Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
São Paulo FC
1 – 0
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Wed 17 Jul 2024 · 23:00 UTC Morumbi 53,168 HT 45' · FT 45'
Lucas Moura 10' 1–0
Y 23' Joao Pedro Pepe
Y 31' Mathias Villasanti
Igor Vinicius 38' Y
Lucas Moura 41' Y
Rafael Monteiro 78' Y
Y 80' Nathan
Welington 90' Y
Igor Vinicius 90' YR

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Morumbi.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

6
4
8
São Paulo FC 18 games · Avg 2.2 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Gremio FBPA 3–0 São Paulo FC 2021-08-15 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

São Paulo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
12 Jul CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
06 Jul RB Bragantino H 2–0 W
04 Jul CA Paranaense A 2–1 W
30 Jun EC Bahia H 3–1 W
27 Jun Criciúma EC H 2–1 W
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jul São Paulo FC A 0–1 L
10 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
07 Jul EC Juventude A 0–3 L
04 Jul SE Palmeiras H 2–2 D
30 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–0 W
26 Jun AC Goianiense A 1–1 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#10 Position #18
44 Points 37
34 Played 34
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 15
39 Scored 38
39 Conceded 47
+0 GD -9
1.29 PPG 1.09
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sao Paulo FC to score. At the same time, Grêmio FBPA does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Agustin Marchesin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' What composure from Lucas Moura! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 15' Jonathan Calleri needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Red cards this season.
  • 20' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' The referee calls foul for Joao Pedro Pepe. He receives a card.
  • 28' Venezuela international Nahuel Ferraresi has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Mathias Villasanti.
  • 36' It looks surprising Sao Paulo FC does not make any changes. Robert Arboleda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 38' The referee has no hesitation. Igor Vinicius is booked for Sao Paulo FC — card on 38.
  • 41' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lucas Moura on 41.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Felipe Carballo. He replaces Joao Pedro Pepe on 46 minute.
  • 47' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Everton is withdrawn and Nathan gets his opportunity.
  • 52' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 55' The Sao Paulo FC bench stirs into life. Alisson is withdrawn and Wellington Rato gets his opportunity.
  • 60' Grêmio FBPA are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 64' Rodrigo Nestor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Moura on 64 minute.
  • 69' A tactical swap from Sao Paulo FC — Andre Silva on, Jonathan Calleri off on 69 minutes.
  • 74' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Cristian Pavon is withdrawn and Nathan Ribeiro gets his opportunity.
  • 75' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Dodi exits the field as Gustavo Gomes enters on 75.
  • 78' Rafael Monteiro was booked on 78.
  • 80' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' Grêmio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 89' Nata makes way for Ronald at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
  • 90' Welington has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • Grêmio FBPA will have plenty to reflect on. Sao Paulo FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

São Paulo FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

Gremio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Everton 3
Everton 2
Luciano 2
Franco Cristaldo 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Luciano 2
Cristian Pavon 1
Diogo Barbosa 1

Head to Head

2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-10-21 São Paulo FC 3–0 Gremio FBPA 2023-06-04 Gremio FBPA 2–1 São Paulo FC 2021-12-02 Gremio FBPA 3–0 São Paulo FC 2021-08-15 São Paulo FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA

São Paulo FC Form

2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA W 2024-07-12 CA Mineiro 2–1 São Paulo FC L 2024-07-06 São Paulo FC 2–0 RB Bragantino W 2024-07-04 CA Paranaense 1–2 São Paulo FC W 2024-06-30 São Paulo FC 3–1 EC Bahia W 2024-06-27 São Paulo FC 2–1 Criciúma EC W

Gremio FBPA Form

2024-07-17 São Paulo FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2024-07-10 Gremio FBPA 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2024-07-07 EC Juventude 3–0 Gremio FBPA L 2024-07-04 Gremio FBPA 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2024-06-30 Gremio FBPA 1–0 Fluminense FC W 2024-06-26 AC Goianiense 1–1 Gremio FBPA D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC56% Draw26% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
44%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC36% Draw49% Gremio FBPA15%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.7%
0 – 0
12%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
2.1%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 25% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.