Sunday , 16 August 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Jubilo Iwata, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sun 7 Aug 2022 · 10:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Jubilo Iwata H 2–0 W
31 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse A 3–3 D
16 Jul Yokohama F.Marinos H 2–2 D
10 Jul Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
02 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–2 L
26 Jun FC Tokyo H 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Aug Sagan Tosu FC A 0–2 L
30 Jul Shonan Bellmare H 1–0 W
17 Jul FC Tokyo A 0–2 L
09 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
06 Jul Avispa Fukuoka H 0–1 L
02 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–3 L

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Sagan Tosu FC and Jubilo Iwata has kicked off!
  • 3' The referee has no hesitation. Yoichi Naganuma is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 3.
  • 4' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 4.
  • 9' Taisei Miyashiro has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 14' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 19' Yuki Otsu has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 302 appearances.
  • 22' Time for substitution for Jubilo Iwata. Riku Morioka is replaced by Ko Matsubara.
  • 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 32' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 37' A quiet spell here at . Jubilo Iwata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 42' Yuto Iwasaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' Goal! Taisei Miyashiro scores his 48 goal in 439 matches.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Jubilo IwataFabian Gonzalez on, Atsushi Kurokawa off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ricardo Graca made 286 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 56' Jubilo Iwata come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 66' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Kawai might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 67' Another substitution for Jubilo Iwata to replace Ryo Germain by Kenyu Sugimoto on 67 minute.
  • 69' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yoichi Naganuma exits the field as Yuki Horigome enters on 69.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 80' The crowd applauds Rikiya Uehara as he leaves the pitch. Yuki Otsu steps in for Jubilo Iwata.
  • 81' Jubilo Iwata ring the changes. Rikiya Uehara has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Otsu to step up.
  • 84' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Taisei Miyashiro has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Kakita to step up.
  • 85' Yuki Kakita makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and Sagan Tosu FC are in front.
  • 88' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FCNaoyuki Fujita on, Kei Koizumi off on 88 minutes.
  • It finishes all square. Sagan Tosu FC and Jubilo Iwata share the spoils 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Jubilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC53% Draw27% Jubilo Iwata20%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Jubilo Iwata
47%
Sagan Tosu FC or Jubilo Iwata
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC35% Draw49% Jubilo Iwata16%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 0
12.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Jubilo Iwata covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 24% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 13% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.