Sunday , 13 September 2026

KKS Lech Poznan vs Aarhus GF, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Wed 29 Jul 2026 · 17:00 UTC Stadion Poznan HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Tobias Bech
0–2 55' Kristian Arnstad pen
0–3 75' Frederik Tingager
Filip Jagiello 95' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

KKS Lech Poznan vs Aarhus GFChampions League Q at Stadion Poznan.

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznan 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Aarhus GF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Aarhus GF H 1–4 L
21 Jul Aarhus GF A 4–1 W
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul KKS Lech Poznan A 4–1 W
21 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 1–4 L
17 Sep NS Mura A 0–3 L
27 Aug Esport Honka H 5–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aarhus GF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aarhus GF
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
Patrik Walemark 2 G
Aarhus GF
Kristian Arnstad 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for KKS Lech Poznan to score. At the same time, Aarhus GF does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' KKS Lech Poznan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 10' It’s gonna be a card for Terry Yegbe.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 19' Controversy at the stadium! Jonas Jensen-Abbew argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' Aarhus GF has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 32' The Denmark Tobias Bech breaks the deadlock on 32 minutes. 0-1!
  • 37' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Antoni Kozubal argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' Aarhus GF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' KKS Lech Poznan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Aarhus GF backline.
  • 54' Tobias Bech adds to his 1 season tally! Aarhus GF lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 55' Kristian Arnstad makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Aarhus GF are in front.
  • 60' Christian Storch is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jonas Jensen-Abbew at the 60 minute mark.
  • 65' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Aarhus GF winning 50% of all matches.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Luis Palma as he leaves the pitch. Allahyar Sayyadmanesh steps in for KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 70' Aarhus GF make a change. Jens Jonsson trudges off to be replaced by Rasmus Carstensen on 70 minutes.
  • 75' Against the run of play, Frederik Tingager has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 80' Wojciech Monka has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Robert Gumny as he leaves the pitch. Joel Pereira steps in for KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 86' Mikael Anderson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 86.
  • 87' Time for substitution for KKS Lech Poznan. Patrik Walemark is replaced by Daniel Hakans.
  • 88' A tactical swap from KKS Lech PoznanYannick Agnero on, Mikael Ishak off on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Eric Kahl makes way for Mouhammade Camara at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Aarhus GF.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-4 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Aarhus GF xG
I would bet for: KKS Lech Poznan or Aarhus GF 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznan40% Draw24% Aarhus GF36%
Actual: Aarhus GF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
64%
Draw or Aarhus GF
60%
KKS Lech Poznan or Aarhus GF
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznan29% Draw40% Aarhus GF31%
Actual: Aarhus GF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push Aarhus GF covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
16%
Aarhus GF keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.