SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 11 | 14 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 11 | 12 |
| 10 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 11 | 12 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | FC Energie Cottbus | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | VfL Osnabrück | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 11 | 11 |
| 17 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Hamburger SV | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Hannover 96 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Hertha BSC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' SC Paderborn 07 have kicked off against Hamburger SV. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 7' A stunning finish from Koen Kostons — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 12' The home supporters are growing impatient. SC Paderborn 07 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 17' Moritz Heyer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with SC Paderborn 07 winning 100% of all matches.
- 27' SC Paderborn 07 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's shape.
- 32' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ilyas Ansah on 32.
- 37' The 26-year-old Filip Bilbija has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 45' The referee calls foul for Calvin Brackelmann. He receives a card.
- 46' A change in the Hamburger SV ranks — Sebastian Schonlau exits the field as Moritz Heyer enters on 46.
- 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ignace Van Der Brempt on 50.
- 55' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' Masaya Okugawa gets the nod from Hamburger SV. He replaces Ignace Van Der Brempt and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' Raphael Obermair catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 62.
- 67' SC Paderborn 07 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 72' Ransford Konigsdorffer makes way for Bakery Jatta at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from Hamburger SV.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Adriano Grimaldi. He replaces Koen Kostons on 73 minute.
- 78' A quiet spell here at Home Deluxe Arena. Hamburger SV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 81' SC Paderborn 07 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Robert Leipertz is hanging Ilyas Ansah on the field on 81 minute.
- 86' Jannis Heuer is replacing Aaron Zehnter for the SC Paderborn 07 side.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SC Paderborn 07 players.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 27
- 16
- 23
- 26
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sirlord Conteh 86'
- 33
- 4
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↓ Jannis Heuer 86'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Robert Leipertz 81'
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 73'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 81'
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 81'
- 36
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 73'
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 86'
- 35
-
24
Jannis Heuer ↑ 86'
- 43
- 45
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 9
- 4
- 5
- 27
- 28
- 22
- 11
- 19
- 36
- 6
Bench
-
17
Masaya Okugawa ↑ 58'
-
35
Stephan Ambrosius ↑ 46'
-
18
Bakery Jatta ↑ 72'
- 21
-
8
Laszlo Benes ↑ 46'
- 1
-
3
Moritz Heyer ↑ 46'
- 33
- 20
Coach
Steffen Baumgart
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 4 |
| Pierre-Michel Lasogga | 2 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
| Rayan Philippe | 1 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
| Davie Selke | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Hamburger SV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
70%
Draw or Hamburger SV
58%
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.