Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Falkirk FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee

Head-to-Head

4
Heart of Midlothian FC 4 games · Avg 2.3 goals Falkirk FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Falkirk FC H 3–0 W
13 Sep Rangers FC A 2–0 W
30 Aug Livingston FC A 2–1 W
23 Aug Motherwell FC H 3–3 D
10 Aug Dundee United FC A 3–2 W
04 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–3 L
23 Sep Hibernian FC H 2–2 D
13 Sep St. Mirren FC H 1–2 L
31 Aug Aberdeen FC A 1–0 W
09 Aug Livingston FC A 1–3 L
03 Aug Dundee United FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Falkirk FC
#1 Position #6
70 Points 46
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 13 / 7 / 13
58 Scored 45
28 Conceded 48
+30 GD -3
2.12 PPG 1.39
64% Win % 39%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Falkirk FC are 6th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Heart of Midlothian FC are looking to make home advantage count against Falkirk FC.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Falkirk FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.46 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 Falkirk FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 72% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC72% Draw18% Falkirk FC10%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Falkirk FC
28%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Falkirk FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC55% Draw37% Falkirk FC8%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.6%
1 – 0
11%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.7%
3 – 1
6.9%
4 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
6%
4 – 1
4.3%
5 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 1
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Falkirk FC covers
-2.5 32% 68%
-2 32% 22% 46%
-1.5 54% 46%
-1 54% 22% 24%
-0.5 76% 24%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
53%
Falkirk FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.