Thursday , 1 October 2026

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Fri 21 Feb 2025 · 17:30 UTC Volksparkstadion 57,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Davie Selke 42' 1–0
Davie Selke 65' 2–0
Fabio Balde 78' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — 2. Bundesliga at Volksparkstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Soren Storks
  • Assistant 1 Thorben Siewer
  • Assistant 2 Christian Bandurski
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 17.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 3–0 W
16 Feb SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–1 D
07 Feb SC Preußen Münster A 2–1 W
02 Feb Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
25 Jan Hertha BSC A 3–2 W
18 Jan 1. FC Köln H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Hamburger SV A 0–3 L
15 Feb Hannover 96 H 0–0 D
08 Feb Hertha BSC A 1–0 W
02 Feb SC Preußen Münster H 2–1 W
24 Jan SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 A 4–2 W
18 Jan SSV Ulm 1846 H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
67% Clean Sheets
1. FC Kaiserslautern this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Kaiserslautern
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Kaiserslautern
Erencan Yardimci 2 G
Thierry Fidjeu-Tazemeta 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Hamburger SV is hosting 1. FC Kaiserslautern for another epic battle.
  • 5' The travelling 1. FC Kaiserslautern supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 20' Luca Sirch needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' Tim Breithaupt has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 269 appearances.
  • 42' The Germany Davie Selke breaks the deadlock on 42 minutes. 1-0!
  • 47' The energy levels are beginning to show. Merlin Polzin might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 49' Another change for 1. FC Kaiserslautern made on 49 minute. Daisuke Yokota leaves to be changed by Aaron Opoku.
  • 54' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Erik Wekesser suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' Adedire Awokoya-Mebude is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Otto Stange is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FC Kaiserslautern.
  • 65' Davie Selke is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 67' Kenny Prince Redondo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ragnar Ache at the 67 minute mark.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Hamburger SV — Fabio Balde on, Adedire Awokoya-Mebude off on 70 minutes.
  • 75' It’s high time Merlin Polzin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 77' The whistle greets Davie Selke as he departs to be replaced by Ransford Konigsdorffer.
  • 78' Fabio Balde adds to his 0 season tally! Hamburger SV lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 83' France international William Mikelbrencis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 88' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Hamburger SV side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 89' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Jean-Luc Dompe departs to be replaced by Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit.
  • 90' Kenny Prince Redondo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Leon Robinson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luca Sirch on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Hamburger SV players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Hamburger SV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 1. FC Kaiserslautern xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hamburger SV53% Draw24% 1. FC Kaiserslautern23%
Actual: Hamburger SV win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Hamburger SV or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
47%
Hamburger SV or 1. FC Kaiserslautern
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hamburger SV37% Draw44% 1. FC Kaiserslautern19%
Actual: Hamburger SV win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Hamburger SV

Handicap Hamburger SV covers Push 1. FC Kaiserslautern covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
1. FC Kaiserslautern keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.