AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Eredivisie · 2025-26

AFC Ajax

4 – 1

Full Time

Fortuna Sittard

Sat 14 Feb 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard — Eredivisie .

AFC Ajax 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Fortuna Sittard 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Rob Dieperink

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AZ	2	6
2	FC Groningen	2	6
3	Go Ahead Eagles	2	4
4	Fortuna Sittard	2	4
5	AFC Ajax	2	4
6	PSV	2	4
7	Feyenoord Rotterdam	2	4
8	SC Heerenveen	2	4
9	SBV Excelsior	2	3
10	NEC	2	3
11	Sparta Rotterdam	2	3
12	FC Twente '65	2	3
13	Telstar 1963	2	3
14	FC Utrecht	2	0
15	PEC Zwolle	2	0
16	ADO Den Haag	2	0
17	Willem II Tilburg	2	0
18	SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden	2	0

Head-to-Head

AFC Ajax 15 games · Avg 4.0 goals Fortuna Sittard

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-14 AFC Ajax 4–1 Fortuna Sittard 2025-12-06 Fortuna Sittard 1–3 AFC Ajax 2025-02-09 Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AFC Ajax 2024-09-18 AFC Ajax 5–0 Fortuna Sittard 2024-03-10 AFC Ajax 2–2 Fortuna Sittard

Recent Form

AFC Ajax

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Fortuna Sittard	H	4–1	W
08 Feb	AZ	A	1–1	D
01 Feb	SBV Excelsior	A	2–2	D
28 Jan	PAE Olympiakos SFP	H	1–2	L
24 Jan	FC Volendam	H	2–0	W
20 Jan	Villarreal CF	A	2–1	W

Fortuna Sittard

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	AFC Ajax	A	1–4	L
07 Feb	Sparta Rotterdam	H	2–2	D
01 Feb	Heracles Almelo	A	1–2	L
25 Jan	FC Groningen	A	2–1	W
17 Jan	PSV	H	1–2	L
11 Jan	Go Ahead Eagles	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

AFC Ajax		Fortuna Sittard
#5	Position	#4
4	Points	4
2	Played	2
1 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	1 / 1 / 0
4	Scored	5
2	Conceded	3
+2	GD	+2
2.00	PPG	2.00
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

0% Clean Sheets
Fortuna Sittard this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (4 pts). Fortuna Sittard are 4th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/–

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fortuna Sittard

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between AFC Ajax and Fortuna Sittard is underway.
It finishes all square. AFC Ajax and Fortuna Sittard share the spoils 4-1.

Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

Fortuna Sittard Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kenneth Taylor	5
Dusan Tadic	4
Quincy Promes	4
Steven Berghuis	4
Devyne Rensch	3
David Neres	3
Brian Brobbey	3
Steven Bergwijn	2

Head to Head

AFC Ajax Form

2026-02-14 AFC Ajax 4–1 Fortuna Sittard W 2026-02-08 AZ 1–1 AFC Ajax D 2026-02-01 SBV Excelsior 2–2 AFC Ajax D 2026-01-28 AFC Ajax 1–2 PAE Olympiakos SFP L 2026-01-24 AFC Ajax 2–0 FC Volendam W 2026-01-20 Villarreal CF 1–2 AFC Ajax W

Fortuna Sittard Form

2026-02-14 AFC Ajax 4–1 Fortuna Sittard L 2026-02-07 Fortuna Sittard 2–2 Sparta Rotterdam D 2026-02-01 Heracles Almelo 2–1 Fortuna Sittard L 2026-01-25 FC Groningen 1–2 Fortuna Sittard W 2026-01-17 Fortuna Sittard 1–2 PSV L 2026-01-11 Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 Fortuna Sittard D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.44 AFC Ajax xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 Fortuna Sittard xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AFC Ajax63% Draw20% Fortuna Sittard17%

Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.67

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw

83%

Draw or Fortuna Sittard

37%

AFC Ajax or Fortuna Sittard

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AFC Ajax46% Draw37% Fortuna Sittard17%

Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

1 – 1

8.4%

2 – 0

7.6%

3 – 1

7.3%

3 – 0

1 – 0

5.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

4.6%

3 – 2

4.5%

4 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

3.8%

4 – 0

3.7%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap	AFC Ajax covers	Push	Fortuna Sittard covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	18%	58%
-1.5	42%	—	58%
-1	42%	21%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.