Wednesday , 7 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs Hertha BSC, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 19 Aug 2023 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs Hertha BSC — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg

Head-to-Head

3
1
1
Hamburger SV 5 games · Avg 5.4 goals Hertha BSC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Hertha BSC H 3–0 W
13 Aug Rot-Weiss Essen A 4–3 W
06 Aug Karlsruher SC A 2–2 D
28 Jul FC Schalke 04 H 5–3 W
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 0–4 L
30 Jul SpVgg Oberfranken Bayreuth A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Aug Hamburger SV A 0–3 L
12 Aug FC Carl Zeiss Jena A 5–0 W
04 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden H 0–1 L
29 Jul TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf A 0–1 L
27 May VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
20 May VfL Bochum 1848 H 1–1 D

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Hertha BSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hertha BSC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
4/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Hertha BSC xG
I would bet for: Hamburger SV to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV60% Draw22% Hertha BSC18%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
83%
Draw or Hertha BSC
40%
Hamburger SV or Hertha BSC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV44% Draw42% Hertha BSC14%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push Hertha BSC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 23% 39%
-0.5 61% — 39%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.