Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aberdeen FC vs Heart of Midlothian FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aberdeen FC vs Heart of Midlothian FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee David Dickinson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Heart of Midlothian FC H 1–0 W
09 Nov Motherwell FC H 1–1 D
29 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 1–0 W
26 Oct Hibernian FC H 1–2 L
18 Oct St. Mirren FC A 1–0 W
05 Oct Dundee FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Aberdeen FC A 0–1 L
09 Nov Dundee United FC H 1–1 D
01 Nov Dundee FC H 4–0 W
29 Oct St. Mirren FC A 2–2 D
26 Oct Celtic FC H 3–1 W
18 Oct Kilmarnock FC A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Aberdeen FC Heart of Midlothian FC
#8 Position #1
33 Points 70
33 Played 33
9 / 6 / 18 W / D / L 21 / 7 / 5
33 Scored 58
48 Conceded 28
-15 GD +30
1.00 PPG 2.12
27% Win % 64%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts). Heart of Midlothian FC are 1st (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aberdeen FC Lineups

Heart of Midlothian FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Aberdeen FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Heart of Midlothian FC xG
I would bet for: Aberdeen FC or Heart of Midlothian FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aberdeen FC33% Draw28% Heart of Midlothian FC39%
Actual: Aberdeen FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Aberdeen FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Heart of Midlothian FC
67%
Aberdeen FC or Heart of Midlothian FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aberdeen FC18% Draw50% Heart of Midlothian FC32%
Actual: Aberdeen FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 2
9%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Aberdeen FC

Handicap Aberdeen FC covers Push Heart of Midlothian FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 54% 46%
+1 54% 23% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Heart of Midlothian FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.