Wednesday , 11 November 2026

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
30 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
27 Sep Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct São Paulo FC A 0–3 L
18 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
08 Oct SC Internacional A 2–3 L
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#10 Position #18
44 Points 37
34 Played 34
12 / 8 / 14 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 15
39 Scored 38
39 Conceded 47
+0 GD -9
1.29 PPG 1.09
35% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 10th (44 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
8/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/6
31-45
7/6
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 2 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 11 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between São Paulo FC and Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Gremio FBPA winning 50% of all matches.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. São Paulo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Michel Araujo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 40 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 21' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Michel Araujo makes it 0-1.
  • 21' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a Yellow card on 21.
  • 24' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Walter Kannemann on 24 minutes.
  • 28' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Nathan Ribeiro on, Franco Cristaldo off on 28 minutes.
  • 33' Rafael Monteiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 38' Gremio FBPA come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 43' Pablo Maia has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 43.
  • 48' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 53' Joao Pedro, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 58' The home supporters are growing impatient. São Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 63' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Beraldo, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 64' Everton is ready to make an impact after coming on for Walter Kannemann at the 64 minute mark.
  • 68' Pablo Maia doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 70' A moment of madness from Josue Souza on 70 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 71' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 71 minute. David leaves to be changed by Luciano.
  • 72' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. James Rodriguez has done his job and it is now time for Rodrigo Nestor to step up.
  • 77' São Paulo FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gremio FBPA's shape.
  • 80' Alisson makes way for Wellington Rato at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 83' A change in the Gremio FBPA ranks — Nathan Ribeiro exits the field as Lucas Besozzi enters on 83.
  • 87' Nathan has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lucas Moura on 87 minute.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Luis Suarez is booked for Gremio FBPA — Yellow card on 89.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. São Paulo FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC54% Draw25% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
46%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC38% Draw44% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 22% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.