Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 28 Sep 2024 · 11:00 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 46' Filip Bilbija
Robert Glatzel 54' 1–1
1–2 60' Filip Bilbija
Davie Selke 67' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 072. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Luca Schlosser

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 2–2 D
21 Sep 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 2–2 D
15 Sep SSV Jahn Regensburg H 5–0 W
31 Aug SC Preußen Münster H 4–1 W
23 Aug Hannover 96 A 0–1 L
18 Aug SV Meppen A 7–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Hamburger SV A 2–2 D
20 Sep Hannover 96 H 2–1 W
13 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 3–3 D
01 Sep SSV Ulm 1846 H 0–0 D
24 Aug SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 1–1 D
18 Aug Bremer SV A 4–0 W

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Volksparkstadion that hosts another battle between Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn 07.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Laurin Curda, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Pelle Boevink has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 27' Laurin Curda is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' Hamburger SV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 42' Davie Selke has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 43' Controversy at the stadium! Adam Karabec argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 46' Filip Bilbija adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 51' Noah Katterbach has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 398 appearances.
  • 54' Robert Glatzel has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
  • 59' Felix Gotze, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 60' SC Paderborn 07 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filip Bilbija on 60.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Raphael Obermair. He receives a card.
  • 67' What composure from Davie Selke! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 68' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 68 minute. Koen Kostons leaves to be changed by Mika Baur.
  • 70' Another change for Hamburger SV made on 70 minute. Noah Katterbach leaves to be changed by Jean-Luc Dompe.
  • 75' Calvin Brackelmann is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 78' A moment of madness from Sebastian Schonlau on 78 minutes earns him a card. Hamburger SV will be frustrated.
  • 80' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Laurin Curda exits the field as Visar Musliu enters on 80.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Miro Muheim. He receives a card.
  • 83' Dennis Hadzikadunic makes way for Ransford Konigsdorffer at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
  • 88' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Ilyas Ansah by Adriano Grimaldi on 88 minute.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07 74% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV45% Draw26% SC Paderborn 0729%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
71%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
55%
Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV34% Draw44% SC Paderborn 0722%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 21% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
27%
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.