Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07 — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Luca Schlosser
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Energie Cottbus | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 10 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | SC Paderborn 07 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Sep | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | SSV Jahn Regensburg | H | 5–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SC Preußen Münster | H | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | Hannover 96 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Aug | SV Meppen | A | 7–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Hamburger SV | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | Hannover 96 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | SC Preußen Münster | A | 3–3 | D |
| 01 Sep | SSV Ulm 1846 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 24 Aug | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Aug | Bremer SV | A | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Volksparkstadion that hosts another battle between Hamburger SV and SC Paderborn 07.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Laurin Curda, as he is very good at scoring at Volksparkstadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' Pelle Boevink has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 25' The travelling SC Paderborn 07 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 27' Laurin Curda is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' Hamburger SV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 42' Davie Selke has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 43' Controversy at the stadium! Adam Karabec argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' Filip Bilbija adds to his 0 season tally! SC Paderborn 07 lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 51' Noah Katterbach has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 398 appearances.
- 54' Robert Glatzel has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 54 minutes.
- 59' Felix Gotze, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 60' SC Paderborn 07 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Filip Bilbija on 60.
- 62' The referee calls foul for Raphael Obermair. He receives a card.
- 67' What composure from Davie Selke! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-2.
- 68' Another change for SC Paderborn 07 made on 68 minute. Koen Kostons leaves to be changed by Mika Baur.
- 70' Another change for Hamburger SV made on 70 minute. Noah Katterbach leaves to be changed by Jean-Luc Dompe.
- 75' Calvin Brackelmann is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
- 78' A moment of madness from Sebastian Schonlau on 78 minutes earns him a card. Hamburger SV will be frustrated.
- 80' A change in the SC Paderborn 07 ranks — Laurin Curda exits the field as Visar Musliu enters on 80.
- 81' The referee calls foul for Miro Muheim. He receives a card.
- 83' Dennis Hadzikadunic makes way for Ransford Konigsdorffer at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
- 88' Another substitution for SC Paderborn 07 to replace Ilyas Ansah by Adriano Grimaldi on 88 minute.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 23
-
27
Davie Selke ↓ Ludovit Reis 83'
- 9
- 4
- 5
-
29
Emir Sahiti ↓ Fabio Balde 70'
- 28
- 33
-
17
Adam Karabec ↓ Immanuel Pherai 70'
- 19
- 8
Bench
-
14
Ludovit Reis ↑ 83'
- 12
- 20
-
7
Jean-Luc Dompe ↑ 70'
- 30
- 24
-
11
Ransford Konigsdorffer ↑ 83'
-
10
Immanuel Pherai ↑ 70'
-
45
Fabio Balde ↑ 70'
Coach
Steffen Baumgart
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 20
-
11
Sven Michel ↓ David Kinsombi 80'
- 23
- 7
- 4
- 32
- 5
-
17
Laurin Curda ↓ Visar Musliu 80'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 88'
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Mika Baur 68'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 80'
- 30
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 88'
-
16
Visar Musliu ↑ 80'
- 26
- 33
- 19
-
9
Mika Baur ↑ 68'
- 25
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 4 |
| Pierre-Michel Lasogga | 2 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Davie Selke | 1 |
| Robert Glatzel | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
Head to Head
Hamburger SV Form
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.73
Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for:
Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07 74% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Hamburger SV or Draw
71%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
55%
Hamburger SV or SC Paderborn 07
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV
| Handicap | Hamburger SV covers | Push | SC Paderborn 07 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

