São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.
- São Paulo FC 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
- Gremio FBPA 28 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | São Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Jul | RB Bragantino | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Jul | CA Paranaense | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | EC Bahia | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jun | Criciúma EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | São Paulo FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 07 Jul | EC Juventude | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Jun | Fluminense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jun | AC Goianiense | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| São Paulo FC | Gremio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #17 |
| 36 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 10 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 7 / 8 / 13 |
| 32 | Scored | 30 |
| 30 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | -8 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.04 |
| 37% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
São Paulo FC this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
São Paulo FC
| Luciano | 8 G | 1 A |
| Jonathan Calleri | 8 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G | |
| Artur Guimaraes | 3 G | 1 A |
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Morumbi that hosts another battle between Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA.
- 5' Lucas Moura, a Brazil , has 1 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 10' GOAL! Lucas Moura fires home to make it 1-0!
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sao Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 23' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 28' Sao Paulo FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 31' It’s gonna be a card for Mathias Villasanti.
- 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 38' A moment of madness from Igor Vinicius on 38 minutes earns him a card. Sao Paulo FC will be frustrated.
- 41' The referee has no hesitation. Lucas Moura is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 41.
- 46' Gremio FBPA make a change. Joao Pedro Pepe trudges off to be replaced by Felipe Carballo on 46 minutes.
- 47' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Everton on 47 minute.
- 52' It’s high time Luis Zubeldía made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 55' The whistle greets Alisson as he departs to be replaced by Wellington Rato.
- 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
- 64' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Rodrigo Nestor comes on to replace Lucas Moura.
- 69' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Jonathan Calleri has done his job and it is now time for Andre Silva to step up.
- 74' Nathan Ribeiro gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Cristian Pavon and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' The whistle greets Dodi as he departs to be replaced by Gustavo Gomes.
- 78' It’s gonna be a card for Rafael Monteiro.
- 80' Nathan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
- 85' Felipe Carballo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 332 appearances.
- 89' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Nata exits the field as Ronald enters on 89.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Welington. He receives a card.
- With this win, Sao Paulo FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
São Paulo FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 10
- 5
- 2
- 7
- 9
- 32
- 47
- 6
- 23
- 21
Bench
- 33
- 93
- 13
- 35
- 8
- 17
- 11
- 36
- 15
- 27
- 39
- 31
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
Gremio FBPA Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
17
Dodi ↓ Gustavo Gomes 75'
- 6
- 5
- 18
-
21
Cristian Pavon ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 74'
- 23
- 1
- 7
- 20
- 13
- 36
Bench
- 3
-
14
Nathan ↑ 47'
- 30
- 2
- 26
- 37
-
8
Felipe Carballo ↑ 46'
- 33
-
35
Ronald ↑ 89'
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 74'
-
39
Gustavo Gomes ↑ 75'
- 47
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Everton | 3 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Robert Arboleda | 1 |
| Vitor | 1 |
Head to Head
São Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.54
São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.76
Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: São Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
São Paulo FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
44%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: São Paulo FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
11.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.2%
Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC
| Handicap | São Paulo FC covers | Push | Gremio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 12% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
47%
✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

