Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Jubilo Iwata, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sun 7 Aug 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
31 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–3 D
16 Jul Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–2 D
10 Jul Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
02 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
26 Jun FC Tōkyō H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 0–2 L
30 Jul Shonan Bellmare H 1–0 W
17 Jul FC Tōkyō A 0–2 L
09 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
06 Jul Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
02 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–3 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Jubilo Iwata gets underway.
  • 3' Yoichi Naganuma catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 3.
  • 4' Controversy at the stadium! Yoichi Naganuma argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 9' Yuki Otsu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 14' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 19' Jubilo Iwata are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 22' Another change for Jubilo Iwata made on 22 minute. Riku Morioka leaves to be changed by Ko Matsubara.
  • 27' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 32' It looks surprising Jubilo Iwata does not make any changes. Ko Matsubara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 37' Shinya Nakano, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 43' Taisei Miyashiro doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 46' Another change for Jubilo Iwata made on 46 minute. Atsushi Kurokawa leaves to be changed by Fabian Gonzalez.
  • 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Jubilo Iwata are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 56' Yuto Suzuki has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' Japan international Kenyu Sugimoto has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 67' Kenyu Sugimoto gets the nod from Jubilo Iwata. He replaces Ryo Germain and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 69' Yuki Horigome has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yoichi Naganuma on 69 minute.
  • 74' It is a cagey affair so far. Sagan Tosu FC in their trying to find a way past Jubilo Iwata's compact .
  • 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 80' Jubilo Iwata manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Otsu is hanging Rikiya Uehara on the field on 80 minute.
  • 81' Yuki Otsu is replacing Rikiya Uehara for the Jubilo Iwata side.
  • 84' Yuki Kakita is replacing Taisei Miyashiro for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
  • 85' What composure from Yuki Kakita! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FCNaoyuki Fujita on, Kei Koizumi off on 88 minutes.
  • 2-0 the final result. Jubilo Iwata will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Jubilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC53% Draw27% Jubilo Iwata20%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Jubilo Iwata
47%
Sagan Tosu FC or Jubilo Iwata
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC35% Draw49% Jubilo Iwata16%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Jubilo Iwata covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.