Sunday , 16 August 2026

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV Excelsior, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 15:45 UTC Fortuna Sittard Stadion 10,306 HT 45' · FT 45'
Justin Lonwijk 13' 1–0
Kaj Sierhuis 15' 2–0
Kaj Sierhuis 29' 3–0
Kaj Sierhuis 34' 4–0
Rodrigo Guth 68' 5–1
5–2 82' Richie Omorowa

Overview

Match Preview

Fortuna Sittard vs SBV ExcelsiorEredivisie at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Jeroen Manschot
  • Assistant 1 Bas van Dongen
  • Assistant 2 Rob van de Ven

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar SBV Excelsior H 5–2 W
24 Feb RKC Waalwijk A 1–0 W
17 Feb AZ H 1–2 L
11 Feb FC Utrecht A 0–4 L
03 Feb SC Heerenveen H 3–3 D
28 Jan FC Volendam A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Fortuna Sittard A 2–5 L
25 Feb SBV Vitesse H 1–2 L
17 Feb Sparta Rotterdam A 2–4 L
10 Feb FC Twente '65 H 0–3 L
02 Feb Almere City FC A 1–2 L
27 Jan FC Utrecht H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Fortuna Sittard SBV Excelsior
#2 Position #4
4 Points 3
2 Played 2
1 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 1
5 Scored 5
3 Conceded 2
+2 GD +3
2.00 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Fortuna Sittard this season
50% Clean Sheets
SBV Excelsior this season

Fortuna Sittard are 2nd (4 pts). SBV Excelsior are 4th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fortuna Sittard
0-15
2/
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
/1
61-75
/1
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SBV Excelsior
0-15
/1
16-30
1/
31-45
2/
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.51 Fortuna Sittard xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 SBV Excelsior xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortuna Sittard53% Draw20% SBV Excelsior27%
Actual: Fortuna Sittard win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Fortuna Sittard or Draw
72%
Draw or SBV Excelsior
47%
Fortuna Sittard or SBV Excelsior
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fortuna Sittard38% Draw35% SBV Excelsior27%
Actual: Fortuna Sittard win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 1
6.1%
3 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
3 – 3
3.8%
1 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.5%
2 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fortuna Sittard

Handicap Fortuna Sittard covers Push SBV Excelsior covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 14% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 18% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 15% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Fortuna Sittard keeps clean sheet
14%
SBV Excelsior keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.