Tuesday , 3 November 2026

KKS Lech Poznan vs Aarhus GF, Champions League Q 2026 QUALIFICATION

Wed 29 Jul 2026 · 17:00 UTC Stadion Poznan HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Tobias Bech
0–2 55' Kristian Arnstad pen
0–3 75' Frederik Tingager
Filip Jagiello 95' 1–3

Overview

Match Preview

KKS Lech Poznan vs Aarhus GF — Champions League Q at Stadion Poznan.

Head-to-Head

1
1
KKS Lech Poznan 2 games · Avg 5.0 goals Aarhus GF

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul Aarhus GF H 1–4 L
21 Jul Aarhus GF A 4–1 W
12 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda A 1–1 D
06 Aug FK Crvena Zvezda H 1–3 L
30 Jul Breidablik UBK A 1–0 W
22 Jul Breidablik UBK H 7–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Jul KKS Lech Poznan A 4–1 W
21 Jul KKS Lech Poznan H 1–4 L
17 Sep NS Mura A 0–3 L
27 Aug Esport Honka H 5–2 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
KKS Lech Poznan this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aarhus GF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aarhus GF
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

KKS Lech Poznan
Patrik Walemark 2 G
Aarhus GF
Kristian Arnstad 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stadion Poznan as KKS Lech Poznan face off against Aarhus GF in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Terry Yegbe has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 10.
  • 15' Tomas Oli Kristjansson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aarhus GF so far.
  • 19' The referee calls foul for Jonas Jensen-Abbew. He receives a card.
  • 24' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 29' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 32' Tobias Bech puts Aarhus GF on the lead.
  • 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both KKS Lech Poznan and Aarhus GF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' Antoni Kozubal catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 40.
  • 45' Aarhus GF player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' The 25-year-old Eric Kahl has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 54' Against the run of play, Tobias Bech has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 55' Kristian Arnstad doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Aarhus GF — Christian Storch on, Jonas Jensen-Abbew off on 60 minutes.
  • 65' A quiet spell here at Stadion Poznan. Aarhus GF seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 68' KKS Lech Poznan make a change. Luis Palma trudges off to be replaced by Allahyar Sayyadmanesh on 68 minutes.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Aarhus GF team. Jens Jonsson is replaced by Rasmus Carstensen on 70 minute.
  • 75' Brilliant from the ! Frederik Tingager makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 75.
  • 80' The energy levels are beginning to show. Niels Frederiksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 81' Joel Pereira is ready to make an impact after coming on for Robert Gumny at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' The referee calls foul for Mikael Anderson. He receives a card.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Patrik Walemark as he leaves the pitch. Daniel Hakans steps in for KKS Lech Poznan.
  • 88' KKS Lech Poznan make a change. Mikael Ishak trudges off to be replaced by Yannick Agnero on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Aarhus GF ring the changes. Eric Kahl has done his job and it is now time for Mouhammade Camara to step up.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82 KKS Lech Poznan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 Aarhus GF xG
I would bet for: KKS Lech Poznan or Aarhus GF 76% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznan40% Draw24% Aarhus GF36%
Actual: Aarhus GF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

KKS Lech Poznan or Draw
64%
Draw or Aarhus GF
60%
KKS Lech Poznan or Aarhus GF
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
KKS Lech Poznan29% Draw40% Aarhus GF31%
Actual: Aarhus GF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–4 not predicted
1 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
4.8%
3 – 1
4.5%
0 – 2
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
3 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
4.1%
1 – 0
4%

Asian Handicap — KKS Lech Poznan

Handicap KKS Lech Poznan covers Push Aarhus GF covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 11% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 17% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 18% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 12% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

KKS Lech Poznan keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Aarhus GF keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.