Sunday , 16 August 2026

Jubilo Iwata vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2022 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2022
Sat 18 Jun 2022 · 09:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jun Sagan Tosu FC H 3–1 W
29 May Yokohama F.Marinos H 0–2 L
25 May Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
22 May Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 1–2 L
14 May FC Tokyo H 2–1 W
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jun Jubilo Iwata A 1–3 L
29 May Gamba Osaka H 2–1 W
25 May Kashima Antlers A 4–4 D
21 May Kawasaki Frontale H 0–0 D
14 May Vissel Kobe A 0–4 L
08 May FC Tokyo A 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at . Jubilo Iwata are looking to make home advantage count against Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at . Jubilo Iwata seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 8' The deadlock is broken! Fabian Gonzalez gets on the scoresheet on 8 minutes.
  • 13' Against the run of play, Fabian Gonzalez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 18' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Jubilo Iwata and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 27' What a moment for Naoki Kanuma! That strike on 27 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' Naoki Kanuma is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 43' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 46' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuki Kakita is hanging Yuto Iwasaki on the field on 46 minute.
  • 47' Fabian Gonzalez is having his name booked by the referee on 47.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akira Ito will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 53' The deadlock is broken! Taisei Miyashiro gets on the scoresheet on 53 minutes.
  • 58' Sagan Tosu FC is showing some good football. However, Sagan Tosu FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Akito Fukuta as he leaves the pitch. Taichi Kikuchi steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 64' Kosuke Yamamoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Yasuhito Endo on 64 minute.
  • 69' Masaya Tashiro is having his name booked by the referee on 69.
  • 74' It’s high time Akira Ito made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 75' Kentaro Moriya gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yuji Ono and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Japan international Yuji Ono has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 81' Another substitution for Jubilo Iwata to replace Rikiya Uehara by Shota Kaneko on 81 minute.
  • 86' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Sagan Tosu FC will have plenty to reflect on. Jubilo Iwata were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Jubilo Iwata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Jubilo Iwata47% Draw26% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Jubilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Jubilo Iwata or Draw
74%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
53%
Jubilo Iwata or Sagan Tosu FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Jubilo Iwata33% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC21%
Actual: Jubilo Iwata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8%
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Jubilo Iwata

Handicap Jubilo Iwata covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Jubilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
31%
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.