Saturday , 26 September 2026

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 21:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

São Paulo FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Gremio FBPA H 3–0 W
19 Oct Goiás EC A 0–2 L
07 Oct CR Vasco da Gama A 0–0 D
30 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista H 2–1 W
27 Sep Coritiba FBC H 2–1 W
21 Sep Fortaleza EC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct São Paulo FC A 0–3 L
18 Oct CA Paranaense H 1–2 L
08 Oct SC Internacional A 2–3 L
30 Sep Fortaleza EC A 1–1 D
22 Sep SE Palmeiras H 1–0 W
19 Sep SC Corinthians Paulista A 4–4 D

Season Stats

São Paulo FC Gremio FBPA
#11 Position #17
36 Points 29
27 Played 28
10 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 7 / 8 / 13
32 Scored 30
30 Conceded 38
+2 GD -8
1.33 PPG 1.04
37% Win % 25%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
São Paulo FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

São Paulo FC are 11th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

São Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
–/9
61-75
5/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
2/7
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

São Paulo FC
Luciano 8 G 1 A
Jonathan Calleri 8 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
Artur Guimaraes 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at as Sao Paulo FC face off against Grêmio FBPA in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 21' Sao Paulo FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Michel Araujo on 21.
  • 21' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Walter Kannemann gets a Yellow card.
  • 24' A moment of madness from Walter Kannemann on 24 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
  • 28' Nathan Ribeiro has so much to prove this time. He replaces Franco Cristaldo on 28 minute.
  • 33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sao Paulo FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 38' Franco Cristaldo is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Grêmio FBPA so far.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Pablo Maia on 43 minutes.
  • 48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 58' Lucas Moura, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 63' Grêmio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Walter Kannemann is replaced by Everton.
  • 68' Pablo Maia is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 70' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Josue Souza.
  • 71' Fresh legs for Sao Paulo FC! Luciano comes on to replace David.
  • 72' Another substitution for Sao Paulo FC to replace James Rodriguez by Rodrigo Nestor on 72 minute.
  • 77' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and Grêmio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' The Sao Paulo FC manager makes a substitution. Alisson departs to be replaced by Wellington Rato.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Gremio FBPA. Nathan Ribeiro is replaced by Lucas Besozzi.
  • 87' Another change for Sao Paulo FC made on 87 minute. Lucas Moura leaves to be changed by Nathan.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Luis Suarez.
  • Grêmio FBPA will have plenty to reflect on. Sao Paulo FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.8 São Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
São Paulo FC54% Draw25% Gremio FBPA21%
Actual: São Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

São Paulo FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
46%
São Paulo FC or Gremio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
São Paulo FC38% Draw44% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: São Paulo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — São Paulo FC

Handicap São Paulo FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% — 47%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

São Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.