Sunday , 16 August 2026

Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Holstein-Stadion 14,715 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Benjamin Sesko
0–2 69' Andre Silva pen

Overview

Match Preview

Holstein Kiel vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe

Head-to-Head

1
1
Holstein Kiel 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals RB Leipzig

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
29 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–3 L
24 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–3 L
09 Nov SV Werder Bremen A 1–2 L
02 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
29 Oct 1. FC Köln A 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
04 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–0 W
30 Nov VfL Wolfsburg H 1–5 L
26 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–1 L
23 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–4 L
09 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel are looking to make home advantage count against RB Leipzig.
  • 5' Holstein Kiel are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against RB Leipzig's 4-4-2 shape.
  • 10' RB Leipzig come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Holstein Kiel in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past RB Leipzig's compact 4-4-2.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' Benjamin Sesko makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 32' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marko Ivezic made 277 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Armin Gigovic.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Xaver Schlager, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 46' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 46 minute. Magnus Knudsen leaves to be changed by Steven Skrzybski.
  • 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marcel Rapp might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 56' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 56.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 62' Another substitution for Holstein Kiel to replace Armin Gigovic by Lewis Holtby on 62 minute.
  • 63' Lukas Klostermann is ready to make an impact after coming on for Lutsharel Geertruida at the 63 minute mark.
  • 67' It’s gonna be a card for Timon Weiner.
  • 68' Marvin Schulz picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 69' Brilliant from the ! Andre Silva makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 69.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Marvin Schulz is replaced by Alexander Bernhardsson.
  • 74' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Arthur Vermeeren will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' Benjamin Henrichs needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Benedikt Pichler. He replaces Shuto Machino on 80 minute.
  • 83' A meaty challenge results in booking for Benjamin Henrichs on 83.
  • 88' The travelling RB Leipzig supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Kampl. He replaces Arthur Vermeeren on 90 minute.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Alexander Bernhardsson.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.89 Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Holstein Kiel25% Draw29% RB Leipzig46%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Holstein Kiel or Draw
54%
Draw or RB Leipzig
75%
Holstein Kiel or RB Leipzig
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Holstein Kiel17% Draw49% RB Leipzig34%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
8.8%
1 – 0
7.1%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel

Handicap Holstein Kiel covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
23%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.