Saturday , 14 November 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Mon 4 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
6 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 15.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
18 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
14 May St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
17 May Dundee United FC A 1–2 L
14 May Celtic FC H 1–5 L
11 May Rangers FC A 0–4 L
03 May St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Hibernian FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Aberdeen FC
#4 Position #11
20 Points 11
12 Played 12
6 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 7
26 Scored 12
22 Conceded 18
+4 GD -6
1.67 PPG 0.92
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (20 pts). Aberdeen FC are 11th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
4/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
3/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
Claudio Braga 6 G 2 A
Calvin Miller 5 G 1 A
James Wilson 3 G
Laurent Mendy 3 G
Joshua McPake 2 G 1 A
Aberdeen FC
Kevin Nisbet 4 G 3 A
Connor Ronan 2 G 2 A
Ayoub Mouloua 2 G
Lewis Mayo 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Aberdeen FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.25 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC66% Draw20% Aberdeen FC14%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
34%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC48% Draw40% Aberdeen FC12%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
3 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
5.8%
4 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 1
4%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 20% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 23% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 87% — 13%
+1 87% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.