Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 17 Jul 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 53,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Moura 10' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
04 Jul CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul São Paulo FC A 0–1 L
10 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
07 Jul EC Juventude A 0–3 L
04 Jul SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
30 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
26 Jun AC Goianiense A 1–1 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#11 Position #17
36 Points 29
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 13
32 Scored 30
30 Conceded 38
+2 GD -8
1.33 PPG 1.04
37% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Morumbi that hosts another battle between Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' Lucas Moura, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' GOAL! Lucas Moura fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 23' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
  • 28' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' It’s gonna be a card for Mathias Villasanti.
  • 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 38' A moment of madness from Igor Vinicius on 38 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Moura is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 41.
  • 46' Gremio FBPA make a change. Joao Pedro Pepe trudges off to be replaced by Felipe Carballo on 46 minutes.
  • 47' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everton on 47 minute.
  • 52' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' The whistle greets Alisson as he departs to be replaced by Wellington Rato.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 64' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Rodrigo Nestor comes on to replace Lucas Moura.
  • 69' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Jonathan Calleri has done his job and it is now time for Andre Silva to step up.
  • 74' Nathan Ribeiro gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Cristian Pavon and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 75' The whistle greets Dodi as he departs to be replaced by Gustavo Gomes.
  • 78' It’s gonna be a card for Rafael Monteiro.
  • 80' Nathan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
  • 85' Felipe Carballo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 332 appearances.
  • 89' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Nata exits the field as Ronald enters on 89.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Welington. He receives a card.
  • With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC56% Draw26% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
44%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC37% Draw50% Gremio FBPA13%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 17% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 25% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 12% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
47% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.