Sunday , 4 October 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
Fri 20 Feb 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior — Eredivisie .

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
3 games this season 🟨 1.7/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb SBV Excelsior H 2–1 W
14 Feb AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
07 Feb Sparta Rotterdam H 2–2 D
01 Feb Heracles Almelo A 1–2 L
25 Jan FC Groningen A 2–1 W
17 Jan PSV H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 1–2 L
14 Feb AZ H 1–2 L
06 Feb NAC Breda A 2–0 W
01 Feb AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
24 Jan FC Twente '65 A 0–0 D
21 Jan AZ A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Fortuna Sittard SBV Excelsior
#6 Position #7
13 Points 11
7 Played 7
4 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 2
13 Scored 15
14 Conceded 9
-1 GD +6
1.86 PPG 1.57
57% Win % 43%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Fortuna Sittard this season
29% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

Fortuna Sittard are 6th (13 pts). SBV Excelsior are 7th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fortuna Sittard
0-15
3/–
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/3
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fortuna Sittard
Mohammed Ihattaren 3 G 2 A
Lequincio Zeefuik 3 G 1 A
Anthony Descotte 2 G
Philip Brittijn 2 G
Edouard Michut 1 G 2 A
SBV Excelsior
Aymen Sliti 3 G 1 A
David Garden 3 G
Irakli Yegoian 2 G 5 A
Noah Naujoks 2 G
Casper Widell 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Fortuna Sittard Lineups

SBV Excelsior Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51 Fortuna Sittard xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Fortuna Sittard or SBV Excelsior 76% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Fortuna Sittard37% Draw24% SBV Excelsior39%
Actual: Fortuna Sittard win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Fortuna Sittard or Draw
61%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
63%
Fortuna Sittard or SBV Excelsior
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortuna Sittard25% Draw41% SBV Excelsior34%
Actual: Fortuna Sittard win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
5.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
1 – 0
4.5%
2 – 3
4.1%
2 – 0
4%
0 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Fortuna Sittard

Handicap Fortuna Sittard covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 16% 69%
-0.5 31% — 69%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.