Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 11:00 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 46' Filip Bilbija
Robert Glatzel 54' 1–1
1–2 60' Filip Bilbija
Davie Selke 67' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Luca Schlosser
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 2–2 D
21 Sep 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–2 D
15 Sep SSV Jahn Regensburg H 5–0 W
31 Aug SC Preussen Munster H 4–1 W
23 Aug Hannover 96 A 0–1 L
18 Aug SV Meppen A 7–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
20 Sep Hannover 96 H 2–1 W
13 Sep SC Preussen Munster A 3–3 D
01 Sep SSV Ulm 1846 H 0–0 D
24 Aug SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 1–1 D
18 Aug Bremer SV A 4–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Paderborn 07
0-15
2/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SC Paderborn 07 kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Filip Bilbija, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 3 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 27' Laurin Curda is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SC Paderborn 07 that had 316 games and scored 227 goals.
  • 42' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Adriano Grimaldi suffering a number of foals already.
  • 43' It’s gonna be a card for Adam Karabec.
  • 46' What a strike from Filip Bilbija! The score is 0-1.
  • 51' Hamburger SV is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 54' What a strike from Robert Glatzel! The score is 1-1.
  • 59' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 59 minutes.
  • 60' SC Paderborn 07 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filip Bilbija on 60.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Raphael Obermair.
  • 67' GOAL! Davie Selke scores on 67. Assisted by Noah Katterbach
  • 68' Mika Baur is replacing Koen Kostons for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Jean-Luc Dompe. He replaces Noah Katterbach on 70 minute.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Calvin Brackelmann.
  • 78' It’s gonna be a card for Sebastian Schonlau.
  • 80' Visar Musliu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Laurin Curda on 80 minute.
  • 81' Miro Muheim is having his name booked by the referee on 81.
  • 83' The supporters are chanting for Ransford Konigsdorffer. He replaces Dennis Hadzikadunic on 83 minute.
  • 88' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 88 minute. Ilyas Ansah leaves to be changed by Adriano Grimaldi.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV45% Draw26% SC Paderborn 0729%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
71%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
55%
Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV34% Draw44% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
27%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.