Saturday , 14 November 2026

Hertha BSC vs Hamburger SV, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 19:30 UTC Olympiastadion 71,500 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Davie Selke
Mickael Cuisance 72' 1–2
Marten Winkler 80' 2–2
2–3 84' Emir Sahiti

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs Hamburger SV — 2. Bundesliga at Olympiastadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Hamburger SV H 2–3 L
19 Jan SC Paderborn 07 A 2–1 W
22 Dec Hannover 96 A 0–0 D
13 Dec SC Preussen Munster H 1–2 L
07 Dec SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 A 1–2 L
04 Dec 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Hertha BSC A 3–2 W
18 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–0 W
21 Dec SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 5–0 W
14 Dec SSV Ulm 1846 A 1–1 D
08 Dec SV Darmstadt 98 H 2–2 D
01 Dec Karlsruher SC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
Hertha BSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Hertha BSC
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
3/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62 Hertha BSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.93 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Hertha BSC or Hamburger SV 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hertha BSC31% Draw25% Hamburger SV44%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw
56%
Draw or Hamburger SV
69%
Hertha BSC or Hamburger SV
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hertha BSC26% Draw40% Hamburger SV34%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
6.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.8%
3 – 1
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap Hertha BSC covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 16% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 19% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 13% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.