Saturday , 17 October 2026

Houston Dynamo vs D.C. United SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Thu 23 Jul 2026 · 00:30 UTC Shell Energy Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Hector Herrera 40' 1–0
1–1 78' Tai Baribo

Overview

Match Preview

Houston Dynamo vs D.C. United SC — MLS at Shell Energy Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Rivas
14 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 12.9 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul D.C. United SC H 1–1 D
24 May Los Angeles Galaxy A 1–1 D
17 May Vancouver Whitecaps FC H 1–0 W
14 May Real Salt Lake A 0–3 L
11 May Los Angeles FC A 4–1 W
03 May Colorado Rapids SC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Houston Dynamo A 1–1 D
23 May Montreal Impact FC H 1–0 W
16 May St. Louis City H 1–1 D
13 May Chicago Fire FC H 0–0 D
10 May Nashville SC A 2–2 D
03 May New York City FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Houston Dynamo D.C. United SC
#20 Position #12
46 Points 33
29 Played 28
13 / 7 / 9 W / D / L 7 / 12 / 9
39 Scored 36
37 Conceded 47
+2 GD -11
1.59 PPG 1.18
45% Win % 25%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
29% Clean Sheets
D.C. United SC this season

Houston Dynamo are 20th (46 pts). D.C. United SC are 12th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
9/4
46-60
5/4
61-75
5/3
76+
4/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
D.C. United SC
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/4
31-45
3/7
46-60
5/7
61-75
3/7
76+
8/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 16 G 7 A
Mateusz Bogusz 7 G 1 A
D.C. United SC
Tai Baribo 15 G 1 A
Louis Munteanu 6 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Houston Dynamo and D.C. United SC get this one started.
  • 5' Duncan McGuire has been relatively quiet despite scoring 26 goals in his last 294 appearances.
  • 10' Hosei Kijima has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Houston Dynamo have won 398 goals from 287 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 35' With 2 assists to his name this season, Louis Munteanu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
  • 40' What composure from Hector Herrera! The Mexico international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Houston Dynamo must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 50' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 53' D.C. United SC ring the changes. Jackson Hopkins has done his job and it is now time for Matti Peltola to step up.
  • 58' Over 58 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Ezequiel Ponce. He replaces Duncan McGuire on 59 minute.
  • 61' The whistle greets Lucas Halter as he departs to be replaced by Erik Sviatchenko.
  • 66' Houston Dynamo is showing some good football. However, Houston Dynamo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Silvan Hefti. He receives a card.
  • 68' Another change for D.C. United SC made on 68 minute. Brandon Servania leaves to be changed by Jared Stroud.
  • 70' Houston Dynamo receives a card for a hard tackle on 70.
  • 71' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Tai Baribo on 71 minutes.
  • 72' The referee has no hesitation. Andre Dozzell is booked for D.C. United SC — card on 72.
  • 77' Houston Dynamo make a change. Lawrence Ennali trudges off to be replaced by Franco Negri on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Hector Herrera by Diadie Samassekou on 78 minute.
  • 78' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Tai Baribo makes it 1-1.
  • 79' Sensational shot from Tai Baribo. D.C. United SC is back in the lead.
  • 84' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 88 minute. Mateusz Bogusz leaves to be changed by Ondrej Lingr.
  • 90' It’s a booking for D.C. United SC player. Jared Stroud gets a card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 D.C. United SC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Houston Dynamo46% Draw28% D.C. United SC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Houston Dynamo or Draw
74%
Draw or D.C. United SC
54%
Houston Dynamo or D.C. United SC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Houston Dynamo32% Draw48% D.C. United SC20%
Actual: Houston Dynamo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo

Handicap Houston Dynamo covers Push D.C. United SC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 16% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
D.C. United SC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.