SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Home Deluxe Arena.
- SC Paderborn 07 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Hertha BSC | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Karlsruher SC | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Energie Cottbus | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 2 |
| 10 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 2 | 2 |
| 12 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | VfL Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 |
| 14 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Hannover 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | VfL Osnabruck | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Hamburger SV | H | 1–0 | W |
| 05 May | Hannover 96 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 27 Apr | SV 07 Elversberg | H | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Nürnberg | A | 2–0 | W |
| 13 Apr | Karlsruher SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Hertha BSC | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | SC Paderborn 07 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Eintracht Braunschweig | A | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Apr | 1. FC Magdeburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Apr | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | H | 2–1 | W |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Home Deluxe Arena as SC Paderborn 07 face off against Hamburger SV in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. SC Paderborn 07 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 7' Koen Kostons does the damage! The net is bulging and SC Paderborn 07 surge ahead!
- 12' SC Paderborn 07 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's shape.
- 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Matheo Raab suffering a number of foals already.
- 22' Hamburger SV come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 27' SC Paderborn 07 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Ilyas Ansah.
- 37' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Calvin Brackelmann argues furiously but the card stands.
- 46' Time for substitution for Hamburger SV. Sebastian Schonlau is replaced by Moritz Heyer.
- 50' A moment of madness from Ignace Van Der Brempt on 50 minutes earns him a card. Hamburger SV will be frustrated.
- 55' SC Paderborn 07 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Hamburger SV backline.
- 58' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Ignace Van Der Brempt is withdrawn and Masaya Okugawa gets his opportunity.
- 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Raphael Obermair.
- 67' Both keepers have barely been tested. SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 72' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Bakery Jatta on, Ransford Konigsdorffer off on 72 minutes.
- 73' Adriano Grimaldi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Koen Kostons on 73 minute.
- 78' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both SC Paderborn 07 and Hamburger SV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 81' Robert Leipertz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ilyas Ansah on 81 minute.
- 86' The SC Paderborn 07 bench stirs into life. Aaron Zehnter is withdrawn and Jannis Heuer gets his opportunity.
- The points are shared — SC Paderborn 07 1-0 Hamburger SV. Honours even.
Lineups
SC Paderborn 07 Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 27
- 16
- 23
- 26
-
7
Filip Bilbija ↓ Sirlord Conteh 86'
- 33
- 4
-
32
Aaron Zehnter ↓ Jannis Heuer 86'
-
29
Ilyas Ansah ↓ Robert Leipertz 81'
-
10
Koen Kostons ↓ Adriano Grimaldi 73'
Bench
-
8
David Kinsombi ↑ 81'
-
13
Robert Leipertz ↑ 81'
- 36
-
39
Adriano Grimaldi ↑ 73'
-
11
Sirlord Conteh ↑ 86'
- 35
-
24
Jannis Heuer ↑ 86'
- 43
- 45
Coach
Lukas Kwasniok
Hamburger SV Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 9
- 4
- 5
- 27
- 28
- 22
- 11
- 19
- 36
- 6
Bench
-
17
Masaya Okugawa ↑ 58'
-
35
Stephan Ambrosius ↑ 46'
-
18
Bakery Jatta ↑ 72'
- 21
-
8
Laszlo Benes ↑ 46'
- 1
-
3
Moritz Heyer ↑ 46'
- 33
- 20
Coach
Steffen Baumgart
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Filip Bilbija | 4 |
| Pierre-Michel Lasogga | 2 |
| Davie Selke | 1 |
| Robert Glatzel | 1 |
| Adriano Grimaldi | 1 |
| Laszlo Benes | 1 |
| Ilyas Ansah | 1 |
| Koen Kostons | 1 |
Head to Head
SC Paderborn 07 Form
Hamburger SV Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27
SC Paderborn 07 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV 72% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Paderborn 07 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
SC Paderborn 07 or Draw
70%
Draw or Hamburger SV
58%
SC Paderborn 07 or Hamburger SV
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SC Paderborn 07 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
Asian Handicap — SC Paderborn 07
| Handicap | SC Paderborn 07 covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 20% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.