Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Mon 4 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
18 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
14 May St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
17 May Dundee United FC A 1–2 L
14 May Celtic FC H 1–5 L
11 May Rangers FC A 0–4 L
03 May St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Hibernian FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Aberdeen FC
#1 Position #8
70 Points 33
33 Played 33
21 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
58 Scored 33
28 Conceded 48
+30 GD -15
2.12 PPG 1.00
64% Win % 27%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Aberdeen FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC68% Draw21% Aberdeen FC11%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
32%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC49% Draw43% Aberdeen FC8%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.7%
3 – 0
9.8%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
5.8%
4 – 0
5%
0 – 1
3.5%
4 – 1
3%
2 – 2
2.4%
1 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 22% 55%
-1.5 45% 55%
-1 45% 25% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.