Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Holstein Kiel

1 – 2

Full Time

SC Freiburg

Sat 10 May 2025 · 13:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 15,034 HT 45' · FT 45'

Lasse Rosenboom 24' 1–0

1–1 45+2' Johan Manzambi

1–2 58' Lucas Holer

Armin Gigovic 69' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
SC Freiburg 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Schroder
Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
Assistant 2 Jan Neitzel

3 games this season 🟨 7.3/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Holstein Kiel 11 games · Avg 2.9 goals SC Freiburg

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg 2025-01-11 SC Freiburg 3–2 Holstein Kiel 2018-10-31 Holstein Kiel 2–1 SC Freiburg 2018-02-28 SC Freiburg 1–1 Holstein Kiel 2017-10-01 Holstein Kiel 3–2 SC Freiburg

Recent Form

Holstein Kiel

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	SC Freiburg	H	1–2	L
04 May	FC Augsburg	A	3–1	W
26 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	4–3	W
19 Apr	RB Leipzig	A	1–1	D
12 Apr	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	1–2	L
05 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–1	D

SC Freiburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 May	Holstein Kiel	A	2–1	W
04 May	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	2–2	D
26 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–0	W
19 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	3–2	W
12 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	2–1	W
05 Apr	Borussia Dortmund	H	1–4	L

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg

0-15

–/1

16-30

4/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

3/–

61-75

–/–

76+

3/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SC Freiburg

Yuito Suzuki	4 G
Igor Matanovic	3 G	1 A
Maximilian Eggestein	2 G
Yannik Engelhardt	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Holstein-Stadion!
5' Max Rosenfelder has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SC Freiburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
24' Assisted by Shuto Machino with the perfectly-timed delivery and Lasse Rosenboom makes no mistake. 1-0!
29' named a 3-4-1-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-1-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
34' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Julian Schuster will be considering his options from the bench.
39' Ritsu Doan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
44' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Steven Skrzybski suffering a number of foals already.
46' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Johan Manzambi departs to be replaced by Lucas Holer.
47' Goal! Johan Manzambi scores his 9 goal in 498 matches.
52' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and SC Freiburg are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
57' Holstein Kiel are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
58' Lucas Holer doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
61' Holstein Kiel manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Phil Harres is hanging Lasse Rosenboom on the field on 61 minute.
66' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
69' The referee has no hesitation. Armin Gigovic is booked for Holstein Kiel — card on 69.
71' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace John Tolkin by Finn Porath on 71 minute.
76' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Max Rosenfelder is replaced by Lukas Kubler.
79' A change in the Holstein Kiel ranks — Armin Gigovic exits the field as Lewis Holtby enters on 79.
84' A quiet spell here at Holstein-Stadion. SC Freiburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
89' The home supporters are growing impatient. Holstein Kiel must find a spark to ignite this game.
90' Ritsu Doan makes way for Nicolas Hofler at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from SC Freiburg.
The referee brings this contest to a close. SC Freiburg take all three points.

Lineups

Holstein Kiel Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Marcel Rapp

SC Freiburg Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

8
Maximilian Eggestein
42
Ritsu Doan ↓ Nicolas Hofler 90'
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↓ Christian Gunter 76'
3
Philipp Lienhart
28
Matthias Ginter
6
Patrick Osterhage
20
Chikwubuike Adamu ↓ Kiliann Sildillia 90'
1
Noah Atubolu
33
Jordy Makengo
37
Max Rosenfelder ↓ Lukas Kubler 76'
44
Johan Manzambi ↓ Lucas Holer 46'

Bench

Coach Julian Schuster

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Phil Harres	2
Janni-Luca Serra	1
Nils Petersen	1
Vincenzo Grifo	1
Christian Gunter	1
Lasse Rosenboom	1
Lucas Holer	1
Johan Manzambi	1

Head to Head

Holstein Kiel Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg L 2025-05-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 Holstein Kiel W 2025-04-26 Holstein Kiel 4–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2025-04-19 RB Leipzig 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-04-12 Holstein Kiel 1–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D

SC Freiburg Form

2025-05-10 Holstein Kiel 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-05-04 SC Freiburg 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-19 SC Freiburg 3–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2025-04-12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 SC Freiburg W 2025-04-05 SC Freiburg 1–4 Borussia Dortmund L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.43 Holstein Kiel xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.53 SC Freiburg xG

I would bet for: Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel35% Draw28% SC Freiburg37%

Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.96

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw

62%

Draw or SC Freiburg

65%

Holstein Kiel or SC Freiburg

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Holstein Kiel26% Draw45% SC Freiburg29%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.8%

0 – 1

7.1%

0 – 0

1 – 0

6.5%

0 – 2

2 – 2

2 – 0

5.3%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 1

3.7%

2 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap	Holstein Kiel covers	Push	SC Freiburg covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	18%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	61%	—	39%
+1	61%	19%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.