Thursday , 2 July 2026

Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Jubilo Iwata
0 – 3
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 11 May 2024 · 05:00 UTC Yamaha Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 27' Seiji Kimura

Overview

Match Preview

Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Yamaha Stadium.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
2
4
Jubilo Iwata 10 games · Avg 2.2 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-05-11 Jubilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Jubilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Jubilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Jubilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Jubilo Iwata

Recent Form

Jubilo Iwata
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Sagan Tosu FC H 0–3 L
06 May Tokyo Verdy A 2–3 L
03 May Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–1 D
27 Apr FC Machida Zelvia H 2–0 W
20 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 2–2 D
13 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–1 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Jubilo Iwata A 3–0 W
06 May Shonan Bellmare A 1–2 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 0–2 L
28 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 4–2 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–2 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Yamaha Stadium that hosts another battle between Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Masaya Matsumoto suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sagan Tosu FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' Naoyuki Fujita has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 20' Seiji Kimura needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' It’s gonna be a card for Seiji Kimura.
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 46' Naoki Kanuma puts Jubilo Iwata on the lead.
  • 46' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yosuke Furukawa is hanging Rei Hirakawa on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 56' It looks surprising Jubilo Iwata does not make any changes. Il-kyu Park has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Goal! Marcelo Ryan scores his 28 goal in 325 matches.
  • 60' The Jubilo Iwata manager makes a substitution. Masaya Matsumoto departs to be replaced by Bruno Jose.
  • 65' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Yoichi Naganuma. He replaces Yusuke Maruhashi on 67 minute.
  • 71' Another change for Jubilo Iwata made on 71 minute. Masatoshi Ishida leaves to be changed by Kotaro Fujikawa.
  • 76' It looks like no one’s ball. Jubilo Iwata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' Yoichi Naganuma puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
  • 79' The whistle greets Hiroto Uemura as he departs to be replaced by Kensuke Fujiwara.
  • 84' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 87' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kosuke Yamazaki is hanging Katsunori Ueebisu on the field on 87 minute.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Kohei Tezuka is replaced by Naoyuki Fujita.
  • Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats Jubilo Iwata

Lineups

Jubilo Iwata Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Akinobu Yokouchi

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kenta Kawai

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marcelo Ryan 3
Naoki Kanuma 3
Isaac Cuenca 2
Taisei Miyashiro 2
Fabian Gonzalez 2
Yuki Kakita 1
Takuya Matsuura 1
Yoichi Naganuma 1

Head to Head

2024-05-11 Jubilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC 2022-08-07 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Jubilo Iwata 2022-06-18 Jubilo Iwata 3–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-10-19 Jubilo Iwata 2–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 1–0 Jubilo Iwata

Jubilo Iwata Form

2024-05-11 Jubilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-06 Tokyo Verdy 3–2 Jubilo Iwata L 2024-05-03 Yokohama F·Marinos 1–1 Jubilo Iwata D 2024-04-27 Jubilo Iwata 2–0 FC Machida Zelvia W 2024-04-20 Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Jubilo Iwata D 2024-04-13 Jubilo Iwata 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2024-05-11 Jubilo Iwata 0–3 Sagan Tosu FC W 2024-05-06 Shonan Bellmare 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L 2024-05-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–2 Tokyo Verdy L 2024-04-28 Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC D 2024-04-20 Sagan Tosu FC 4–2 Kashima Antlers W 2024-04-14 Gamba Osaka 2–1 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.12 Jubilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Jubilo Iwata30% Draw29% Sagan Tosu FC41%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Jubilo Iwata or Draw
59%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
70%
Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Jubilo Iwata22% Draw48% Sagan Tosu FC30%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
10.1%
0 – 0
9.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata

Handicap Jubilo Iwata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 22% 21%
+1.5 79% — 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.