99%
-2	1%	4%	95%
-1.5	5%	—	95%
-1	5%	10%	85%
-0.5	15%	—	85%
+0.5	37%	—	63%
+1	37%	23%	40%
+1.5	60%	—	40%
+2	60%	19%	21%
+2.5	79%	—	21%

Clean Sheet

Livingston FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.