Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Heart of Midlothian FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Hibernian FC

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Hibernian FC — Premier League .

Heart of Midlothian FC 33 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Hibernian FC 33 games · 51 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee David Dickinson

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Heart of Midlothian FC	33	70
2	Rangers FC	33	69
3	Celtic FC	33	67
4	Motherwell FC	33	54
5	Hibernian FC	33	51
6	Falkirk FC	33	46
7	Dundee United FC	33	40
8	Aberdeen FC	33	33
9	Dundee FC	33	33
10	St. Mirren FC	33	30
11	Kilmarnock FC	33	28
12	Livingston FC	33	16

Head-to-Head

Heart of Midlothian FC 24 games · Avg 2.2 goals Hibernian FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC 2025-03-02 Hibernian FC 2–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-12-26 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–2 Hibernian FC 2024-10-27 Hibernian FC 1–1 Heart of Midlothian FC 2024-02-28 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–1 Hibernian FC

Recent Form

Heart of Midlothian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Hibernian FC	H	1–0	W
27 Sep	Falkirk FC	H	3–0	W
13 Sep	Rangers FC	A	2–0	W
30 Aug	Livingston FC	A	2–1	W
23 Aug	Motherwell FC	H	3–3	D
10 Aug	Dundee United FC	A	3–2	W

Hibernian FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Heart of Midlothian FC	A	0–1	L
27 Sep	Celtic FC	A	0–0	D
23 Sep	Falkirk FC	A	2–2	D
13 Sep	Dundee United FC	H	3–3	D
31 Aug	St. Mirren FC	H	1–1	D
10 Aug	Kilmarnock FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC		Hibernian FC
#1	Position	#5
70	Points	51
33	Played	33
21 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	13 / 12 / 8
58	Scored	51
28	Conceded	37
+30	GD	+14
2.12	PPG	1.55
64%	Win %	39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Hibernian FC are 5th (51 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Heart of Midlothian FC and Hibernian FC get this one started.
Heart of Midlothian FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Hibernian FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lawrence Shankland	5
Martin Boyle	5
Elie Youan	2
Daryl Horgan	2
Andrew Halliday	2
Uche Ikpeazu	2
Kevin Nisbet	2
Oliver Bozanic	1

Head to Head

Heart of Midlothian FC Form

2025-10-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC W 2025-09-27 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–0 Falkirk FC W 2025-09-13 Rangers FC 0–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-30 Livingston FC 1–2 Heart of Midlothian FC W 2025-08-23 Heart of Midlothian FC 3–3 Motherwell FC D 2025-08-10 Dundee United FC 2–3 Heart of Midlothian FC W

Hibernian FC Form

2025-10-04 Heart of Midlothian FC 1–0 Hibernian FC L 2025-09-27 Celtic FC 0–0 Hibernian FC D 2025-09-23 Falkirk FC 2–2 Hibernian FC D 2025-09-13 Hibernian FC 3–3 Dundee United FC D 2025-08-31 Hibernian FC 1–1 St. Mirren FC D 2025-08-10 Hibernian FC 2–2 Kilmarnock FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.53 Heart of Midlothian FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.9 Hibernian FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC53% Draw27% Hibernian FC20%

Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.43

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw

79%

Draw or Hibernian FC

47%

Heart of Midlothian FC or Hibernian FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Heart of Midlothian FC35% Draw49% Hibernian FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

10.9%

2 – 0

10%

2 – 1

0 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 0

3 – 1

4.6%

2 – 2

4.1%

0 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap	Heart of Midlothian FC covers	Push	Hibernian FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	16%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	24%	50%
-0.5	50%	—	50%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	14%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet

41% ✗

Hibernian FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.