Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 23,145 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 49' Max Rosenfelder

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
19 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D
11 Apr RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Apr 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
29 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–1 L
15 Mar FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
19 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–2 W
12 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
05 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 1–4 L
30 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–2 L
15 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–2 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
–/1
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: SC Freiburg or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg28% Draw29% SC Freiburg43%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
57%
Draw or SC Freiburg
72%
VfL Wolfsburg or SC Freiburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg20% Draw50% SC Freiburg30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.