Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
27 Sep Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
13 Sep Rangers FC A 2–0 W
30 Aug Livingston FC A 2–1 W
23 Aug Motherwell FC H 3–3 D
10 Aug Dundee United FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Celtic FC A 0–0 D
23 Sep Falkirk FC A 2–2 D
13 Sep Dundee United FC H 3–3 D
31 Aug St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
10 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Hibernian FC
#4 Position #7
3 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
5 Scored 3
2 Conceded 3
+3 GD +0
1.50 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hibernian FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Hibernian FC are 7th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hibernian FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Hibernian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.22 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Hibernian FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC63% Draw21% Hibernian FC16%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Hibernian FC
37%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC47% Draw40% Hibernian FC13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.3%
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Hibernian FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 20% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 22% 35%
-0.5 65% 35%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.