Sunday , 16 August 2026

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Mon 4 Aug 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Heart of Midlothian FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Nick Walsh
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
18 May Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
14 May St. Johnstone FC H 2–1 W
10 May Motherwell FC H 3–0 W
03 May Ross County FC A 3–1 W
26 Apr Dundee FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L
17 May Dundee United FC A 1–2 L
14 May Celtic FC H 1–5 L
11 May Rangers FC A 0–4 L
03 May St. Mirren FC A 0–1 L
26 Apr Hibernian FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Heart of Midlothian FC Aberdeen FC
#4 Position #8
3 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
5 Scored 2
2 Conceded 3
+3 GD -1
1.50 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Heart of Midlothian FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Aberdeen FC this season

Heart of Midlothian FC are 4th (3 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Heart of Midlothian FC
0-15
2/
16-30
/
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aberdeen FC
0-15
/1
16-30
/
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

Aberdeen FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.47 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Heart of Midlothian FC to win 73% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC73% Draw18% Aberdeen FC9%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Heart of Midlothian FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
27%
Heart of Midlothian FC or Aberdeen FC
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heart of Midlothian FC56% Draw37% Aberdeen FC7%
Actual: Heart of Midlothian FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
11.2%
3 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
6.8%
4 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6%
4 – 1
4.3%
5 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
2.5%
0 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Heart of Midlothian FC

Handicap Heart of Midlothian FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 33% 67%
-2 33% 22% 45%
-1.5 55% 45%
-1 55% 22% 23%
-0.5 77% 23%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 5% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
55%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.