Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Motherwell FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee John Beaton
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Motherwell FC H 3–3 D
10 Aug Dundee United FC A 3–2 W
04 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
18 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
14 May St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 3–3 D
09 Aug St. Mirren FC A 0–0 D
02 Aug Rangers FC H 1–1 D
18 May Ross County FC A 1–1 D
14 May Kilmarnock FC H 3–0 W
10 May Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Motherwell FC
#1 Position #4
70 Points 54
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 14 / 12 / 7
58 Scored 52
28 Conceded 29
+30 GD +23
2.12 PPG 1.64
64% Win % 42%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.65 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Motherwell FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC50% Draw26% Motherwell FC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Motherwell FC
50%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Motherwell FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC35% Draw46% Motherwell FC19%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted
3 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Motherwell FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.