Thursday , 2 July 2026

Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sat 18 Jun 2022 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jun Sagan Tosu FC H 3–1 W
29 May Yokohama F·Marinos H 0–2 L
25 May Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
22 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–2 L
14 May FC Tōkyō H 2–1 W
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jun Jubilo Iwata A 1–3 L
29 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
25 May Kashima Antlers A 4–4 D
21 May Kawasaki Frontale H 0–0 D
14 May Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
08 May FC Tōkyō A 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Jubilo Iwata kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 8' What a moment for Fabian Gonzalez! That strike on 8 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 13' GOAL! Fabian Gonzalez scores on 13.
  • 18' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Akito Fukuta suffering a number of foals already.
  • 23' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Jubilo Iwata side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' Naoki Kanuma doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 28' Against the run of play, Naoki Kanuma has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' Jubilo Iwata are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Yuto Iwasaki is replaced by Yuki Kakita.
  • 47' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Fabian Gonzalez on 47 minutes.
  • 52' A quiet spell here at . Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 53' GOAL! Taisei Miyashiro fires home to make it 4-1!
  • 58' Kentaro Moriya is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Jubilo Iwata tonight.
  • 63' Taichi Kikuchi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Akito Fukuta on 63 minute.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Jubilo Iwata team. Yasuhito Endo is replaced by Kosuke Yamamoto on 64 minute.
  • 69' Masaya Tashiro has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 69.
  • 74' The home supporters are growing impatient. Jubilo Iwata must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Kentaro Moriya. He replaces Yuji Ono on 75 minute.
  • 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akira Ito will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' Rikiya Uehara makes way for Shota Kaneko at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from Jubilo Iwata.
  • 86' Ricardo Graca has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Jubilo Iwata take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Jubilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Jubilo Iwata47% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Jubilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Jubilo Iwata or Draw
74%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
53%
Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Jubilo Iwata33% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Jubilo Iwata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata

Handicap Jubilo Iwata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
31%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.