Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04, 2. Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 28 Jul 2023 · 18:30 UTC Volksparkstadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

Head-to-Head

2
2
Hamburger SV 4 games · Avg 4.5 goals FC Schalke 04

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul FC Schalke 04 H 5–3 W
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 0–4 L
30 Jul SpVgg Oberfranken Bayreuth A 3–1 W
19 Apr SC Freiburg H 1–3 L
02 Mar Karlsruher SC H 5–4 W
26 Oct 1. FC Nürnberg A 5–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jul Hamburger SV A 3–5 L
27 May RB Leipzig A 2–4 L
20 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
13 May FC Bayern München A 0–6 L
05 May 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–2 W
29 Apr SV Werder Bremen H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.96 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.98 FC Schalke 04 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 86% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV57% Draw19% FC Schalke 0424%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.94
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 86%
14%
± 3.5 71%
29%
± 4.5 53%
47%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
76%
Draw or FC Schalke 04
43%
Hamburger SV or FC Schalke 04
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV45% Draw33% FC Schalke 0422%
Actual: FC Schalke 04 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–3 not predicted
5 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
4.9%
4 – 1
4.4%
4 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 0
3.3%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push FC Schalke 04 covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 16% 61%
-1.5 39% 61%
-1 39% 18% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 12% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 7% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
15%
FC Schalke 04 keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.