Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.
- Jubilo Iwata 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 06 May | Tokyo Verdy | A | 2–3 | L |
| 03 May | Yokohama F.Marinos | A | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Apr | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May | Jubilo Iwata | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Tokyo Verdy | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
20%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Jubilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 20' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 27' A moment of madness from Seiji Kimura on 27 minutes earns him a card. Sagan Tosu FC will be frustrated.
- 32' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 37' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kohei Tezuka suffering a number of foals already.
- 42' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 46' Naoki Kanuma is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 46' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Rei Hirakawa is replaced by Yosuke Furukawa.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' Vinicius Araujo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 58' Marcelo Ryan adds to his 3 season tally! Sagan Tosu FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 60' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno Jose is hanging Masaya Matsumoto on the field on 60 minute.
- 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 67' Yoichi Naganuma gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 71' The supporters are chanting for Kotaro Fujikawa. He replaces Masatoshi Ishida on 71 minute.
- 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 77' What a strike from Yoichi Naganuma! The score is 1-2.
- 79' The whistle greets Hiroto Uemura as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Fujiwara.
- 84' Jubilo Iwata currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 87' Kosuke Yamazaki gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Katsunori Ueebisu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 88' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Kohei Tezuka departs to be replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
- It finishes all square. Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 0-3.
Lineups
Jubilo Iwata Lineups
Starting XI
- 99
- 37
- 4
- 5
- 7
- 14
- 15
- 28
- 20
- 50
- 41
Bench
- 16
- 13
- 19
- 31
- 26
- 77
Coach
Akinobu Yokouchi
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 22
-
7
Kohei Tezuka ↓ Naoyuki Fujita 88'
- 28
-
99
Marcelo Ryan ↓ Vinicius Araujo 79'
- 16
- 71
- 23
- 5
-
13
Ayumu Yokoyama ↓ Atsushi Kawata 79'
- 20
Bench
-
11
Vinicius Araujo ↑ 79'
-
14
Naoyuki Fujita ↑ 88'
-
9
Atsushi Kawata ↑ 79'
-
88
Yoichi Naganuma ↑ 67'
-
2
Kosuke Yamazaki ↑ 87'
- 18
- 1
Coach
Kenta Kawai
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Naoki Kanuma | 3 |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 |
| Isaac Cuenca | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Fabian Gonzalez | 2 |
| Mu Kanazaki | 1 |
| Adailton | 1 |
| Lukian | 1 |
Head to Head
Jubilo Iwata Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.12
Jubilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Jubilo Iwata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
70%
Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata
| Handicap | Jubilo Iwata covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 22% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.