Wednesday , 29 July 2026

121 - KKS Lech Poznan vs Aarhus GF, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

1 4
LIVE · 121'
Wed 29 Jul 2026 · 17:00 UTC Stadion Poznan
0–1 32' Tobias Bech
0–2 55' Kristian Arnstad pen
0–3 75' Frederik Tingager
Filip Jagiello 95' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

KKS Lech Poznan vs Aarhus GFChampions League Q at Stadion Poznan.

Head-to-Head

1
KKS Lech Poznan 1 games · Avg 5.0 goals Aarhus GF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul Aarhus GF A 4–1 W
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
12 Jul Qarabağ Ağdam FK A 1–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 1–4 L
17 Sep NS Mura A 0–3 L
27 Aug Esport Honka H 5–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aarhus GF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
2/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aarhus GF
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/2
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Predictions

2.5 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Aarhus GF xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + KKS Lech Poznan to win 65%

Match Result

KKS Lech Poznan65% Draw19% Aarhus GF16%

Both Teams to Score

Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.57

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
85%
Draw or Aarhus GF
35%
KKS Lech Poznan or Aarhus GF
81%

Half-Time Result

KKS Lech Poznan49% Draw37% Aarhus GF14%

Correct Score

2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.5%
3 – 0
7.1%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
4.8%
4 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push Aarhus GF covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 20% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 21% 33%
-0.5 67% 33%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
35%
Aarhus GF keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.