Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 15 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
11 Feb Rangers FC H 1–1 D
31 Jan Livingston FC A 2–0 W
24 Jan Kilmarnock FC H 4–0 W
10 Jan Hibernian FC A 1–1 D
03 Jan St. Mirren FC H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Feb Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
31 Jan Kilmarnock FC A 0–3 L
24 Jan Livingston FC H 6–2 W
11 Jan Rangers FC H 0–2 L
06 Jan Rangers FC A 0–2 L
03 Jan Falkirk FC A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Aberdeen FC
#4 Position #8
54 Points 33
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
52 Scored 33
29 Conceded 48
+23 GD -15
1.64 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 27%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

Aberdeen FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.97 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC68% Draw21% Aberdeen FC11%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
32%
Motherwell FC or Aberdeen FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC48% Draw44% Aberdeen FC8%
Actual: Motherwell FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
5.6%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%
1 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 22% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 25% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
58%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.