Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson
4 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Hibernian FC H 1–0 W
27 Sep Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
13 Sep Rangers FC A 2–0 W
30 Aug Livingston FC A 2–1 W
23 Aug Motherwell FC H 3–3 D
10 Aug Dundee United FC A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–1 L
27 Sep Celtic FC A 0–0 D
23 Sep Falkirk FC A 2–2 D
13 Sep Dundee United FC H 3–3 D
31 Aug St. Mirren FC H 1–1 D
10 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Hibernian FC
#3 Position #10
13 Points 7
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 4
14 Scored 8
8 Conceded 11
+6 GD -3
1.86 PPG 1.00
57% Win % 29%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Hibernian FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 3rd (13 pts). Hibernian FC are 10th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hibernian FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
James Wilson 3 G
Claudio Braga 2 G 2 A
Joshua McPake 1 G 1 A
Calvin Miller 1 G
Tom Renaud 1 G
Hibernian FC
Martin Boyle 3 G
Callum Wright 2 G
Josh Campbell 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Hibernian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.12 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Hibernian FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC62% Draw22% Hibernian FC16%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Hibernian FC
38%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heart of Midlothian FC45% Draw41% Hibernian FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Hibernian FC covers
-2.5 21% — 79%
-2 21% 19% 60%
-1.5 40% — 60%
-1 40% 23% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.